Alfred Taudes | WU WIen (original) (raw)

Papers by Alfred Taudes

Research paper thumbnail of Computer Implemented Method for Scoring Change Proposals

Research paper thumbnail of Stochastic models of consumer behaviour

European Journal of Operational Research, Apr 1, 1987

During the past thirty years much research has been carried out in order to produce decision aids... more During the past thirty years much research has been carried out in order to produce decision aids for managers. Considerable efforts have been dedicated to models that describe how consumers make purchase decisions. Within this vast area of research we review stochastic approaches to consumer behaviour, i.e. probabilistic laws relating the observed strings of consecutive purchases to explanator variables. We start out by discussing the basic concepts underlying this field. Then we deal with models concentrating on brand choice, whereby we trace the development from the early ideas in the Fifties to today's sophisticated models. Subsequently we turn to the Negative Binomial Distribution, the 'classical purchase incidence model, and its extensions. Then we describe combined purchase timing-brand selection models and introduce models of store choice and purchase quantity selection. After briefing on estimation and validation methods for stochastic models we finally critically review the state-of-the-art in this field. Special emphasis is placed on empirical applications throughout the review. , Elsevier Science Publishers B.V. (North-Holland) 2 Cl. Wagner, A. Taudes / Stochastic models oj constoner behaoiow INPUT Endogeneous factors -psychological factors -sociodemographic variables Exogeneous factors -marketing mix variables -experience with the product -word-of-mouth communication L DECISION c

Research paper thumbnail of A Multivariate Polya Model of Brand Choice and Purchase Incidence

Marketing Science, Aug 1, 1986

... studies concerning the order of the brand choice process in the case of inexpensive, frequent... more ... studies concerning the order of the brand choice process in the case of inexpensive, frequently bought, nondurable consumer goods, which take ac-count of heterogeneity and nonstationarity, indicate no "learning" (eg Massy 1966, Bass, Givon, Kalwani, Reibstein and Wright ...

Research paper thumbnail of Computer Implemented Method for Transformation Between Discussion Documents and Online Discussion Forums

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluation of E-Participation Efficiency with Biodiversity Measures - the Case of the Digital Agenda Vienna

Research paper thumbnail of A highway freight transport platform for the Chinese freight market — Requirements analysis and case study

2011 IEEE Forum on Integrated and Sustainable Transportation Systems, 2011

A key success factor for a highway freight transport platform is the alignment with the requireme... more A key success factor for a highway freight transport platform is the alignment with the requirements of the local market and its stakeholders. This research firstly analyzes the stakeholders' characteristics and relations in the Chinese highway freight transport market. Based on the different information requirements found and the current market situation, a framework for a Chinese highway freight transport platform

Research paper thumbnail of Exploring the possibilities of an improvement of stochastic market models by rule-based systems

Research paper thumbnail of Erfahrungen bei der empirischen Marktmodellierung

Research paper thumbnail of Brand choice as a heterogeneous nonstationary zero order process

Research paper thumbnail of Entwicklung und empirische Validierung eines heterogenen Kaufverhaltensmodells

Research paper thumbnail of EXORB - A Program System to Examine the Order of Individual Brand choice Processes

Journal of Marketing Research

Research paper thumbnail of Tagungsbericht zum 7.Symposium über Operations Research

Journal für Betriebswirtschaft

Research paper thumbnail of Informationswirtschaft: Ein Sektor mit Zukunft

Research paper thumbnail of Integrating Environmental Sustainability into Supply Chain Evaluation - The LOGMAN Approach

Research paper thumbnail of Integrating inventory control and a price change in the presence of reference price effects: a two-period model

Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 2012

Demand and procurement planning for consumer electronics products must cope with short life cycle... more Demand and procurement planning for consumer electronics products must cope with short life cycles, limited replenishment opportunities and a willingness to pay that is influenced by past prices and decreases over time. We therefore propose the use of an integrated pricing and inventory control model with a two-period linear demand model, in which demand also depends on the difference between a pricehistory-based reference price and the current price. For this model we prove that the optimal joint pricing/inventory policy for the replenishment opportunity after the first period is a base-stock list-price policy. That is, stock is either replenished up to a base-stock level and a list-price is charged, or it is not replenished and a discount is given that increases with the stock-level. Furthermore, we use real-world cell phone data to study the differences between an integrated policy and traditional sequential optimization, where prices are initially optimized based on the expected demand and ordering cost, and the resulting demand distribution is used to determine an optimal inventory policy. Finally, we discuss possible extensions of the model.

