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Papers by Cíntia Camila Angelieri

Conservation Science and Practice, 2020

Species distribution modeling (SDM) is a promising tool for priority setting, conservation decisi... more Species distribution modeling (SDM) is a promising tool for priority setting, conservation decision-making and overall support for species conservation. We developed a participatory modeling process (PMP) to ensure both the proper use of SDMs as well as their efficacy and impact as a conservation tool. The PMP using SDM has assisted conservation planning in a number of situations, including more than 25 endangered species and supported IUCN SSC Red List assessments. PMP focuses on stakeholder engagement to co-develop SDMs that will in turn support and guide conservation decisions. This participatory approach to SDMs allowed us to: (a) update potential species distributions; (b) evaluate environmental suitability; (c) identify potential corridors and priority areas for implementing different conservation and management actions; (d) identify new potential areas for species searching; (e) predict potential impact under deforestation and climate change scenarios; and (f) provide valuable input for population viability analysis (PVA). Most often the level of successful stakeholder engagement will influence how the model will guide the decision-making process. The modeler must play a technical role as well as act as a translator and facilitator to engage and bridge the gap between

Os grandes carnívoros necessitam de vastos territórios para sobreviver em longo prazo, sendo que ... more Os grandes carnívoros necessitam de vastos territórios para sobreviver em longo prazo, sendo que sua coexistência com humanos é fundamental, porém gera conflitos. O objetivo geral dessa tese é integrar a conservação de grandes carnívoros ao processo de planejamento de uso e ocupação da terra do estado de São Paulo. Para isso os objetivos específicos são: (1) sistematizar, espacializar e analisar a ocorrência de grandes carnívoros, estabelecendo correlações com os padrões de uso e ocupação da terra, variáveis climáticas e topográficas; (2) estabelecer áreas prioritárias para conservação de grandes carnívoros no estado de São Paulo; e (3) caracterizar os padrões de uso e conservação da terra nos municípios indicando necessidades e oportunidades para conservação (ênfase em Brotas-SP). O delineamento desse estudo foi feito buscando a aplicação de Modelos de Distribuição de Espécies - MDEs (espécies estudadas: Chrysocyon brachyurus, Leopardus Pardalis e Puma concolor) em uma abordagem de...

Figure 1. Adult of White-collared Kite (Leptodon forbesi). Photo: Yuri Raia.

Figure 2. (A) Potential distribution maps of Leptodon forbesi continuous model (probability of pr... more Figure 2. (A) Potential distribution maps of Leptodon forbesi continuous model (probability of presence from 0 to 1: warmer colors show areas with better environmental conditions based on the species occurrence records (black points); (B) Binary model: suitable areas in red color (probability of presence ≥ 0.2) and forest fragments in gray color (probability of presence <0.35); (C) Forest fragments> 100 ha in suitable area, adopted here as distribution area of Leptodon forbesi.

Figure 3. Response curves of the four predictors variables that most contributed to the model of ... more Figure 3. Response curves of the four predictors variables that most contributed to the model of Leptodon forbesi. Precipitation of coldest quarter (bio 19) (mm), declivity (dec) (%), mean temperature of wettest quarter (bio 8) (°C × 10), and precipitation of wettest quarter (bio 16) (mm).

Transparency and targeting of public policies as well as the questionning about what has been and... more Transparency and targeting of public policies as well as the questionning about what has been and will be done for achieving energy sustainability have been a problem for the Brazilian sugar-ethanol sector. It regards the negative impacts, such as loss of habitats, fragmentation and disturbance of natural areas, among others which the large-scale production and its expansion could generate. At the state level, Sao Paulo is the biggest sugar cane producer in Brazil and the first State which has developed the Agro-environmental Zoning for sugar-ethanol Sector defining appropriate areas to sugar cane expansion. This study shows the incorporation of the biodiversity analysis into the Agro-environmental zoning in order to discuss the future of conservation and land use planning. Although the inclusion of important areas (not protected by law) is a positive aspect of the zoning, the most part of Sao Paulo State may become a sugarcane monoculture; despite the restrictions areas indicated o...

