The Influence of Indo-Pacific Economic Framework on Peace Stability in The ASEAN Region (original) (raw)
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Economic Interdependence and Peace in East Asia: The Role of Regional Organizations
Seoul National University Journal of International Affairs, 2018
"This research investigates and describes economic interdependence and regional peace in East Asia in the period 1967 to 2016 based on a liberal framework. This study seeks to examine how economic interdependence decreases the severity of military conflict among ASEAN, ASEAN+3, and EAS member-states. Quantitative analysis with regression modeling was used as the primary research methodology, and the result suggests that increased economic interdependence is a key driving factor of peace among the member-states of ASEAN, ASEAN+3, and EAS. Nonetheless, an increased level of democracy does not affect the severity of military dispute in East Asia, nor is the intra-regional trade among ASEAN countries large enough to contribute to the peace among its member states. This paper presents the idea that trade disputes in East Asia would increase the security tension among East Asian countries, as the results suggests economic interdependence is a key driving factor of regional peace among ASEAN, ASEAN+3, and EAS member-states. Since little research on peace in East Asian has been conducted through quantitative methodology, this paper would be able to uniquely contribute to the richness of the discipline of security studies."
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Does ASEAN play a role in managing security issues in Southeast Asia and beyond? ASEAN is considered one of the most successful regional security institutions (RSIs), particularly after the end of the Cold War. The end of the Cold War created a power vacuum in East Asia, and there was political momentum in the region to establish multilateral economic and security organizations to fill that vacuum. Indeed, non-ASEAN member states, such as Australia and Japan, have successfully created a multilateral economic institution, the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation. However, it was ultimately ASEAN that shaped the regional multilateral architecture in the post-Cold War Asia-Pacific. Building on ASEAN's Post Ministerial Conferences (PMCs) to interact with external actors, it started to establish a number of affiliated institutions, including the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) in 1994, ASEAN Plus Three (APT) in 1997, East Asia Summit (EAS) in 2005, and the ASEAN Defence Ministers' Meeting Plus (ADMM-Plus) in 2010. This was possible because the 1992 ASEAN Summit decided to expand its institutional agenda by including political and security issues in ASEAN forums (ASEAN Secretariat, 1992). In short, ASEAN, as the core of regional multilateralism, encompassing small, medium, and great powers in the region, became the RSI in East Asia. Nevertheless, the strategic environment created by ASEAN through the construction of regional multilateral architecture in East Asia has been gradually changing because of the emerging strategic competition
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With Compliments This Working Paper series presents papers in a preliminary form and serves to stimulate comment and discussion. The views expressed are entirely the author's own and not that of the Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies. The Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies (IDSS) was established in July 1996 as an autonomous research institute within the Nanyang Technological University. Its objectives are to: • Conduct research on security, strategic and international issues. • Provide general and graduate education in strategic studies, international relations, defence management and defence technology. • Promote joint and exchange programmes with similar regional and international institutions; organise seminars/conferences on topics salient to the strategic and policy communities of the Asia-Pacific. Research Through its Working Paper Series, IDSS Commentaries and other publications, the Institute seeks to share its research findings with the strategic studies and defence policy communities. The Institute's researchers are also encouraged to publish their writings in refereed journals. The focus of research is on issues relating to the security and stability of the Asia-Pacific region and their implications for Singapore and other countries in the region.
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ASEAN can safely be termed as the most successful regional integration exercise in the developing world today. The article analyzes the role of 'State' in determining the degree of integration in ASEAN. It argues that the World Order and the role played by the contemporary major powers in the world-the US and China-determined the pace of integration for the organization historically by creating and enhancing the external threat factor during the Cold War era of bipolarity and post-Cold War era of unipolarity. ASEAN evolved with a slow pace initially however it overcame the internal conflict and problems due to external threat of communism during Cold War era. In the post-Cold War era with the emergence of a unipolar World System and the US as a sole super power it continued evolving with an enhanced speed as a vibrant and dynamic regional organization. World Order and the resultant external threat factor strengthened ASEAN remarkably.
ASEAN in the twenty-first century: a sceptical review
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Over the past few years, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has undertaken institutional reforms in the hope of rejuvenating itself for the twenty-first century. This paper utilizes the theory of subaltern realism (SR) to examine these initiatives. SR emphasizes that developing world states are weak and internally divided. As such, they formulate regional relations from the perspective of doing what is needed to further the state-building process. This paper assesses two of these reformsthe ASEAN Charter and the idea of the ASEAN Community idea-from the SR perspective and concludes that these measures are unlikely to have the desired rejuvenating effect. The ASEAN Charter envisions an ASEAN that is more intrusive than most of its members will tolerate. The ASEAN Community is not supported by a strong ASEAN identity. However, the regional environment of East Asia creates a political space wherein a unified and motivated ASEAN has the potential to exercise considerable influence. ASEAN member states are faced with the dilemma of determining how to balance their demands for sovereignty with the real advantages they will gain by supporting ASEAN. SR needs to be further developed before it can offer guidance in evaluating this situation.
ASEAN in the 21st Century: A sceptical review
Over the past few years, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has undertaken institutional reforms in the hope of rejuvenating itself for the twenty-first century. This paper utilizes the theory of subaltern realism (SR) to examine these initiatives. SR emphasizes that developing world states are weak and internally divided. As such, they formulate regional relations from the perspective of doing what is needed to further the state-building process. This paper assesses two of these reformsthe ASEAN Charter and the idea of the ASEAN Community idea-from the SR perspective and concludes that these measures are unlikely to have the desired rejuvenating effect. The ASEAN Charter envisions an ASEAN that is more intrusive than most of its members will tolerate. The ASEAN Community is not supported by a strong ASEAN identity. However, the regional environment of East Asia creates a political space wherein a unified and motivated ASEAN has the potential to exercise considerable influence. ASEAN member states are faced with the dilemma of determining how to balance their demands for sovereignty with the real advantages they will gain by supporting ASEAN. SR needs to be further developed before it can offer guidance in evaluating this situation.