Research paper thumbnail of A Multivariate Polya Model of Brand Choice and Purchase Incidence

Marketing Science, 1986

... studies concerning the order of the brand choice process in the case of inexpensive, frequent... more ... studies concerning the order of the brand choice process in the case of inexpensive, frequently bought, nondurable consumer goods, which take ac-count of heterogeneity and nonstationarity, indicate no "learning" (eg Massy 1966, Bass, Givon, Kalwani, Reibstein and Wright ...

Research paper thumbnail of Microdynamics of new product purchase: A model incorporating both marketing and consumer-specific variables

International Journal of Research in Marketing, 1991

ABSTRACT

Research paper thumbnail of —Planning New Tariffs at tele.ring: The Application and Impact of an Integrated Segmentation, Targeting, and Positioning Tool

Marketing Science, 2008

Tele.ring is a mobile phone organization selling contracts and cell phones in the Austrian market... more Tele.ring is a mobile phone organization selling contracts and cell phones in the Austrian market. The market situation in 2005 was highly competitive and dynamic, resulting in relatively short tariff life cycles. Excessively long lead times made tele.ring's management feel dissatisfied with their new tariff development process. Furthermore, a new competitor had entered the market, posing a major threat, and

Research paper thumbnail of Options Analysis of Software Platform Decisions: A Case Study

Management Information Systems Quarterly, 2000

In recent years, the use of option pricing models to support IT investment decisions has been pro... more In recent years, the use of option pricing models to support IT investment decisions has been proposed in the MIS literature. In this paper, we discuss the practical advantages of such techniques for the selection of a software platform. First, we argue that traditional quantitative approaches to a cost-benefit analysis give only a partial picture of such decision situations: due to the long planning horizon required because of the time-consuming and resource-intensive implementation process, it is not possible to exactly predict which applications will, in fact, run on the system over time. Thus, the investor is faced with the problem of valuing "implementation opportunities." We then compare different valuation techniques for this task and discuss their respective advantages and drawbacks. The practical advantages of employing such models are demonstrated by describing a real-life case study where option pricing models were used for deciding whether to continue employing SAP R/2 or to switch to SAP R/3.

Research paper thumbnail of Practice Prize Report An Assortmentwide Decision-Support System for Dynamic Pricing and Promotion Planning in DIY Retailing

Marketing Science, Jul 1, 2007

Research paper thumbnail of Computer Implemented Method for Scoring Change Proposals

Research paper thumbnail of Stochastic models of consumer behaviour

European Journal of Operational Research, Apr 1, 1987

During the past thirty years much research has been carried out in order to produce decision aids... more During the past thirty years much research has been carried out in order to produce decision aids for managers. Considerable efforts have been dedicated to models that describe how consumers make purchase decisions. Within this vast area of research we review stochastic approaches to consumer behaviour, i.e. probabilistic laws relating the observed strings of consecutive purchases to explanator variables. We start out by discussing the basic concepts underlying this field. Then we deal with models concentrating on brand choice, whereby we trace the development from the early ideas in the Fifties to today's sophisticated models. Subsequently we turn to the Negative Binomial Distribution, the 'classical purchase incidence model, and its extensions. Then we describe combined purchase timing-brand selection models and introduce models of store choice and purchase quantity selection. After briefing on estimation and validation methods for stochastic models we finally critically review the state-of-the-art in this field. Special emphasis is placed on empirical applications throughout the review. , Elsevier Science Publishers B.V. (North-Holland) 2 Cl. Wagner, A. Taudes / Stochastic models oj constoner behaoiow INPUT Endogeneous factors -psychological factors -sociodemographic variables Exogeneous factors -marketing mix variables -experience with the product -word-of-mouth communication L DECISION c

Research paper thumbnail of A Multivariate Polya Model of Brand Choice and Purchase Incidence

Marketing Science, Aug 1, 1986

... studies concerning the order of the brand choice process in the case of inexpensive, frequent... more ... studies concerning the order of the brand choice process in the case of inexpensive, frequently bought, nondurable consumer goods, which take ac-count of heterogeneity and nonstationarity, indicate no "learning" (eg Massy 1966, Bass, Givon, Kalwani, Reibstein and Wright ...

