Pluvio-Thermal Conditions Pertaining to Vegetation of Key Crops in Southeastern Poland 1901-2010 (original) (raw)
Regional Climate Changes in North-Eastern Poland and Their Impact on Maize Crops
Acta Scientiarum Polonorum-Formatio Circumiectus, 2021
Aim of the study. Indication of changes in maize yield for grain and silage in connection with the observed climate changes. Material and methods.Data from field experiments of the experimental station of the University of Warmia and Mazury since 1972 as well as meteorological data (air temperatures and precipitation). Calculations using the trend analysis of original variables and determined indexes (GDD, SPI, Sielianinov index), weather-yield linear models and elements of spectral analysis. Results and conclusions. Changes in thermal conditions were demonstrated based on average air temperatures and the GDD index. There were no significant changes in atmospheric precipitation, showing a small periodicity of ten years, and no changes in monthly frequency with a deficit of precipitation (SPI analysis). It was demonstrated that changes in thermal conditions as well as the introduction of new maize varieties over fifty years significantly improved plant maturation, which resulted in a...
Changes in thermal and precipitation conditions in Poland in 1971–2010
Annals of Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Land Reclamation, 2014
Changes in thermal and precipitation conditions in Poland in 1971-2010. The article presents changes in thermal and precipitation conditions on Polish territory in the years 1971- -2010 based on data from six meteorological stations (Koszalin, Olsztyn, Poznań, Lublin, Opole and Kraków). These data concern the monthly average air temperature, precipitation and the number of days with precipitation per month. Based on the analysis of changing trends in the study of meteorological elements, authors observed an increase in the mean annual air temperature of about 0.9°C over 10 years in all localities. In contrast, trends in the average monthly air temperatures were characterised by temporal and spatial variation. As a result of the increase in temperature, there was a change in the dates signifying the beginning and the end of the thermal periods: farming (OG), vegetation (OW), intensive vegetation (OIW) and maturation or thermal summers (OD/L). A tendency for these periods to start ear...
Forest Research Papers
This work presents an assessment of changes in the hygro-climatic conditions determining the vegetation and productivity of forest areas. Selected indices such as the radiant index of climate aridity – RIA, optimal precipitation – Popt, critical value of precipitation – Pkrt and CVP index (Climate, Vegetation, Productivity), which describe annual biomass and wood production under climatic conditions, were used. The analysis is based on standard meteorological measurements taken from 21 stations from the period of 1951–2015. The daily data were employed to calculate the previously mentioned indices, and the next linear trend coefficient was used to assess changes in hygro-climatic conditions. The results show an increasing tendency towards dry climate conditions (positive values of the RIA linear trend coefficient) in a large part of the area consisting of Wielkopolska, the Silesian lowlands, and southern Poland. These areas are also characterized by the fastest increase in the most ...
In this paper spring and autumn temperature thresholds of 5°C and 10°C, active air temperature sums and lengths of growing seasons with temperature threshold of 5°C and 10°C were analyzed. The analysis were made for 10 meteorological stations for the period 1961-2011. The dates of occurrence of phenological phases of selected plants (oxeye daisy, beech, apple, winter wheat and maize) has been investigated. It was observed a tendency of earlier appearance of spring phenological phases and later appearance of autumn phenological phases. As a result extension of vegetation periods in the Republic of Slovenia is present. Dates with occurrence of phenological phases of selected plants from 8 phenological stations were connected with the results of the analysis of meteorological parameters from 8 meteorological stations. The highest correlation coefficients were obtained for the temperature parameters (0.8), while the average precipitation quantities, number of days with frost, potential evapotranspiration and water balance showed a low correlation coefficient values with the appearance of phenological phases.
