Valley News Live / Mason-Dixon Poll (original) (raw)

QUESTION: Measure 4 on the November ballot would prohibit smoking, including the use of electronic smoking devices, in public places and most places of employment in the state, including certain outdoor areas. If the election were held today, would you vote:

– “YES” to approve the measure
– “NO” to reject the measure

| | “YES" | “NO” | UNDECIDED | | | -------------------- | -------- | ------------- | -- | | STATE | 62% | 35% | 3% | | | | | | | | REGION | | | | | Fargo/Cass County | 69% | 29% | 2% | | Eastern North Dakota | 60% | 36% | 4% | | Bismarck/Mandan | 63% | 34% | 3% | | Western North Dakota | 58% | 39% | 3% | | | | | | | | SEX | | | | | Men | 58% | 40% | 2% | | Women | 67% | 29% | 4% | | | | | | | | PARTY ID | | | | | Democrat | 63% | 34% | 3% | | Republican | 66% | 31% | 3% | | Independent | 57% | 39% | 4% | | | | | |

QUESTION: Measure 5 on the November ballot would make it a Class C felony for any individual to maliciously and intentionally harm a living dog, cat or horse. The measure would not apply to production agriculture, the lawful activities of hunters and trappers, licensed veterinarians, scientific researchers or to individuals engaged in lawful defense of law or property. If the election were held today, would you vote:

– “YES” to approve the measure
– “NO” to reject the measure

| | “YES” | “NO” | UNDECIDED | | | -------------------- | -------- | ------------- | ------ | | STATE | 66% | 27% | 7% | | | | | | | | REGION | | | | | Fargo/Cass County | 68% | 26% | 6% | | Eastern North Dakota | 65% | 27% | 8% | | Bismarck/Mandan | 65% | 29% | 6% | | Western North Dakota | 66% | 27% | 7% | | | | | | | | SEX | | | | | Men | 61% | 35% | 4% | | Women | 72% | 19% | 9% | | | | | | | | PARTY ID | | | | | Democrat | 81% | 13% | 6% | | Republican | 59% | 34% | 7% | | Independent | 61% | 32% | 7% | | | | | |

How the poll was conducted

How the poll was conducted

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Jacksonville,
Florida from October 3 through October 5, 2012. A total of 625 adults were interviewed statewide
by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched list of North Dakota adult residents
that included both land-line and cell phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter
turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ±4%.
This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range
if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup,
such as a gender or party grouping.

QUESTION: If the 2012 general election for governor and lieutenant governor were held today, which one of the following tickets would get your vote?

-The Democratic ticket of Ryan Taylor & Ellen Chaffee

-The Republican ticket of Jack Dalrymple & Drew Wrigley

-The independent ticket of Paul Sorum & Michael Coachman

-The independent ticket of Roland Riemers & Anthony Johns

| | | | | | | | -------------------- | ------------- | --------- | ------------- | --- | | | TAYLOR | DALRYMPLE | OTHER | UNDECIDED | | | STATE | 24% | 62% | 1% | 13% | | | | | | | | | REGION | | | | | | Fargo/Cass County | 23% | 60% | - | 17% | | Eastern North Dakota | 27% | 58% | 2% | 13% | | Bismarck/Mandan | 23% | 66% | 1% | 10% | | Western North Dakota | 23% | 65% | - | 12% | | | | | | | | | SEX | | | | | | Men | 20% | 66% | 1% | 13% | | Women | 28% | 59% | - | 13% | | | | | | | | | PARTY ID | | | | | | Democrat | 66% | 22% | - | 12% | | Republican | 3% | 94% | - | - | | Independent | 23% | 61% | 3% | 13% | | | | | | |

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for State Treasurer were held today, would you vote for Ross Mushik, the Democrat, or Kelly Schmidt, the Republican?

| | | | | | | | | | --------- | --- | ----- | ---- | ---- | ---- | --- | | | STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | | | SCMIDT | 47% | 52% | 43% | 9% | 81% | 43% | | MUSHIIK | 24% | 19% | 28% | 47% | 4% | 25% | | UNDECIDED | 29% | 29% | 29% | 44% | 15% | 32% | | | | | | | | |

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for State Auditor were held today, would you vote for Scot Kelsh, the Democrat, or Bob Peterson, the Republican?

| | | | | | | | | | --------- | --- | ----- | ---- | ---- | ---- | --- | | | STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | | | PETERSON | 50% | 56% | 45% | 9% | 87% | 46% | | KELSH | 30% | 26% | 33% | 72% | 3% | 25% | | UNDECIDED | 20% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 29% | | | | | | | | |

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for Insurance Commissioner were held today, would you vote for Tom Potter, the Democrat, or Adam Hamm, the Republican?