Biodiversity should be considered in the environmental impacts assessment (EIA) of policies, plan... more Biodiversity should be considered in the environmental impacts assessment (EIA) of policies, plans, programs and projects. Strategic environmental assessment (SEA) is more likely to include biodiversity in the planning area but until today this has not been clearly defined how it should be done. This study investigated SEA methodologies and their adequacy to include biodiversity in the territorial planning process. Subsequently, ways were found to implement this process on a regional scale in Brazil. It was found that the SEA can act incorporating biodiversity objectives, indicators and information in territorial planning and what are the best methodologies to assess biodiversity in this process. The establishment of priority species to act as indicators is necessary to SEA on regional and/or local scale, because a complete approach to biodiversity is impracticable. Within this aim, models of ecological habitat can be developed and their results can be used as a criterion for choice...

Papéis Avulsos de Zoologia

The White-collared Kite (Leptodon forbesi) is an endemic and threatened raptor of the Brazilian A... more The White-collared Kite (Leptodon forbesi) is an endemic and threatened raptor of the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. Here we present the known records of the species, describe the vegetation types where it was found and show Ecological Niche Models generated using Maxent algorithm. Most of the presence data were recorded in open ombrophilous forest and seasonal semideciduous forest in the states of Alagoas and Pernambuco. Maxent model had a good performance (AUC = 0.982 ± 0.004 SD), showing higher suitability for the species from Paraíba to Alagoas states. Maxent average model revealed a distribution range of 20,344 km² and an area of occupancy of 1,636.89 km². The most suitable areas for the species are those near watercourses and streams. We suggest the creation of protected areas, including private ones, and possible restoration actions to connect the most suitable forest fragments, along with the captive breeding, as the most appropriate strategies for the conservation of the White-...

Ao amor da minha mãe, Maria! E ao carinho dos meus melhores amigos! 3 AGRADECIMENTOS Á CAPES, ao ... more Ao amor da minha mãe, Maria! E ao carinho dos meus melhores amigos! 3 AGRADECIMENTOS Á CAPES, ao CNPq e à FAPESP (Processo nº 2011/11091-1 e Processo BEPE nº 2012/03514-2) pelas bolsas concedidas. Ao professor Marcelo Pereira de Souza pela oportunidade e pela orientação. Aos professores, alunos e funcionários do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciência da Engenharia Ambiental (PPG-SEA) pela parceria firmada em todos esses anos.

pela ajuda na preparação das camadas ambientais e a Luiz M. Horta e Alan Oliveira do Instituto Na... more pela ajuda na preparação das camadas ambientais e a Luiz M. Horta e Alan Oliveira do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais pela ajuda com a instalação dos programas utilizados. Á Prof a. Dr a. Riki Therivel da Oxford Brookes University pelos esclarecimentos sobre a AAE e ao Prof. Dr. José Carlos Motta Jr. do Instituto de Biociências da USP São Paulo pelos esclarecimentos sobre ecologia animal. Aos amigos: Danilo Muniz da Silva pelas conversas esclarecedoras, Augusto Hashimoto de Mendonça pela ajuda com os programas de SIG, Bruno Arantes pela ajuda com os programas de modelagem e Camilla Helena da Silva pela participação desde a definição da técnica de modelagem até a validação dos modelos. Aos professores do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciência da Engenharia Ambiental (PPG-SEA) por me atenderem prontamente sempre que tive dúvidas conceituais e metodológicas, especialmente ao Prof. Dr. Victor Ranieri e Prof. Dr. Marcelo Montaño. Aos alunos do PPG-SEA pelas dicas, conversas, discussões e por tornarem o ambiente de trabalho acolhedor e divertido. Aos funcionários do Centro de Recursos Hídricos e Ecologia Aplicada (CRHEA) pela atenção e cuidado excepcional que ofereceram ao longo desses anos. Às melhores roomates que eu poderia encontrar Raquel Rodrigues dos Santos e Carolina Megume Mizuno pelas contribuições e correções na dissertação e pela participação pessoal e profissional em todas as etapas percorridas desde o início da graduação até agora. Aos amigos que participaram de mais essa conquista pessoalmente, por telefone, MSN, skype, sinais de fumaça, etc. Á minha família e em especial a minha mãe pelo apoio incondicional que sempre dedicou a mim e a minha carreira.

