Increase of upper troposphere/lower stratosphere wave baroclinicity: Trends in the baroclic wave energies and in the frequency of multiple tropopause events (original) (raw)
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Atmos. Chem …, 2009
A strengthening of the equatorward temperature gradient in the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS), at subtropics and midlatitudes, is consistently reproduced in several modelling studies of the atmospheric response to the increase of greenhouse gas radiative forcing. Some of those studies suggest an increase of the baroclinicity in the UTLS region because of the enhanced meridional 5 temperature gradient. This study presents observational evidence of an increase of the baroclinic wave components of UTLS circulation (UTLS wave baroclinicity), during the second half of the 20th century. The evidence is given by significant positive trends in the energy of baroclinic normal modes of the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, and significant positive 10 trends in the UTLS eddy available potential energy of the NCEP/NCAR, ERA-40, NCEP-2 and JRA-25 reanalyses. Significant positive trends in the frequency of double tropopause events in radiosonde data are also interpreted as a manifestation of an increase of the UTLS wave baroclinicity.
Effects of the baroclinic adjustment on the tropopause in the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis
Climate Dynamics, 2007
In this work, we study the mean tropopause structure from the National Center for Environmental Prediction–National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalysis in the framework of baroclinic adjustment theories, focusing on the impact of baroclinic eddies on the mean tropopause height. In order to measure the effects of such perturbations, we introduce an appropriate global index that selects events of high baroclinic activity and allows us to distinguish the phases of growth and decay of baroclinic waves. We then composite the tropopause mean structure before and after baroclinic events, finding that baroclinic disturbances cause the zonally averaged midlatitude winter tropopause height to rise. Our results establish the importance of baroclinic adjustment processes for midlatitude tropopause dynamics.
Baroclinic energy conversion during the 2010 Major Stratospheric Warming
The evolution of the Northern Hemispheric baroclinic activity during the February 2010 Major Sudden Stratospheric Warming event is investigated. We used meteorological fields from ERA-INTERIM reanalysis dataset, focusing on the tropospheric middle latitudes. The Lorenz energy-cycle terms are computed, together with their spectral components. Results for planetary and synoptic waves are shown within the time window of fifty-one days centered on the event’s date. We found that, close to the central date, the Kinetic and Potential energies associated to the planetary waves drop, while those associated to the synoptic waves abruptly increase due to a strong baroclinic conversion lasting for 1 week. A discussion of this feature concerning the possible role of the stratospheric state is proposed.
The Annual Wave in the Temperature of the Low Stratosphere
J Atmos Sci, 1970
A quantitative examination of the annual cycle in the tropical tropopause temperatures, tropical ascent, momentum balance, and wave driving is performed using ECMWF analyses to determine how the annual cycle in tropical tropopause temperatures arises. Results show that the annual cycle in tropical tropopause temperatures is driven by the annual variation in ascent and consequent dynamical (adiabatic) cooling at the tropical tropopause. Mass divergence local to the tropical tropopause has the dominant contribution to ascent near the tropical tropopause. The annual cycle in mass divergence, and the associated meridional flow, near the tropical tropopause is driven by Eliassen-Palm (EP) flux divergence, that is, wave dissipation. The EP flux divergence near the tropical tropopause is dominated by stationary waves with both the horizontal and vertical components of the EP flux contributing. However, the largest annual cycle is in the divergence of the vertical EP flux and in particular from the contribution in the vertical flux of zonal momentum. These results do not match the existing theory that the annual cycle is driven by the wave dissipation in the extratropical stratosphere, that is, the stratospheric pump. It is suggested that the annual cycle is linked to equatorial Rossby waves forced by convective heating in the tropical troposphere.