| | | | | | | | | | --------- | --- | ----- | ---- | ---- | ---- | --- | | | STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | | | HAMM | 57% | 62% | 53% | 16% | 87% | 59% | | POTTER | 30% | 27% | 33% | 72% | 4% | 23% | | UNDECIDED | 13% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 18% | | | | | | | | |

QUESTION: If the 2012 election in the non-partisan race for Superintendent of Public Instruction were held today, would you vote for: (ORDER ROTATED)

- Kirsten Baesler

- Tracy Potter

| | | | | | | | | | --------- | --- | ----- | ---- | ---- | ---- | --- | | | STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | | | POTTER | 40% | 34% | 45% | 44% | 34% | 44% | | BAESLER | 30% | 32% | 28% | 19% | 39% | 29% | | UNDECIDED | 30% | 34% | 27% | 37% | 27% | 27% | | | | | | | | |

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How the poll was conducted

A total of 625 adults were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote
in the November general election. Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched
list of North Dakota adult residents that included both land-line and cell phone numbers.
The margin for error, is no more than ±4%.

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

| | | | | | | | ---------------- | --------------- | ------------- | ------------- | --- | | | RECOGNIZE | RECOGNIZE | RECOGNIZE | DON'T | | | | FAVORABLE | UNFAVORABLE | NEUTRAL | RECOGNIZE | | | | | | | | | | PRESIDENT | | | | | | Mitt Romney | 47% | 23% | 30% | - | | Barack Obama | 36% | 51% | 13% | - | | | | | | | | | SENATE | | | | | | Heidi Heitkamp | 46% | 35% | 18% | 1% | | Rick Berg | 42% | 37% | 20% | 1% | | | | | | | | | HOUSE | | | | | | Kevin Cramer | 40% | 19% | 35% | 6% | | Pam Gulleson | 27% | 17% | 37% | 19% | | | | | | |

QUESTION: If the 2012 general election for president and vice president were held today, which one of the following tickets would get your vote?

- The Democratic ticket of Barack Obama & Joe Biden

- The Republican ticket of Mitt Romney & Paul Ryan

– The Libertarian ticket of Gary Johnson & Jim Gray

– One of the other party tickets

| | OBAMA | ROMNEY | OTHER | UNDECIDED | | | -------------------- | ---------- | --------- | ------------- | -- | | STATE | 40% | 54% | 1% | 5% | | | | | | | | | REGION | | | | | | Fargo/Cass County | 44% | 50% | - | 6% | | Eastern North Dakota | 47% | 47% | 2% | 4% | | Bismarck/Mandan | 35% | 58% | 1% | 6% | | Western North Dakota | 33% | 61% | 1% | 5% | | | | | | | | | SEX | | | | | | Men | 38% | 56% | 1% | 5% | | Women | 41% | 53% | 1% | 5% | | | | | | | | | PARTY ID | | | | | | Democrat | 92% | 4% | - | 4% | | Republican | 3% | 96% | - | 1% | | Independent | 37% | 52% | 3% | 8% | | | | | | |

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for North Dakota’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for Heidi Heitkamp, the Democrat, or Rick Berg, the Republican?

| | HEITKAMP | BERG | UNDECIDED | | | -------------------- | -------- | ------------- | -- | | STATE | 47% | 47% | 6% | | | | | | | | REGION | | | | | Fargo/Cass County | 50% | 41% | 9% | | Eastern North Dakota | 55% | 40% | 5% | | Bismarck/Mandan | 38% | 58% | 4% | | Western North Dakota | 43% | 53% | 4% | | | | | | | | SEX | | | | | Men | 42% | 51% | 7% | | Women | 51% | 44% | 5% | | | | | | | | PARTY ID | | | | | Democrat | 96% | 1% | 3% | | Republican | 8% | 87% | 5% | | Independent | 48% | 43% | 9% | | | | | |

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for North Dakota’s U.S. House seat were held today, would you vote for:

Pam Gulleson – Democrat

Kevin Cramer – Republican

Eric Olsen – Libertarian

| | GULLESON | CRAMER | OLSEN | UNDECIDED | | | -------------------- | ---------- | --------- | ------------- | --- | | STATE | 37% | 49% | 2% | 12% | | | | | | | | | REGION | | | | | | Fargo/Cass County | 44% | 43% | 1% | 12% | | Eastern North Dakota | 38% | 47% | 2% | 13% | | Bismarck/Mandan | 38% | 52% | 2% | 8% | | Western North Dakota | 30% | 54% | 3% | 13% | | | | | | | | | SEX | | | | | | Men | 34% | 52% | 4% | 10% | | Women | 40% | 45% | 1% | 14% | | | | | | | | | PARTY ID | | | | | | Democrat | 79% | 9% | 1% | 11% | | Republican | 5% | 85% | 1% | 9% | | Independent | 37% | 45% | 5% | 13% | | | | | | |

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