The biodiversity need to be incorporate to the territorial planning, however it is still a challe... more The biodiversity need to be incorporate to the territorial planning, however it is still a challenge to be solved of the technician-operational and political-institutional point of view. Some instruments can offer a base of information related to the biodiversity to be considered in the municipal planning, for example the Environmental Zoning (ZA) and the Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) that until no implemented in Brazil. The aim of this study is incorporate strategic actions for conservation of the biodiversity to the territorial planning in Brotas, São Paulo state, Brazil. Some factors have been identified and selected in literature in accordance with their importance, adaptation to the theme, readiness and accessibility. The criteria and areas that have been choose like priority in national, regional and municipal scale were add and overlay for the elaboration the final map. The software IDRISI 15 Andes Edition was used for manipulation and analysis of the data in UTM 2...

Large mammals are key species for biodiversity conservation. Their high patterns of distribution ... more Large mammals are key species for biodiversity conservation. Their high patterns of distribution and their capacity of migration could reflect effects of the land use alterations in the regional landscape. Nevertheless, the mammal's available data have not been used to orientate Brazilian Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA). This study objective to evaluate the SpeciesLink database contribution to prepare great mammal's distribution models at regional scales and to verify how those models can be incorporated in Brazilian planning and EIA process. Available data of Chrysocyon brachyurus (maned wolf), Leopardus pardalis (Ocelot) and Puma concolor (puma) were reviewed in ArcGis version 10 and used to generate distribution models in software Maxent version 3.3.3 for central region of Sao Paulo State. The models showed that despite many records have incomplete data and inaccurate location information, the SpeciesLink already provides sufficient data (in number and accuracy) to ...

Background/question/methods: Large mammals’ high patterns of distribution and capacity of migrati... more Background/question/methods: Large mammals’ high patterns of distribution and capacity of migration could reflect effects of the land use alteration. For great Brazilian mammals, habitat loss and fragmentation and hunting pressure are the greatest threats. A heterogeneous landscape may still be able to support a considerable diversity of mammals, especially those with generalist habits such as the species studied in this research. But it needs methods to incorporate scientific criteria to land use planning and this subject is still in early stages in Brazil. We used occurrence records of three threatened species Chrysocyon brachyurus (maned wolf), Puma concolor (puma) and Leopardus Pardalis (ocelot) from SpeciesLink database provided by the Research Program Sustainable Conservation of Biodiversity—Biota/FAPESP in Sao Paulo State central region. The environmental datasets were prepared and visualised in ArcGIS version 10 and the models were generated in Maxent version 3.3.3. Results/...

Results Conservation problem • How do we protect species that need large areas to persist in a hu... more Results Conservation problem • How do we protect species that need large areas to persist in a human modified region? • How do we use available data for the Puma to conduct conservation planning in São Paulo State, Brazil? Methods Puma concolor's available georeferenced records in Sao Paulo State, Brazil were collected and processed in ArcGIS 10 (n=551). Environmental data ecologically important to the puma were converted to grid layers (1km). Species' distribution models were generated in Maxent version 3.3.3 k 3 .

Transparency and targeting of public policies as well as the questionning about what has been and... more Transparency and targeting of public policies as well as the questionning about what has been and will be done for achieving energy sustainability have been a problem for the Brazilian sugar-ethanol sector. It regards the negative impacts, such as loss of habitats, fragmentation and disturbance of natural areas, among others which the large-scale production and its expansion could generate. At the state level, Sao Paulo is the biggest sugar cane producer in Brazil and the first State which has developed the Agro-environmental Zoning for sugar-ethanol Sector defining appropriate areas to sugar cane expansion. This study shows the incorporation of the biodiversity analysis into the Agro-environmental zoning in order to discuss the future of conservation and land use planning. Although the inclusion of important areas (not protected by law) is a positive aspect of the zoning, the most part of Sao Paulo State may become a sugarcane monoculture; despite the restrictions areas indicated o...

