Prediction of the coastal erosion -in a selected example (original) (raw)

Abstract

Intensive development of the coastal zone and permanent threat of the coastal erosion phenomena caused necessity of the coastline changes prediction. Forecasting of the coastal changes, especially of the coastal erosion makes a real research problem concerning to the coastal zone. Prediction of the coastline changes is a very difficult process dependent on many factors, which are not enough get to know. Coastline changes prediction methods used around the world based on numerical spatial models like ex. GENESIS (HANSON ET KRAUS 1989) or analyses of the coastline profiles changes (HONEYCUTT ET ALL 2001, MILLS ET ALL 2005). Authors presented simplified method of the coastal changes prediction on the base of the remote sensing coastal erosion measurement on historical aerial photographs taken from 1951 to 1996 years. Area of the investigation is section of the cliff coast in Trzesacz situated in west Polish coast in Rewal Commune. There is a natural cliff coast, so far almost without h...

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