Prediction Of Nigerian Crude Oil Viscosity Using Artificial Neural Network (original) (raw)

PREDICTION OF CRUDE OIL VISCOSITY USING FEED-FORWARD BACK- PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORK (FFBPNN

Petroleum and Coal, 2012

Crude oil viscosity is an important governing parameter of fluid flow both in the porous media and in pipelines. So, estimating the oil viscosity at various operating conditions with accuracy is of utmost importance to petroleum engineers. Usually, oil viscosity is determined by laboratory measurements at reservoir temperature. However, laboratory experiments are rather expensive and in most cases, the data from such experiments are not reliable. So, petroleum engineers prefer to use published correlations but these correlations are either too simple or too complex and so many of them are region-based not generic. To tackle the above enumerated drawbacks, in this paper, a Feed-Forward Back-Propagation Neural Network (FFBPNN) model has been developed to estimate the crude oil viscosity (μ o) of Undersaturated reservoirs in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria. The newly developed FFBPNN model shows good results compared to the existing empirical correlations. The μ o FFBPNN model achieved an average absolute relative error of 0.01998 and the correlation coefficient (R 2) of 0.999 compared to the existing empirical correlations. From the performance plots for the FFBPNN model and empirical correlations against their experimental values, the FFBPNN model's performance was excellent.

A neural network model and an updated correlation for estimation of dead crude oil viscosity

Viscosity is one of the most important physical properties in reservoir simulation, formation evaluation, in designing surface facilities and in the calculation of original hydrocarbon in-place. Mostly, oil viscosity is measured in PVT laboratories only at reservoir temperature. Hence, it is of great importance to use an accurate correlation for prediction of oil viscosity at different operating conditions and various temperatures. Although, different correlations have been proposed for various regions, the applicability of the existing correlations for Iranian oil reservoirs is limited due to the nature of the Iranian crude oil. In this study, based on Iranian oil reservoir data, a new correlation for the estimation of dead oil viscosity was provided using non-linear multivariable regression and non-linear optimization methods simultaneously with the optimization of the other existing correlations. This new correlation uses API Gravity and temperature as an input parameter. In addition, a neural-network-based model for prediction of dead oil viscosity is presented. Detailed comparisons show that validity and accuracy of the new correlation and the neural-network model are in good agreement with large data set of Iranian oil reservoir when compared with other correlations.

The Artificial Neural Network's Prediction of Crude Oil Viscosity for Pipeline Safety

Petroleum Science and Technology, 2009

Predicting crude oil viscosity is a challenge faced by reservoir engineers in production planning. Some early researchers have propounded some theories based on crude oil properties and have encountered various problems leading to errors in forecasted values. This article discusses work carried out with a model using an artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting crude oil viscosity of Nigerian crude oil. The model was started through adoption of a classical regression technique empirical method for dead oil viscosity as a function of American Institute for Petroleum (API) and reduced temperature. The Peng-Robinson equation of state and other thermodynamic properties are introduced, coupled with the Standing model for calculating bubble point pressure (P b ). The developed model was evaluated using existing measured real-life data collected from 10 oil fields within the Niger Delta region of Nigeria. Both the predicted and measured viscosities were plotted against each corresponding reservoir pressure to establish the model's level of reliability. The superimposition of the pressure-viscosity relationship shows that at each point, the viscosity model captures the physical behavior of viscosity variations with pressure. In each case, the ANN does not require a data relationship to predict the crude oil viscosity but rather relies on the field data obtained for training. For this reason, it is recommended that the ANN approach should be applied in oil fields for reduction in error, computational time, and cost of overproduction and underproduction.

Prediction of the Viscosity of Heavy Petroleum Fractions and Crude Oils by Neural Networks

Journal of The Japan Petroleum Institute, 1996

In this work, the prediction of heavy petroleum fractions was significantly improved by using a backpropagation neural network model. It was found that scaling the data, fed to the neural net, improved the convergence of the estimated parameter (viscosity) in reasonable time with acceptable accuracy. An absolute error of 3.4% was achieved which is found to be better than those by other conventional methods.

Artificial Neural Network Model Prediction of Bitumen/Light Oil Mixture Viscosity under Reservoir Temperature and Pressure Conditions as a Superior Alternative to Empirical Models

Energies, 2021

Herein, we show the prediction of the viscosity of a binary mixture of bitumen and light oil using a feedforward neural network with backpropagation model, as compared to empirical models such as the reworked van der Wijk model (RVDM), modified van der Wijk model (MVDM), and Al-Besharah. The accuracy of the ANN was based on all of the samples, while that of the empirical models was analyzed based on experimental results obtained from rheological studies of three binary mixtures of light oil (API 32°) and bitumen (API 7.39°). The classical Mehrotra–Svrcek model to predict the viscosity of bitumen under temperature and pressure, which estimated bitumen results with an %AAD of 3.86, was used along with either the RVDM or the MVDM to estimate the viscosity of the bitumen and light oil under reservoir temperature and pressure conditions. When both the experimental and literature data were used for comparison to an artificial neural network (ANN) model, the MVDM, RVDM and Al-Besharah had ...

