#3466 Risk Factors and Transitional Probability of Clinical Events in Korean CKD Patients Using the Multi-State Model: Results from the Know-CKD Study (original) (raw)
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Kidney Research and Clinical Practice
Background: The 2009 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eG-FRcr) equation contains a race component that is not based on biology and may cause a bias in results. Therefore, the 2021 eGFRcr and creatinine-cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcr-cysC) equations were developed with no consideration of race. This study compared the cardiovascular event (CVE) and all-cause mortality and CVE combined predictability among the three eGFR equations in Korean chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. Methods: This study included 2,207 patients from the KoreaN Cohort Study for Outcome in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) index were used to compare the predictability of the study outcomes according to the 2009 eGFRcr, 2021 eGFRcr, and 2021 eGFRcr-cysC equations. Results: The overall prevalence of CVE and all-cause mortality were 9% and 7%, respectively. There was no difference in area under the curve of ROC for CVE and mortality and CVE combined among all three equations. Compared to the 2009 eGFRcr, both the 2021 eGFRcr (NRI, 0.013; 95% confidence interval [CI],-0.002 to 0.028) and the eGFRcr-cysC (NRI,-0.001; 95% CI,-0.031 to 0.029) equations did not show improved CVE predictability. Similar findings were observed for mortality and CVE combined predictability with both the 2021 eGFRcr (NRI,-0.019; 95% CI,-0.039-0.000) and the eGFRcr-cysC (NRI,-0.002; 95% CI,-0.023 to 0.018). Conclusion: The 2009 eGFRcr equation was not inferior to either the 2021 eGFRcr or eGFRcr-cysC equation in predicting CVE and the composite of mortality and CVE in Korean CKD patients.
BMC nephrology, 2014
The progression and complications of chronic kidney disease should differ depending on the cause (C), glomerular filtration rate category (G), and albuminuria (A). The KNOW-CKD (KoreaN Cohort Study for Outcome in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease), which is a prospective cohort study, enrolls subjects with chronic kidney disease stages 1 to 5 (predialysis). Nine nephrology centers in major university hospitals throughout Korea will enroll approximately 2,450 adults with chronic kidney disease over a 5-year period from 2011 to 2015. The participating individuals will be monitored for approximately 10 years until death or until end-stage renal disease occurs. The subjects will be classified into subgroups based on the following specific causes of chronic kidney disease: glomerulonephritis, diabetic nephropathy, hypertensive nephropathy, polycystic kidney disease, and others. The eligible subjects will be evaluated at baseline for socio-demographic information, detailed personal/fam...
Factors Associated With Kidney Disease Progression and Mortality in a Referred CKD Population
American Journal of Kidney Diseases, 2010
Knowing how kidney disease progresses is important for decision making in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and for designing clinical services. Prospective cohort study. We examined renal function trajectories in CRISIS (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Standards Implementation Study), in which 1,325 patients with CKD stages 3-5 and mean age of 65.1 years were followed up prospectively for a median of 26 months after referral to a regional nephrology center in the United Kingdom. By protocol, estimated glomerular filtration rate was determined every 12 months. CKD stage defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥ 45 (stage 3a), 30-44 (3b), 15-29 (4), and < 15 (5) mL/min/1.73 m². Onset of renal replacement therapy (RRT), death, the composite end point of RRT or death, or decreasing CKD stage. During a median follow-up of 26 months, 13% reached the end point of RRT (5.1 events/100 patient-years), 20% died (9.6 deaths/100 patient-years), and 33% reached the combined end point of RRT or death (14.7 events/100 patient-years). For stage 3a, baseline prevalence and annual probabilities of decreasing CKD stage, RRT, and death were 18.0%, 0.41, 0.01, and 0.02, respectively. Corresponding values for stage 3b were 32.5%, 0.22, < 0.01, and 0.06; for stage 4, 36.5%, 0.17, 0.03, and 0.10; and for stage 5, 13.2%, zero (by definition), 0.31, and 0.08, respectively. Markov model projections suggested a steady decrease for proportions with stages 3a, 3b, and 4; a steady increase for death and RRT; and a biphasic pattern for (non-RRT) stage 5, with a plateau in the first 2 years followed by a steady decrease. Single-center observational study. This study suggests that death and RRT are the dominant outcomes in patients referred for management of CKD and that most patients spend comparatively little time in late stages without RRT.
Clinical and experimental nephrology, 2017
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) eventually progresses to end-stage renal disease (ESRD). However, risk factors associated with CKD progression have not been well characterized in Japanese patients with CKD who are less affected with coronary disease than Westerners. A large-scale, multicenter, prospective, cohort study was conducted in patients with CKD and under nephrology care, who met the eligibility criteria [Japanese; age 20-75 years; and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR): 10-59 mL/min/1.73 m(2)]. The primary endpoint was a composite of time to a 50 % decline in eGFR from baseline or time to the initiation of renal replacement therapy (RRT). The secondary endpoints were the rate of decline in eGFR from baseline, time to a 50 % decline in eGFR from baseline, time to the initiation of RRT, and time to doubling of serum creatinine (Cre) concentration. 2966 patients (female, 38.9 %; age, 60. 3 ± 11.6 years) were enrolled. The incidence of the primary endpoint increased signi...