Conservation Science and Practice, 2020

Species distribution modeling (SDM) is a promising tool for priority setting, conservation decisi... more Species distribution modeling (SDM) is a promising tool for priority setting, conservation decision-making and overall support for species conservation. We developed a participatory modeling process (PMP) to ensure both the proper use of SDMs as well as their efficacy and impact as a conservation tool. The PMP using SDM has assisted conservation planning in a number of situations, including more than 25 endangered species and supported IUCN SSC Red List assessments. PMP focuses on stakeholder engagement to co-develop SDMs that will in turn support and guide conservation decisions. This participatory approach to SDMs allowed us to: (a) update potential species distributions; (b) evaluate environmental suitability; (c) identify potential corridors and priority areas for implementing different conservation and management actions; (d) identify new potential areas for species searching; (e) predict potential impact under deforestation and climate change scenarios; and (f) provide valuable input for population viability analysis (PVA). Most often the level of successful stakeholder engagement will influence how the model will guide the decision-making process. The modeler must play a technical role as well as act as a translator and facilitator to engage and bridge the gap between

Os grandes carnívoros necessitam de vastos territórios para sobreviver em longo prazo, sendo que ... more Os grandes carnívoros necessitam de vastos territórios para sobreviver em longo prazo, sendo que sua coexistência com humanos é fundamental, porém gera conflitos. O objetivo geral dessa tese é integrar a conservação de grandes carnívoros ao processo de planejamento de uso e ocupação da terra do estado de São Paulo. Para isso os objetivos específicos são: (1) sistematizar, espacializar e analisar a ocorrência de grandes carnívoros, estabelecendo correlações com os padrões de uso e ocupação da terra, variáveis climáticas e topográficas; (2) estabelecer áreas prioritárias para conservação de grandes carnívoros no estado de São Paulo; e (3) caracterizar os padrões de uso e conservação da terra nos municípios indicando necessidades e oportunidades para conservação (ênfase em Brotas-SP). O delineamento desse estudo foi feito buscando a aplicação de Modelos de Distribuição de Espécies - MDEs (espécies estudadas: Chrysocyon brachyurus, Leopardus Pardalis e Puma concolor) em uma abordagem de...

Figure 1. Adult of White-collared Kite (Leptodon forbesi). Photo: Yuri Raia.

Figure 2. (A) Potential distribution maps of Leptodon forbesi continuous model (probability of pr... more Figure 2. (A) Potential distribution maps of Leptodon forbesi continuous model (probability of presence from 0 to 1: warmer colors show areas with better environmental conditions based on the species occurrence records (black points); (B) Binary model: suitable areas in red color (probability of presence ≥ 0.2) and forest fragments in gray color (probability of presence <0.35); (C) Forest fragments> 100 ha in suitable area, adopted here as distribution area of Leptodon forbesi.

Figure 3. Response curves of the four predictors variables that most contributed to the model of ... more Figure 3. Response curves of the four predictors variables that most contributed to the model of Leptodon forbesi. Precipitation of coldest quarter (bio 19) (mm), declivity (dec) (%), mean temperature of wettest quarter (bio 8) (°C × 10), and precipitation of wettest quarter (bio 16) (mm).

Transparency and targeting of public policies as well as the questionning about what has been and... more Transparency and targeting of public policies as well as the questionning about what has been and will be done for achieving energy sustainability have been a problem for the Brazilian sugar-ethanol sector. It regards the negative impacts, such as loss of habitats, fragmentation and disturbance of natural areas, among others which the large-scale production and its expansion could generate. At the state level, Sao Paulo is the biggest sugar cane producer in Brazil and the first State which has developed the Agro-environmental Zoning for sugar-ethanol Sector defining appropriate areas to sugar cane expansion. This study shows the incorporation of the biodiversity analysis into the Agro-environmental zoning in order to discuss the future of conservation and land use planning. Although the inclusion of important areas (not protected by law) is a positive aspect of the zoning, the most part of Sao Paulo State may become a sugarcane monoculture; despite the restrictions areas indicated o...