Using Intelligent Methods and Optimization of the Existing Empirical Correlations for Iranian Dead Oil Viscosity

2017

Numerous empirical correlations exist for the estimation of crude oil viscosities. Most of these correlations are not based on the experimental and field data from Iranian geological zone. In this study several well-known empirical correlations including Beal, Beggs, Glasso, Labedi, Schmidt, Alikhan and Naseri were optimized and refitted with the Iranian oil field data. The results showed that the Beal and the Labedi methods were not suitable for estimation of the viscosity of the Iranian crudes, while the Beggs, Glasso and Schmidt methods gave reasonable results. The Naseri’s correlation and their present method proved to be the best classical methods investigated in this study. Two new intelligent methods to predict the viscosity of Iranian crudes have also been introduced. The study also showed that the neural network and SVM give much better results comparing to classical correlations. It is claimed that this study may provide more exact results for the prediction of Iranian oil...

Prediction of oil PVT properties using neural networks

SPE Middle East Oil …, 2001

Reservoir fluid properties are very important in reservoir engineering computations such as material balance calculations, well test analysis, reserve estimates, and numerical reservoir simulations. Ideally, these properties should be obtained from actual measurements. Quite often, however, these measurements are either not available, or very costly to obtain. In such cases, empirically derived correlations are used to predict the needed properties. All computations, therefore, will depend on the accuracy of the correlations used for predicting the fluid properties. This study presents Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) model for predicting the formation volume factor at the bubble point pressure. The model is developed using 803 published data from the Middle East, Malaysia, Colombia, and Gulf of Mexico fields. One-half of the data was used to train the ANN models, one quarter to cross-validate the relationships established during the training process and the remaining one quarter to test the models to evaluate their accuracy and trend stability. The results show that the developed model provides better predictions and higher accuracy than the published empirical correlations. The present model provides predictions of the formation volume factor at the bubble point pressure with an absolute average percent error of 1.789%, a standard deviation of 2.2053% and correlation coefficient of 0.988. Trend tests were performed to check the behavior of the predicted values of B ob for any change in reservoir temperature, Gas Oil Ratio (GOR), gas gravity and oil gravity. The trends were found to obey the physical laws.

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for Prediction of Viscosity Reduction of Heavy Crude Oil using Different Organic Solvents

The Journal of Engineering, 2020

The increase globally fossil fuel consumption as it represents the main source of energy around the world, and the sources of heavy oil more than light, different techniques were used to reduce the viscosity and increase mobility of heavy crude oil. this study focusing on the experimental tests and modeling with Back Feed Forward Artificial Neural Network (BFF-ANN) of the dilution technique to reduce a heavy oil viscosity that was collected from the south- Iraq oil fields using organic solvents, organic diluents with different weight percentage (5, 10 and 20 wt.% ) of (n-heptane, toluene, and a mixture of different ratio toluene / n-Heptane) at constant temperature. Experimentally the higher viscosity reduction was about from 135.6 to 26.33 cP when the mixture of toluene/heptane (75/25 vol. %) was added. The input parameters for the model were solvent type, wt. % of solvent, RPM and shear rate, the results have been demonstrated that the proposed model has superior performan...

Support Vector Machine Model for Predicting Gas Saturated and Undersaturated Crude Oil Viscosity of Niger Delta Oil Reservoir

Journal of Engineering Research and Reports, 2021

Oil viscosity is one of the most important physical and thermodynamic property used when considering reservoir simulation, production forecasting and enhanced oil recovery. Traditional experimental procedure is expensive and time consuming while correlations are replete however they are limited in precision, hence need for a new Machine Learning (ML) models to accurately quantify oil viscosity of Niger Delta crude oil. This work presents use of ML model to predict gas-saturated and undersaturated oil viscosities. The ML used is the Support Vector Machine (SVM), it is applicable for linear and non-linear problems, the algorithm creates a hyperplane that separates data into two classes. The model was developed using data sets collected from the Niger Delta oil field. The data set was used to train, cross-validate, and test the models for reliability and accuracy. Correlation of Coefficient, Average Absolute Relative Error (AARE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) were used to evaluate the developed model and compared with other correlations. Result indicated that SVM model outperformed other empirical models revealing the accuracy and advantage SVM a ML technique over expensive empirical correlations.