Phenological changes and reduced seasonal synchrony in western Poland
International Journal of Biometeorology, 2011
Botanical gardens offer continuity for phenological recording in observers, protocols and plant specimens that may not be achievable from other sources. Here, we examine phenological change and synchrony from one such garden in western Poland. We analysed 66 botanical phenophases and 18 interphase intervals recorded between 1977 and 2007 from the Poznań Botanical Garden. These were examined for trends through time and responsiveness to temperature. Furthermore, we derived measures of synchrony for start of spring and end of autumn events to assess if these had changed over time. All 39 events with a mean date before mid-July demonstrated a significant negative relationship with temperature. Where autumn events were significantly related to temperature, they indicated a positive relationship. Typically, spring events showed an advance over time and autumn events a delay. Interphase intervals tended to lengthen over the study period. The measures of synchrony changed significantly over time suggesting less synchrony among spring events and also among autumn events. In combination, these results suggest increases in growing season length. However, responses to a changing climate were species-specific. Thus, the transitions from winter into spring and from autumn into winter are becoming less clearly defined.
Thermal growing season in Poland calculated by two different methods
Annals of Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Land Reclamation, 2015
Methods of identifying dates of passing determined threshold value are of significant importance in the study of thermal growing seasons. The difficulty to determine dates of beginning and end of growing season in a given year stems from the fact that daily mean air temperature changes irregularly on a day-to-day basis often crossing the threshold value (i.e. 5°C) multiple times. The most frequently used method to identify dates of threshold value crossing is the mathematical or graphical method proposed by Gumiński in 1950 which based on monthly mean air temperature values. In the 1970s, Huculak and Makowiec presented a method using daily mean values of air temperature. It is assumed that both methods give comparative results although calculations of daily mean air temperature render more accurate results. This paper presents the comparison of these two methods. Air temperatures measurements from 1966–2005 taken at 38 weather stations located in various physiographic conditions in ...
Long-Term Changes of Bioclimatic Conditions in Cracow (Poland)
The paper presents variability of bioclimatic conditions in Cracow (Poland) during the period of 1826–2006. The data was gathered at the meteorological station situated in Botanical Garden in Cracow. Several bioclimate indices were applied to assess changes in winter (January), spring (April), summer (July) and autumn (October) seasons. KeywordsBioclimate-climate change-Cracow-human heat balance-Poland
The thermal seasons variability in Poland, 1951–2010
Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2015
The aim of this study is to detect variability and changes in the occurrence of the thermal seasons in Poland during the period from 1951 to 2010. A monthly temperature dataset using average area values allowed the researchers to set proper occurrence dates for the thermal seasons' beginnings and length according to the following criteria: winter (t < 0°C), early spring (0-5°C), spring (5-15°C), summer (t > 15°C), autumn (5-15°C) and early winter (0-5°C). Statistically significant long-term trends have been detected for the occurrence dates of the thermal seasons' beginnings and season length. Seasonal variability accelerated significantly since the end of the twentieth century. The trend of limiting wintertime in Poland is 0.64 days per year, while summer and early spring seasons are longer by approximately 0.30 and 0.25 days per year, respectively. All seasons since thermal early spring until thermal summer tend to occur earlier, while the following seasons have the opposite trend. As a result, the number of years without thermal winter has substantially increased in the past 20 years. Simultaneously, thermal summer became the longest season in 85 % of years after 1990 in comparison to less than 50 % in the period from 1951 to 1970. Also, the change in the annual course of monthly mean temperature results in the fact that thermal spring is becoming longer than thermal autumn.
Agronomy
Climate change is affecting all sectors of human activities worldwide, including crop production. The aim of the paper was to evaluate the average daily air temperatures measured at one hundred meteorological stations across Slovakia in 1961–2010 and calculate the maximum length of the vegetation period for Solanum lycopersicum L., Brassica oleracea L. var. capitata and Daucus carota L. Future trends predictions of the temporal and spatial development across the duration of the vegetation period in Slovakia were elaborated for decades 2011–2020, 2041–2050, 2071–2080 and 2091–2100. Our results show that there was an earlier start to the vegetation period in spring and a later termination in autumn for past 30 years. There is a predicted trend of prolongation of the maximum duration of the vegetation period up to 20 days (Solanum lycopersicum L., Brassica oleracea L. var. capitata) and 15 days (Daucus carota L.) in comparison with the refence decade 2001–2010. The maximum vegetation p...