Biodiversity should be considered in the environmental impacts assessment (EIA) of policies, plan... more Biodiversity should be considered in the environmental impacts assessment (EIA) of policies, plans, programs and projects. Strategic environmental assessment (SEA) is more likely to include biodiversity in the planning area but until today this has not been clearly defined how it should be done. This study investigated SEA methodologies and their adequacy to include biodiversity in the territorial planning process. Subsequently, ways were found to implement this process on a regional scale in Brazil. It was found that the SEA can act incorporating biodiversity objectives, indicators and information in territorial planning and what are the best methodologies to assess biodiversity in this process. The establishment of priority species to act as indicators is necessary to SEA on regional and/or local scale, because a complete approach to biodiversity is impracticable. Within this aim, models of ecological habitat can be developed and their results can be used as a criterion for choice...

Papéis Avulsos de Zoologia

The White-collared Kite (Leptodon forbesi) is an endemic and threatened raptor of the Brazilian A... more The White-collared Kite (Leptodon forbesi) is an endemic and threatened raptor of the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. Here we present the known records of the species, describe the vegetation types where it was found and show Ecological Niche Models generated using Maxent algorithm. Most of the presence data were recorded in open ombrophilous forest and seasonal semideciduous forest in the states of Alagoas and Pernambuco. Maxent model had a good performance (AUC = 0.982 ± 0.004 SD), showing higher suitability for the species from Paraíba to Alagoas states. Maxent average model revealed a distribution range of 20,344 km² and an area of occupancy of 1,636.89 km². The most suitable areas for the species are those near watercourses and streams. We suggest the creation of protected areas, including private ones, and possible restoration actions to connect the most suitable forest fragments, along with the captive breeding, as the most appropriate strategies for the conservation of the White-...

Ao amor da minha mãe, Maria! E ao carinho dos meus melhores amigos! 3 AGRADECIMENTOS Á CAPES, ao ... more Ao amor da minha mãe, Maria! E ao carinho dos meus melhores amigos! 3 AGRADECIMENTOS Á CAPES, ao CNPq e à FAPESP (Processo nº 2011/11091-1 e Processo BEPE nº 2012/03514-2) pelas bolsas concedidas. Ao professor Marcelo Pereira de Souza pela oportunidade e pela orientação. Aos professores, alunos e funcionários do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciência da Engenharia Ambiental (PPG-SEA) pela parceria firmada em todos esses anos.

pela ajuda na preparação das camadas ambientais e a Luiz M. Horta e Alan Oliveira do Instituto Na... more pela ajuda na preparação das camadas ambientais e a Luiz M. Horta e Alan Oliveira do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais pela ajuda com a instalação dos programas utilizados. Á Prof a. Dr a. Riki Therivel da Oxford Brookes University pelos esclarecimentos sobre a AAE e ao Prof. Dr. José Carlos Motta Jr. do Instituto de Biociências da USP São Paulo pelos esclarecimentos sobre ecologia animal. Aos amigos: Danilo Muniz da Silva pelas conversas esclarecedoras, Augusto Hashimoto de Mendonça pela ajuda com os programas de SIG, Bruno Arantes pela ajuda com os programas de modelagem e Camilla Helena da Silva pela participação desde a definição da técnica de modelagem até a validação dos modelos. Aos professores do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciência da Engenharia Ambiental (PPG-SEA) por me atenderem prontamente sempre que tive dúvidas conceituais e metodológicas, especialmente ao Prof. Dr. Victor Ranieri e Prof. Dr. Marcelo Montaño. Aos alunos do PPG-SEA pelas dicas, conversas, discussões e por tornarem o ambiente de trabalho acolhedor e divertido. Aos funcionários do Centro de Recursos Hídricos e Ecologia Aplicada (CRHEA) pela atenção e cuidado excepcional que ofereceram ao longo desses anos. Às melhores roomates que eu poderia encontrar Raquel Rodrigues dos Santos e Carolina Megume Mizuno pelas contribuições e correções na dissertação e pela participação pessoal e profissional em todas as etapas percorridas desde o início da graduação até agora. Aos amigos que participaram de mais essa conquista pessoalmente, por telefone, MSN, skype, sinais de fumaça, etc. Á minha família e em especial a minha mãe pelo apoio incondicional que sempre dedicou a mim e a minha carreira.