Epidemiology of CKD Regression in Patients under Nephrology Care
PLOS ONE, 2015
Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) regression is considered as an infrequent renal outcome, limited to early stages, and associated with higher mortality. However, prevalence, prognosis and the clinical correlates of CKD regression remain undefined in the setting of nephrology care. This is a multicenter prospective study in 1418 patients with established CKD (eGFR: 60-15 ml/min/1.73m²) under nephrology care in 47 outpatient clinics in Italy from a least one year. We defined CKD regressors as a ΔGFR 0 ml/min/1.73 m 2 /year. ΔGFR was estimated as the absolute difference between eGFR measured at baseline and at follow up visit after 18-24 months, respectively. Outcomes were End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) and overall-causes Mortality.391 patients (27.6%) were identified as regressors as they showed an eGFR increase between the baseline visit in the renal clinic and the follow up visit. In multivariate regression analyses the regressor status was not associated with CKD stage. Low proteinuria was the main factor associated with CKD regression, accounting per se for 48% of the likelihood of this outcome. Lower systolic blood pressure, higher BMI and absence of autosomal polycystic disease (PKD) were additional predictors of CKD regression. In regressors, ESRD risk was 72% lower (HR: 0.28; 95% CI 0.14-0.57; p<0.0001) while mortality risk did not differ from that in non-regressors (HR: 1.16; 95% CI 0.73-1.83; p = 0.540). Spline models showed that the reduction of ESRD risk associated with positive ΔGFR was attenuated in advanced CKD stage. CKD regression occurs in about one-fourth patients receiving renal care in nephrology units and correlates with low proteinuria, BP and the absence of PKD. This condition portends better renal prognosis, mostly in earlier CKD stages, with no excess risk for mortality.
Incidence of cardiovascular events and mortality in Korean patients with chronic kidney disease
Scientific Reports, 2021
Few studies have investigated the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the Asian chronic kidney disease (CKD) population. This study assessed the incidence of CVD, death, and a composite outcome of CVD and death in a prospective Korean predialysis CKD cohort. From a total of 2179 patients, incidence rates were analyzed, and competing risk analyses were conducted according to CKD stage. Additionally, incidence was compared to the general population. During a median 4.1 years of follow-up, the incidence of CVD, all-cause death, and the composite outcome was 17.2, 9.6, and 24.5 per 1000 person-years, respectively. These values were higher in diabetic vs. non-diabetic subjects (P < 0.001). For all outcomes, incidence rates increased with increasing CKD stage (CVD, P = 0.001; death, P < 0.001; and composite, P < 0.001). Additionally, CKD stage G4 [hazard ratio (HR) 2.8, P = 0.008] and G5 (HR 5.0, P < 0.001) were significant risk factors for the composite outcome compa...
Prevalence and predictor of new onset of CKD BMC
Background: Little is known about the rate of progression to chronic kidney disease (CKD) among hypertensive patients, particularly at the primary care level. This study aims to examine risk factors associated with new onset CKD among hypertensive patients attending a primary care clinic.
Kidney International, 2019
Rates of CKD progression, ESRD, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular (CVD) events among individuals with CKD vary widely across countries. Well-characterized demographic, comorbidity, and laboratory markers captured for prospective cohorts may explain, in part, such differences. To investigate whether core characteristics of individuals with CKD explain differences in rates of outcomes, we conducted an individual-level analysis of 8 cohort studies that are part of iNET-CKD, an international network of CKD cohort studies. Overall, the rate of CKD progression was 40 events/1000 persons-year (95%CI 39-41), 28 (95%CI 27-29) for ESRD, 41 (95%CI 40-42) for death, and 29 (95%CI 28-30) for CVD events, but standardized rates were highly heterogeneous across studies (I 2 >92.5%). Interactions by study group on the association between baseline characteristics and outcomes were identified. For example, the adjusted HR for CKD progression was 0.44 (95% CI 0.35-0.56) for women vs. men among the Japanese (CKD-JAC), while it was 0.66 (95%CI 0.59-0.75) among the Uruguayan (NRHP). Also, the adjusted HR for ESRD was 2.02 (95% CI 1.88-2.17) per 10 units lower baseline eGFR among Americans (CRIC), while it was 3.01 (95% CI 2.57-3.53) among Canadians (Can-PREDDICT) (interaction p-value<0.001 for comparisons across all studies). The risks of CKD progression, ESRD, death, and CVD vary across countries even after accounting for the distributions of age, sex, comorbidities, and laboratory markers. These findings support the need for a better understanding of specific factors in different populations that explain this variation.