Jesse Ausubel | Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (original) (raw)
Papers by Jesse Ausubel
Copyright © 2003 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 ... more Copyright © 2003 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433, USA All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America First printing: May 2003 1 2 3 4 05 04 03 World Bank Working Papers ...
Where does one begin in undertaking specific climate impact studies? Often, such selection is alr... more Where does one begin in undertaking specific climate impact studies? Often, such selection is already dictated by circumstances or events; that is, there is a previous commitment or preference to examine the relationship between climate and a particular crop, region or population. However, the questions of what activities to study, in which places, affecting whom also are frequently not predetermined. This paper attempts to assist the impact assessor by surveying which activities, places and populations analysts have found important to study in the past and the methods they have used to identify climate sensitivity.
Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 1992
Industrial ecology is the network of all industrial processes as they may interact with each othe... more Industrial ecology is the network of all industrial processes as they may interact with each other and live off each other, not only in the economic sense, but also in the sense of direct use of each other's material and energy wastes and products. This paper, which reflects upon the papers and discussions at the National Academy of Sciences Colloquium on Industrial Ecology on May 20-21, 1991, is structured around 10 questions. Do sociotechnical systems have long-range environmental goals? How is the concept of industrial ecology useful and timely? What are environmental technologies? Is there a systematic way to choose among alternatives for improving the ecology of technologies? What are ways to measure performance with respect to industrial ecology? What are the sources and rates of innovation in environmental technologies? How is the market economy performing with respect to industrial ecology? What will be the effect of the ecological modernization of the developed nations of the North on the developing countries of the South? How can creative interaction on environmental issues be fostered among diverse social groups? How must research and education change? 879 The publication costs of this article were defrayed in part by page charge payment. This article must therefore be hereby marked "advertisement" in accordance with 18 U.S.C. §1734 solely to indicate this fact.
American Scientist, 1996
... Turner, BL, II, RW Kates, JF Richards, JT Matthews and WB Meyer. ... Jesse H. Ausubel is dire... more ... Turner, BL, II, RW Kates, JF Richards, JT Matthews and WB Meyer. ... Jesse H. Ausubel is director of the Program for the Human Environment and Senior Research Associate at The Rockefeller University and a program officer of the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation in New York City. ...
Simulation & Gaming, 1983
Increasing atmospheric C02 from widespread burning of fossil fuels may lead to changes in global ... more Increasing atmospheric C02 from widespread burning of fossil fuels may lead to changes in global climate, with impacts on society and environment. Gaming may be a useful means for structuring and learning about this issue. A group at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) has explored several possible C02 games. A framework built around impacts of climatic change, scientific uncertainty, external factors, and policy options of prevention, adaptation, and compensation is described in this article. The framework is designed to raise questions of what could happen to whom, when, and to what effect. An appendix lists background information for the framework. The overwhelming proportion of energy that people use now comes from the burning of fuels containing carbon: coal, oil, gas, and wood. When these fuels are burned, carbon dioxide (C02) is released to the atmosphere.’ C02 is a &dquo;greenhouse&dquo; gas: it lets energy into the atmosphere more freely than it lets it out. Thus, when C02 in the atmosphere increases significantly, the atmosphere near the surface of the earth is likely to become warmer. There is growing concern that if over the next 50 to 100 years people continue to increase their use of carbon fuels, especially the abundant resources of coal, the global climate may become much warmer. Quite different patterns of climate could occur in many regions. Such changes could mean substantial shifts in
Annual Review of Energy and the …, 1992
Annual Reviews tagline graphic. ...