The biodiversity need to be incorporate to the territorial planning, however it is still a challe... more The biodiversity need to be incorporate to the territorial planning, however it is still a challenge to be solved of the technician-operational and political-institutional point of view. Some instruments can offer a base of information related to the biodiversity to be considered in the municipal planning, for example the Environmental Zoning (ZA) and the Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) that until no implemented in Brazil. The aim of this study is incorporate strategic actions for conservation of the biodiversity to the territorial planning in Brotas, São Paulo state, Brazil. Some factors have been identified and selected in literature in accordance with their importance, adaptation to the theme, readiness and accessibility. The criteria and areas that have been choose like priority in national, regional and municipal scale were add and overlay for the elaboration the final map. The software IDRISI 15 Andes Edition was used for manipulation and analysis of the data in UTM 2...

Large mammals are key species for biodiversity conservation. Their high patterns of distribution ... more Large mammals are key species for biodiversity conservation. Their high patterns of distribution and their capacity of migration could reflect effects of the land use alterations in the regional landscape. Nevertheless, the mammal's available data have not been used to orientate Brazilian Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA). This study objective to evaluate the SpeciesLink database contribution to prepare great mammal's distribution models at regional scales and to verify how those models can be incorporated in Brazilian planning and EIA process. Available data of Chrysocyon brachyurus (maned wolf), Leopardus pardalis (Ocelot) and Puma concolor (puma) were reviewed in ArcGis version 10 and used to generate distribution models in software Maxent version 3.3.3 for central region of Sao Paulo State. The models showed that despite many records have incomplete data and inaccurate location information, the SpeciesLink already provides sufficient data (in number and accuracy) to ...

Background/question/methods: Large mammals’ high patterns of distribution and capacity of migrati... more Background/question/methods: Large mammals’ high patterns of distribution and capacity of migration could reflect effects of the land use alteration. For great Brazilian mammals, habitat loss and fragmentation and hunting pressure are the greatest threats. A heterogeneous landscape may still be able to support a considerable diversity of mammals, especially those with generalist habits such as the species studied in this research. But it needs methods to incorporate scientific criteria to land use planning and this subject is still in early stages in Brazil. We used occurrence records of three threatened species Chrysocyon brachyurus (maned wolf), Puma concolor (puma) and Leopardus Pardalis (ocelot) from SpeciesLink database provided by the Research Program Sustainable Conservation of Biodiversity—Biota/FAPESP in Sao Paulo State central region. The environmental datasets were prepared and visualised in ArcGIS version 10 and the models were generated in Maxent version 3.3.3. Results/...

Results Conservation problem • How do we protect species that need large areas to persist in a hu... more Results Conservation problem • How do we protect species that need large areas to persist in a human modified region? • How do we use available data for the Puma to conduct conservation planning in São Paulo State, Brazil? Methods Puma concolor's available georeferenced records in Sao Paulo State, Brazil were collected and processed in ArcGIS 10 (n=551). Environmental data ecologically important to the puma were converted to grid layers (1km). Species' distribution models were generated in Maxent version 3.3.3 k 3 .

Transparency and targeting of public policies as well as the questionning about what has been and... more Transparency and targeting of public policies as well as the questionning about what has been and will be done for achieving energy sustainability have been a problem for the Brazilian sugar-ethanol sector. It regards the negative impacts, such as loss of habitats, fragmentation and disturbance of natural areas, among others which the large-scale production and its expansion could generate. At the state level, Sao Paulo is the biggest sugar cane producer in Brazil and the first State which has developed the Agro-environmental Zoning for sugar-ethanol Sector defining appropriate areas to sugar cane expansion. This study shows the incorporation of the biodiversity analysis into the Agro-environmental zoning in order to discuss the future of conservation and land use planning. Although the inclusion of important areas (not protected by law) is a positive aspect of the zoning, the most part of Sao Paulo State may become a sugarcane monoculture; despite the restrictions areas indicated o...