Research paper thumbnail of Computer Implemented Method for Transformation Between Discussion Documents and Online Discussion Forums

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluation of E-Participation Efficiency with Biodiversity Measures - the Case of the Digital Agenda Vienna

Research paper thumbnail of A highway freight transport platform for the Chinese freight market — Requirements analysis and case study

2011 IEEE Forum on Integrated and Sustainable Transportation Systems, 2011

A key success factor for a highway freight transport platform is the alignment with the requireme... more A key success factor for a highway freight transport platform is the alignment with the requirements of the local market and its stakeholders. This research firstly analyzes the stakeholders' characteristics and relations in the Chinese highway freight transport market. Based on the different information requirements found and the current market situation, a framework for a Chinese highway freight transport platform

Research paper thumbnail of Exploring the possibilities of an improvement of stochastic market models by rule-based systems

Research paper thumbnail of Erfahrungen bei der empirischen Marktmodellierung

Research paper thumbnail of Brand choice as a heterogeneous nonstationary zero order process

Research paper thumbnail of Entwicklung und empirische Validierung eines heterogenen Kaufverhaltensmodells

Research paper thumbnail of EXORB - A Program System to Examine the Order of Individual Brand choice Processes

Journal of Marketing Research

Research paper thumbnail of Tagungsbericht zum 7.Symposium über Operations Research

Journal für Betriebswirtschaft

Research paper thumbnail of Informationswirtschaft: Ein Sektor mit Zukunft

Research paper thumbnail of Integrating Environmental Sustainability into Supply Chain Evaluation - The LOGMAN Approach

Research paper thumbnail of Integrating inventory control and a price change in the presence of reference price effects: a two-period model

Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 2012

Demand and procurement planning for consumer electronics products must cope with short life cycle... more Demand and procurement planning for consumer electronics products must cope with short life cycles, limited replenishment opportunities and a willingness to pay that is influenced by past prices and decreases over time. We therefore propose the use of an integrated pricing and inventory control model with a two-period linear demand model, in which demand also depends on the difference between a pricehistory-based reference price and the current price. For this model we prove that the optimal joint pricing/inventory policy for the replenishment opportunity after the first period is a base-stock list-price policy. That is, stock is either replenished up to a base-stock level and a list-price is charged, or it is not replenished and a discount is given that increases with the stock-level. Furthermore, we use real-world cell phone data to study the differences between an integrated policy and traditional sequential optimization, where prices are initially optimized based on the expected demand and ordering cost, and the resulting demand distribution is used to determine an optimal inventory policy. Finally, we discuss possible extensions of the model.

Research paper thumbnail of A Multivariate Polya Model of Brand Choice and Purchase Incidence

Marketing Science, 1986

... studies concerning the order of the brand choice process in the case of inexpensive, frequent... more ... studies concerning the order of the brand choice process in the case of inexpensive, frequently bought, nondurable consumer goods, which take ac-count of heterogeneity and nonstationarity, indicate no "learning" (eg Massy 1966, Bass, Givon, Kalwani, Reibstein and Wright ...

Research paper thumbnail of Microdynamics of new product purchase: A model incorporating both marketing and consumer-specific variables

International Journal of Research in Marketing, 1991

ABSTRACT

Research paper thumbnail of —Planning New Tariffs at tele.ring: The Application and Impact of an Integrated Segmentation, Targeting, and Positioning Tool

Marketing Science, 2008

Tele.ring is a mobile phone organization selling contracts and cell phones in the Austrian market... more Tele.ring is a mobile phone organization selling contracts and cell phones in the Austrian market. The market situation in 2005 was highly competitive and dynamic, resulting in relatively short tariff life cycles. Excessively long lead times made tele.ring's management feel dissatisfied with their new tariff development process. Furthermore, a new competitor had entered the market, posing a major threat, and

Research paper thumbnail of Options Analysis of Software Platform Decisions: A Case Study

Management Information Systems Quarterly, 2000

In recent years, the use of option pricing models to support IT investment decisions has been pro... more In recent years, the use of option pricing models to support IT investment decisions has been proposed in the MIS literature. In this paper, we discuss the practical advantages of such techniques for the selection of a software platform. First, we argue that traditional quantitative approaches to a cost-benefit analysis give only a partial picture of such decision situations: due to the long planning horizon required because of the time-consuming and resource-intensive implementation process, it is not possible to exactly predict which applications will, in fact, run on the system over time. Thus, the investor is faced with the problem of valuing "implementation opportunities." We then compare different valuation techniques for this task and discuss their respective advantages and drawbacks. The practical advantages of employing such models are demonstrated by describing a real-life case study where option pricing models were used for deciding whether to continue employing SAP R/2 or to switch to SAP R/3.

Research paper thumbnail of Practice Prize Report An Assortmentwide Decision-Support System for Dynamic Pricing and Promotion Planning in DIY Retailing

Marketing Science, Jul 1, 2007