IEEE Aerospace and Electronic Systems Magazine, 1999
My message is my title: Because the Human Brain Does Not Change, Technology Must. That is, techno... more My message is my title: Because the Human Brain Does Not Change, Technology Must. That is, technology must change, must improve, to accommodate billions more people and to lift the standard of living. Engineers, receiving feedback from the market and regulated wisely in the public interest, do much of the improving. Thus, the chance for improving Earth's environment hinges on
Many countries have developed sophisticated mechanisms to advise and assist governmental decision... more Many countries have developed sophisticated mechanisms to advise and assist governmental decision making as it is affected by and affects science and technology at the national level. In the United States such mechanisms include the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP)--which is directed by the President's Science Advisor, the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment (OTA), and the
Organic Geochemistry, 1986
The flow of fossil fuels through contemporary civilizations, and the related emissions and deposi... more The flow of fossil fuels through contemporary civilizations, and the related emissions and depositions of sulphur and nitrogen compounds, can no longer be considered to be of only local importance. The size of these flows compares with and even exceeds natural cycles. This leads to a problem whose future evolution in time is not clear. The question becomes more difficult with the present tendency to increase use of fossil fuels. Whereas this was considered a problem of the quantity of available resources in the 1970's, it may now turn out to be a problem of the quality of resources. The procedure applied in the present study highlights the lack of data and knowledge. Particularly striking are lack of data on quality of resources, the chemistry of the atmosphere, and the transport of aerosols, and the lack of standards by which to judge effects of NOx and SO 2 deposition.
Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 1995
... t/) tial and non-residential construction, in cement and concrete products, for con ... appar... more ... t/) tial and non-residential construction, in cement and concrete products, for con ... apparent consumption of industrial minerals, metals, fore-stry products, and energy materials used for ... not include the dissipated amounts of dimension stone, fluorspar, mica, perlite, steel, asphalt & ...
Repetition has power, like the refrain of a song. Repetition emphasizes and makes things stick. U... more Repetition has power, like the refrain of a song. Repetition emphasizes and makes things stick. US Congressman John Brademas liked to say when he presided over hearings in Washington DC, “Everything has been said, but not everyone has had a chance to say it.” Nearly everyone has heard about the woes of the oceans in recent years. Many events and reports have lifted awareness of the challenges, for example, for conservation of life on seamounts. My premise is not repetition. Rather, I hope to improve our forecasts, their scope, detail, and likelihood or humility. Prediction is after all the true test of science. One of the main strategies for winning improvements is by exploring the limits to our knowledge, that is, by asking what we know and why, what we could quite readily know, and what may be unknowable or very hard to learn. We tend to fill conferences, magazines, and airwaves with what we know. We much less often explore and disclose the limits to our knowledge. Few experts like or bother to write terra incognita on their maps. Yet, disclosing the limits to our knowledge is often among the most useful of acts. Such disclosure helps people choose where to explore, and it helps people to hedge their bets. In this spirit, I will offer some generic comments and illustrations about the known, unknown, and unknowable and how they might bear on the disciplines and forms of expertise caring about marine biodiversity.
Daedalus
Page 1. Iddo K. Wernick, Robert Herman, Sbekhar Govind, and Jesse H. Aus?bet Materialization and ... more Page 1. Iddo K. Wernick, Robert Herman, Sbekhar Govind, and Jesse H. Aus?bet Materialization and Dematerialization: Measures and Trends INTRODUCTION Revenge theory" postulates that the world we have created eventually ...
Technology in Society, 2001
Causes of death varied systematically in the United States during the 20th century as the human e... more Causes of death varied systematically in the United States during the 20th century as the human environment came under control. Infections became less deadly, while heart disease grew dominant, followed by cancer. Logistic models of growth and multi-species competition in which the causes of death are the competitors describe precisely the evolutionary success of the killers. We shows the dossiers of typhoid, diphtheria, cholera, tuberculosis, pneumonia/influenza, heart disease, cancer, and AIDS. Improvements in water and air supply and other aspects of the environment provided cardinal defenses against infection. We project cancer will overtake heart disease as the leading cause of death about 2015, and infections may gradually regain their deadly edge.
Managing Forest Ecosystems, 2006
Would editing a few bytes of the genetic message for a tree to fit human desires do harm or good?... more Would editing a few bytes of the genetic message for a tree to fit human desires do harm or good? To meet demands of larger populations and changing diets, farmers have used a series of innovations to lift yields and thus reduce the area of land needed to support a person. Since 1950 rising yields have stabilized land for agriculture and now promise a Great Restoration of nature on land spared. Foresters have also lifted yields and could lift them much higher, thus sparing natural forests while meeting demand for wood products, whose growth is anyway slowing. While weak demand, numerous worries, and vague promises will slow penetration of genetically modified trees, any technology that improves spatial efficiency has appeal, and editing DNA could lift yields. Both farmers and foresters must work precisely, using fewer hectares and more bits. Fortunately, foresters have several decades in which to test and monitor their practices before genetically modified trees will diffuse widely.
