Macroprudential policy analysis in an estimated DSGE model with a heterogeneous banking system: An application to Chile (original) (raw)
Abstract
We quantify the effect of macroprudential policy in mitigating domestic and foreign shocks to a small open commodity based economy estimated on Chilean data. The model features a heterogeneous banking sector and includes financial frictions through collateralized borrowing and unsecured loans with the possibility of endogenous haircuts or default. The estimation shows that shocks affect large and small banks differently through the heterogeneous adjustment of both the composition of assets and the level of liabilities. This implies that countercyclical capital buffers as well as the countercyclical liquidity coverage ratios need to be introduced jointly to maintain financial stability. Countercyclical capital buffers alone cause large and small banks to adjust their balance sheet sizes in opposite directions. Only combined capital and liquidity policies raise both types of banks costs while growing their assets and thus attenuate aggregate credit fluctuations over the business cycle. ☆ We would like to thank Mikhail Dmitriev and Christoffer Koch for helpful comments and suggestions. We also like to thank the participants of
Loading Preview
Sorry, preview is currently unavailable. You can download the paper by clicking the button above.
References (27)
- Adolfson, M., Laseen, S., Christiano, L., Trabandt, M., Walentin, K., 2013. Ramses ii -model. description. Occasional Paper Series, No. 12, Sveriges Riksbank. An, S., Schorfheide, F., 2007. Bayesian analysis of dsge models. Econom. Rev. 26 (2-4), 113-172. doi: 10.1080/07474930701220071 .
- Andreev, M. , Peiris, M.U. , Shirobokov, A. , Tsomocos, D.P. , 2019. Macroprudential policy and financial (in)stability analysis in the russian federation. Russ. J. Money Finance 78 (3), 3-37 .
- Andreev, M., Peiris, M. U., Shirobokov, A., Tsomocos, D. P., 2020. Commodity cycles and financial instability in emerging economies. Bank of Russia Working Paper(57).
- Barroso, J.B.R.B. , Gonzalez, R.B. , Peydró, J.-L. , Doornik, B.F.N.V. , 2020. Countercyclical liquidity policy and credit cycles: Evidence from macroprudential and monetary policy in Brazil. Economics Working Papers. Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra .
- BCBS, 2016. Literature review on integration of regulatory capital and liquidity instruments. BIS Working Papers (30), 01-61.
- Boissay, F. , Collard, F. , 2016. Macroeconomics of bank capital and liquidity regulations. BIS Working Papers. Bank for International Settlements . Braun, M. , Briones, I. , 2006. The development of the chilean bond market .
- Cabezas, L. , Jara, A. , 2016. International banking and cross-border effects of regulation: lessons from Chile. Working Papers Central Bank of Chile. Central Bank of Chile .
- Cecchetti, S. , Kashyap, A. , Hartmann, P. , Huang, H. , Schoenmaker, D. , 2018. What Binds? Interactions between Bank capital and liquidity regulations, pp. 192-202 .
- Corbae, D., D'Erasmo, P., 2019. Capital requirements in a quantitative model of banking industry dynamics. Working Paper. National Bureau of Economic Research doi: 10.3386/w25424 .
- De Walque, G., Pierrard, O., Rouabah, A., 2010. Financial (In)Stability, supervision and liquidity injections: a dynamic general equilibrium approach * : FINANCIAL (IN)STABILITY. Econ J 120 (549), 1234-1261. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02383.x .
- Drehmann, M. , Tsatsaronis, K. , 2014. The credit to GDP gap and countercyclical capital buffers: questions and answers. BIS Q. Rev. .
- Dubey, P. , Geanakoplos, J.D. , Shubik, M. , 2005. Default and punishment in general equilibrium. Econometrica 73 .
- Garcia, B. , Guarda, S. , Kirchner, M. , Tranamil, R. , 2019. XMAS: An extended model for analysis and simulations. Working Papers Central Bank of Chile. Central Bank of Chile . Goodhart, C.A. , Romanidis, N. , Tsomocos, D.P. , Shubik, M. , 2016. Macro-modelling, default and money .
- Goodhart, C.A.E. , Peiris, M.U. , Tsomocos, D.P. , 2013. Global Imbalances and Taxing Capital Flows * . Int. J. Central Bank. 9 (2), 32 . Goodhart, C.A.E. , Sunirand, P. , Tsomocos, D.P. , 2005. A risk assessment model for banks. Ann. Financ. 1, 197-224 .
- Goodhart, C.A.E., Sunirand, P., Tsomocos, D.P., 2006. A model to analyse financial fragility. Econ. Theory 27 (1), 107-142. doi: 10.1007/s00199-004-0572-7 .
- Kashyap, A.K. , Tsomocos, D.P. , Vardoulakis, A.P. , 2017. Optimal bank regulation in the presence of credit and run risk 2017-17 .
- Koch, C. , Richardson, G. , Horn, P.V. , 2016. Bank leverage and regulatory regimes: evidence from the great depression and great recession. Am. Econ. Rev. 106 (5), 538-542 .
- Koch, C., Richardson, G., Van Horn, P., 2020. Countercyclical capital buffers: a cautionary tale. Working Paper. National Bureau of Economic Research doi: 10.3386/w26710 .
- Marcel, M., 2019a. CBC-IADB Joint Workshop on Basel III in the Context of the Macroprudential Approach. Opening remarks.
- Marcel, M., 2019b. From weakness to strength: the journey of the chilean financial system and its next steps. ChileDay Speech, London.
- Martinez, J., Tsomocos, D.P., 2018. Liquidity and default in an exchange economy. J. Financ. Stab. 35, 192-214. doi: 10.1016/j.jfs.2016.10.010 . Network models, stress testing and other tools for financial stability monitoring and macroprudential policy design and implementation
- Medina, J.P. , Soto, C. , 2007. The chilean business cycles through the lens of a stochastic general equilibrium model. Technical Report. Central Bank of Chile . Peiris, M.U. , Tsomocos, D.P. , 2015. International monetary equilibrium with default. J. Math. Econ. 56, 47-57 .
- Rios Rull, J.-V. , Takamura, T. , Terajima, Y. , 2020. Banking dynamics, market discipline, and capital regulations. Working Paper. University of Pennsylvania . Roch, F., Uhlig, H., 2016. The dynamics of sovereign debt crises and bailouts 16 (136), 1. doi: 10.5089/9781475581027.001 .
- Shubik, M. , Wilson, C. , 1977. The optimal bankruptcy rule in a trading economy using fiat money. J. Econ. 37, 337-354 .
- Tsomocos, D. , 2003. Equilibrium analysis, banking and financial instability. J. Math. Econ. 39 (5-6), 619-655 .
- Vlcek, J. , Roger, S. , 2012. Macrofinancial modeling at central banks; recent developments and future directions. IMF Working Papers. International Monetary Fund . Walsh, K. , 2015a. Portfolio choice and partial default in emerging markets: a quantitative analysis .
- Walsh, K. , 2015b. A theory of portfolio choice and partial default .