Hyperbolic trend of a global population in XVI-XX a.d. as a mirror of condensation' in the World system (original) (raw)

2018 Eleventh International Conference "Management of large-scale system development" (MLSD, 2018

Abstract

A non-trivial dynamics of the Earth's population growth in a historical time, viz. inverse power trend from XV- XVI to mathrmXmathrmXmathrmtmathrmh\mathrm {X}\mathrm {X}^{\mathrm {t}\mathrm {h}}mathrmXmathrmXmathrmtmathrmh, and a transfer to fast linear growth in the second half of mathrmXmathrmXmathrmtmathrmh\mathrm {X}\mathrm {X}^{\mathrm {t}\mathrm {h}}mathrmXmathrmXmathrmtmathrmh century, is analyzed. A hypothesis of two limiting stages of the growth is suggested. Up to mathrmXmathrmXmathrmtmathrmh\mathrm {X}\mathrm {X}^{\mathrm {t}\mathrm {h}}mathrmXmathrmXmathrmtmathrmh century the growth was limited by a slow (centennial) process of unification of administrative and economical subunits within national states and regions, whereas the contemporary growth is going in faster, biological time scale (generations) and restricted by social factors. The inverse power, or hyperbolic, dynamics displays close similarities with phase transitions, like condensation or crystallization in physical systems. The latter are characterized by inverse power distributions of domains' size in transforming phases that gives rise to hyperbolic relation of measurable critical parameters of a system with a control parameter.

Vladimir Echenique hasn't uploaded this paper.

Let Vladimir know you want this paper to be uploaded.

Ask for this paper to be uploaded.