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 1999
Gayana (Concepción), 2003
Copyright © 2003 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 ... more Copyright © 2003 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433, USA All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America First printing: May 2003 1 2 3 4 05 04 03 World Bank Working Papers ...
Where does one begin in undertaking specific climate impact studies? Often, such selection is alr... more Where does one begin in undertaking specific climate impact studies? Often, such selection is already dictated by circumstances or events; that is, there is a previous commitment or preference to examine the relationship between climate and a particular crop, region or population. However, the questions of what activities to study, in which places, affecting whom also are frequently not predetermined. This paper attempts to assist the impact assessor by surveying which activities, places and populations analysts have found important to study in the past and the methods they have used to identify climate sensitivity.
Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 1992
Industrial ecology is the network of all industrial processes as they may interact with each othe... more Industrial ecology is the network of all industrial processes as they may interact with each other and live off each other, not only in the economic sense, but also in the sense of direct use of each other's material and energy wastes and products. This paper, which reflects upon the papers and discussions at the National Academy of Sciences Colloquium on Industrial Ecology on May 20-21, 1991, is structured around 10 questions. Do sociotechnical systems have long-range environmental goals? How is the concept of industrial ecology useful and timely? What are environmental technologies? Is there a systematic way to choose among alternatives for improving the ecology of technologies? What are ways to measure performance with respect to industrial ecology? What are the sources and rates of innovation in environmental technologies? How is the market economy performing with respect to industrial ecology? What will be the effect of the ecological modernization of the developed nations of the North on the developing countries of the South? How can creative interaction on environmental issues be fostered among diverse social groups? How must research and education change? 879 The publication costs of this article were defrayed in part by page charge payment. This article must therefore be hereby marked "advertisement" in accordance with 18 U.S.C. §1734 solely to indicate this fact.
American Scientist, 1996
... Turner, BL, II, RW Kates, JF Richards, JT Matthews and WB Meyer. ... Jesse H. Ausubel is dire... more ... Turner, BL, II, RW Kates, JF Richards, JT Matthews and WB Meyer. ... Jesse H. Ausubel is director of the Program for the Human Environment and Senior Research Associate at The Rockefeller University and a program officer of the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation in New York City. ...
Simulation & Gaming, 1983
Increasing atmospheric C02 from widespread burning of fossil fuels may lead to changes in global ... more Increasing atmospheric C02 from widespread burning of fossil fuels may lead to changes in global climate, with impacts on society and environment. Gaming may be a useful means for structuring and learning about this issue. A group at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) has explored several possible C02 games. A framework built around impacts of climatic change, scientific uncertainty, external factors, and policy options of prevention, adaptation, and compensation is described in this article. The framework is designed to raise questions of what could happen to whom, when, and to what effect. An appendix lists background information for the framework. The overwhelming proportion of energy that people use now comes from the burning of fuels containing carbon: coal, oil, gas, and wood. When these fuels are burned, carbon dioxide (C02) is released to the atmosphere.’ C02 is a &dquo;greenhouse&dquo; gas: it lets energy into the atmosphere more freely than it lets it out. Thus, when C02 in the atmosphere increases significantly, the atmosphere near the surface of the earth is likely to become warmer. There is growing concern that if over the next 50 to 100 years people continue to increase their use of carbon fuels, especially the abundant resources of coal, the global climate may become much warmer. Quite different patterns of climate could occur in many regions. Such changes could mean substantial shifts in
Annual Review of Energy and the …, 1992
Annual Reviews tagline graphic. ...
IEEE Aerospace and Electronic Systems Magazine, 1999
My message is my title: Because the Human Brain Does Not Change, Technology Must. That is, techno... more My message is my title: Because the Human Brain Does Not Change, Technology Must. That is, technology must change, must improve, to accommodate billions more people and to lift the standard of living. Engineers, receiving feedback from the market and regulated wisely in the public interest, do much of the improving. Thus, the chance for improving Earth's environment hinges on
Many countries have developed sophisticated mechanisms to advise and assist governmental decision... more Many countries have developed sophisticated mechanisms to advise and assist governmental decision making as it is affected by and affects science and technology at the national level. In the United States such mechanisms include the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP)--which is directed by the President's Science Advisor, the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment (OTA), and the
Organic Geochemistry, 1986
The flow of fossil fuels through contemporary civilizations, and the related emissions and deposi... more The flow of fossil fuels through contemporary civilizations, and the related emissions and depositions of sulphur and nitrogen compounds, can no longer be considered to be of only local importance. The size of these flows compares with and even exceeds natural cycles. This leads to a problem whose future evolution in time is not clear. The question becomes more difficult with the present tendency to increase use of fossil fuels. Whereas this was considered a problem of the quantity of available resources in the 1970's, it may now turn out to be a problem of the quality of resources. The procedure applied in the present study highlights the lack of data and knowledge. Particularly striking are lack of data on quality of resources, the chemistry of the atmosphere, and the transport of aerosols, and the lack of standards by which to judge effects of NOx and SO 2 deposition.
Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 1995
... t/) tial and non-residential construction, in cement and concrete products, for con ... appar... more ... t/) tial and non-residential construction, in cement and concrete products, for con ... apparent consumption of industrial minerals, metals, fore-stry products, and energy materials used for ... not include the dissipated amounts of dimension stone, fluorspar, mica, perlite, steel, asphalt & ...
Repetition has power, like the refrain of a song. Repetition emphasizes and makes things stick. U... more Repetition has power, like the refrain of a song. Repetition emphasizes and makes things stick. US Congressman John Brademas liked to say when he presided over hearings in Washington DC, “Everything has been said, but not everyone has had a chance to say it.” Nearly everyone has heard about the woes of the oceans in recent years. Many events and reports have lifted awareness of the challenges, for example, for conservation of life on seamounts. My premise is not repetition. Rather, I hope to improve our forecasts, their scope, detail, and likelihood or humility. Prediction is after all the true test of science. One of the main strategies for winning improvements is by exploring the limits to our knowledge, that is, by asking what we know and why, what we could quite readily know, and what may be unknowable or very hard to learn. We tend to fill conferences, magazines, and airwaves with what we know. We much less often explore and disclose the limits to our knowledge. Few experts like or bother to write terra incognita on their maps. Yet, disclosing the limits to our knowledge is often among the most useful of acts. Such disclosure helps people choose where to explore, and it helps people to hedge their bets. In this spirit, I will offer some generic comments and illustrations about the known, unknown, and unknowable and how they might bear on the disciplines and forms of expertise caring about marine biodiversity.
Daedalus
Page 1. Iddo K. Wernick, Robert Herman, Sbekhar Govind, and Jesse H. Aus?bet Materialization and ... more Page 1. Iddo K. Wernick, Robert Herman, Sbekhar Govind, and Jesse H. Aus?bet Materialization and Dematerialization: Measures and Trends INTRODUCTION Revenge theory" postulates that the world we have created eventually ...
Technology in Society, 2001
Causes of death varied systematically in the United States during the 20th century as the human e... more Causes of death varied systematically in the United States during the 20th century as the human environment came under control. Infections became less deadly, while heart disease grew dominant, followed by cancer. Logistic models of growth and multi-species competition in which the causes of death are the competitors describe precisely the evolutionary success of the killers. We shows the dossiers of typhoid, diphtheria, cholera, tuberculosis, pneumonia/influenza, heart disease, cancer, and AIDS. Improvements in water and air supply and other aspects of the environment provided cardinal defenses against infection. We project cancer will overtake heart disease as the leading cause of death about 2015, and infections may gradually regain their deadly edge.
Managing Forest Ecosystems, 2006
Would editing a few bytes of the genetic message for a tree to fit human desires do harm or good?... more Would editing a few bytes of the genetic message for a tree to fit human desires do harm or good? To meet demands of larger populations and changing diets, farmers have used a series of innovations to lift yields and thus reduce the area of land needed to support a person. Since 1950 rising yields have stabilized land for agriculture and now promise a Great Restoration of nature on land spared. Foresters have also lifted yields and could lift them much higher, thus sparing natural forests while meeting demand for wood products, whose growth is anyway slowing. While weak demand, numerous worries, and vague promises will slow penetration of genetically modified trees, any technology that improves spatial efficiency has appeal, and editing DNA could lift yields. Both farmers and foresters must work precisely, using fewer hectares and more bits. Fortunately, foresters have several decades in which to test and monitor their practices before genetically modified trees will diffuse widely.
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 1999
Gayana (Concepción), 2003