The Influence of Modern International Terrorism on the Main Megatrends of Modern World Politics (original) (raw)
Related papers
Modern Megatrends of World Politics
World Economy and International Relations, 2019
В главе говорится об истории признания идей Н. Д. Кондратьева, особенно в области теории конъюнктуры, закономерностей ее динамики, длинных волн экономической конъюнктуры. Сначала они были признаны за рубежом, а в России-только начиная с конца 80-х гг. XX столетия. Наследие Кондратьева гораздо богаче. Он сформулировал методологические подходы к анализу сущего и должного; проанализировал соотношение телеологического и генетического метода исследования; заложил основы в разработку теории прогнозирования. Но именно раздел учения Кондратьева о циклических колебаниях длинных волн экономической конъюнктуры более всего воспринят современными учеными и является основой для анализа сегодняшних экономических проблем и тенденций.
Factors of Transformation of Political Islam in World Politics: Origins of Violence and Terrorism
The Journal of Political Theory, Political Philosophy and Sociology of Politics Politeia, 2021
The article studies factors of transformation of political Islam and reasons for its “tightening” in the modern context. On the basis of the ideas of social constructivism, the author traces the main milestones in the evolution of political Islam and the formation of its radical branches that orient towards violence and terrorism. The article examines nine mega-events that ultimately determined the specifics of the modern union of Islam and poli tics — the collapse of the Ottoman Empire, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the Islamic revolution in Iran, the Soviet intervention in Afghanistan, the collapse of the Soviet Union, the September 11 attacks (2001), the overthrow of Saddam Hussein’s regime, the “Arab Spring”, and the establishment of political Islam with a “Turkish face”. The author demonstrates that after the collapse of the Ottoman Empire, Islam began to gradually transform from the social phenomenon into the world-political factor. Initially, this tendency was observed in...
Influence of Political Islam Factor in Modern World
The Journal of Political Theory, Political Philosophy and Sociology of Politics Politeia
The article is devoted to the problem of the influence of the factor of political Islam in the modern conditions. In order to reveal such influence, the author examines the situation in 45 UN member stat es, where more than 50% of the population adheres to Islam, tentatively subdividing these states into Islamic, quasi-Islamic and secular. His analysis shows that the influence of the factor of political Islam in the field of politics of the Muslim world, and, consequently, in the global political space, is limited. The direct impact of political Islam on political processes is visible only in 12 Islamic states with stable political regimes and secular Turkey. In all these states, except for theocratic Islamic dictatorships Afghanistan and Iran, as well as Qatar, the authorities severely suppress any manifestations of radical political Islam. The interreligious Sunni-Shia conflict exerts a significant impact on the political situation in a number of Islamic states. In 20 quasi-Islami...
Terrorism in Turkey from the New Left Wave to the Global Wave
Istanbul University - DergiPark, 2019
Bu kapsamda, öncelikle GTD'deki verilere dayanarak Türkiye'de terörizm olaylarına ilişkin genel bir çerçeve sunulmuştur. Müteakiben Türkiye'de faaliyet göstermiş/göstermekte olan terörist örgütler dikkate alınarak sol ideoloji temelli terörizm, etnik milliyetçi/ayrılıkçı terörizm, din temelli terörizm ve küresel terörizm şeklinde bir sınıflandırma yapılmıştır. Bu sınıflandırma çerçevesinde, ön plana çıkan terörist örgütler açık kaynaklardan edinilen bilgiler ışığında incelenmiştir. Türkiye'de rejim veya sınır değişikliği paydasında benzer özellikler taşıyan örgütlerin, bölgesel ve uluslararası gelişmelere göre dönemsel olarak strateji değiştirdikleri, çoğunlukla dış desteğe bağımlı oldukları ve tarihsel olarak devamlılık gösterdikleri, ulusal ve uluslararası yasa dışı oluşumlara işbirliğine açık oldukları sonucuna varılmıştır.
Vestnik Volgogradskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta. Seriâ 4. Istoriâ, Regionovedenie, Meždunarodnye Otnošeniâ, 2021
Introduction. The article examines the scenarios of the political development of the world depending on the megatrends such as globalization, integration, democratization and the opposite trends-de-globalization, disintegration and de-democratization, as well as the current state of the political organization of the world, including the Westphalian system, the system of interstate relations (system of international relations) and political systems of the modern world states. Methods and materials. The political organization of the world is considered as a system consisting of three subsystems. In this regard, the main approach in the study is the systems approach. Scenario analysis is used as a research method. Analysis. Recently interest in scenarios of the political development of the world has sharply increased, which is reflected in the publications of many Russian and foreign authors. The scenarios of the political development of the world in the 21 st century, after the crises associated with the terrorist attacks in 2001, the economic crisis that began in 2008 and the crisis in 2020 caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, began to be discussed especially intensively. Most researchers consider such scenarios based on ideas about the possible configuration of interstate relations, i.e. parts of the system of international (interstate) relations. It is shown that this parameter of analysis is important, but insufficient. It is proposed to consider the scenarios of the political development of the world on the basis of how megatrends and trends alternative to them will act, as well as how the political organization of the world will develop. Results. Four parameters of scenario analysis are identified: 1) time parameter in actions of (mega) trends; 2) differentiated actions (mega) trends in many indicators of economic and social interaction; 3) configuration of the leading states in the international arena (part of the system of international relations). This parameter is widely used by various researchers; 4) an evolutionary (smooth) or revolutionary (through conflicts, crises, etc.) way of transforming the political organization of the world. The combination of development in these parameters (it is possible to single out additional parameters) gives a picture of world politics in the future.
Международный терроризм в сетевом измерении мировой политики
В статье исследуются концепции формирования сетевых структур на примере анализа международного терроризма. Особое внимание уделяется информационно-коммуникативным аспектам террористической деятельности. Делается вывод о гибридном (иерархо-сетевом) характере современных глобальных террористических организациях.
Islam in the Contemporary World Political Processes
Вперше в українській науці охарактеризовано комплексний вплив ісламу на сучасну світову політику. Проаналізовано вплив ісламської геополітики, націоналізму, фемінізму на сучасні міжнародні відносини. Розкрито інституційний механізм взаємодії ісламської спільноти. Продемонстровано взаємозв'язок універсальної та локальної парадигм розвитку мусульманського світу.