Journal of Geophysical Research, 2003
1] A westward propagating zonal wave number 1 wave with a period near 6.5 days was a prominent feature in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) during the 1994 equinoxes. The meridional structure of the wave in the upper stratosphere and the MLT is consistent with the 5-day wave structure predicted by normal mode theory. However, the amplitude increases sharply above 80 km, where the wave exhibits a highly organized baroclinic circulation. The eddy fluxes and the background state suggest that the wave is amplified by instability of the mesospheric winds. The 6.5-day wave in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere: Evidence for baroclinic/barotropic instability,
2017
Seasonal variability in near-surface air temperature and baroclinicity from the ECMWF ERA-Interim (ERAI) reanalysis and six coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 and 5 (CMIP3 and CMIP5) are examined. In particular, the annual and semiannual cycles of hemispherically averaged fields are studied using spectral analysis. The aim is to assess the ability of coupled general circulation models to properly reproduce the observed amplitude and phase of these cycles, and investigate the relationship between near-surface temperature and baroclinicity (coherency and relative phase) in such frequency bands. The overall results of power spectra agree in displaying a statistically significant peak at the annual frequency in the zonally averaged fields of both hemispheres. The semiannual peak, instead, shows less power and in the NH seems to have a more regional character, as is observed in the North Pacific Ocean region. Results of bivariate analysis for such a region and Southern Hemisphere midlatitudes show some discrepancies between ERAI and model data, as well as among models, especially for the semiannual frequency. Specifically, (i) the coherency at the annual and semiannual frequency observed in the reanalysis data is well represented by models in both hemispheres, and (ii) at the annual frequency, estimates of the relative phase between near-surface temperature and baroclinicity are bounded between about ±15 • around an average value of 220 • (i.e., approximately 1-month phase shift), while at the semiannual frequency model phases show a wider dispersion in both hemispheres with larger errors in the estimates, denoting increased uncertainty and some disagreement among models. The most recent CMIP climate models (CMIP5) show several improvements when compared with CMIP3, but a degree of discrepancy still persists though masked by the large errors characterizing the semiannual frequency. These findings contribute to better characterizing the cyclic response of current global atmosphere–ocean models to the external (solar) forcing that is of interest for seasonal forecasts.
Stratospheric influence on baroclinic lifecycles and its connection to the Arctic Oscillation
Geophysical Research Letters, 2004
1] Using an idealized primitive equation model, we investigate how stratospheric conditions alter the development of baroclinic instability in the troposphere. Starting from the lifecycle paradigm of Thorncroft et al., we consider the evolution of baroclinic lifecycles resulting from the addition of a stratospheric jet to the LC1 initial condition. We find that the addition of the stratospheric jet yields a net surface geopotential height anomaly that strongly resembles the Arctic Oscillation. With the additional modification of the tropospheric winds to resemble the high-AO climatology, the surface response is amplified by a factor 10 and, though dominated by the tropospheric changes, shows similar sensitivity to the stratospheric conditions.
The Effect of Lower Stratospheric Shear on Baroclinic Instability
Journal of The Atmospheric Sciences, 2007
Using a hierarchy of models, and observations, the effect of vertical shear in the lower stratosphere on baroclinic instability in the tropospheric midlatitude jet is examined. It is found that increasing stratospheric shear increases the phase speed of growing baroclinic waves, increases the growth rate of modes with low synoptic wavenumbers, and decreases the growth rate of modes with higher wavenumbers. The meridional structure of the linear modes, and their acceleration of the zonal mean jet, changes with increasing stratospheric shear, but in a way that apparently contradicts the observed stratosphere-troposphere northern annular mode (NAM) connection. This contradiction is resolved at finite amplitude. In nonlinear life cycle experiments it is found that increasing stratospheric shear, without changing the jet structure in the troposphere, produces a transition from anticyclonic (LC1) to cyclonic (LC2) behavior at wavenumber 7. All life cycles with wavenumbers lower than 7 are LC1, and all with wavenumber greater than 7 are LC2. For the LC1 life cycles, the effect of increasing stratospheric shear is to increase the poleward displacement of the zonal mean jet by the eddies, which is consistent with the observed stratosphere-troposphere NAM connection. Finally, it is found that the connection between high stratospheric shear and high-tropospheric NAM is present by NCEP-NCAR reanalysis data.
Stratospheric final warmings in the Southern Hemisphere and their energetics
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 2003
Using 9 years (1985)(1986)(1987)(1988)(1989)(1990)(1991)(1992)(1993) data, final stratospheric warmings in the Southern Hemisphere are studied. Interannual variations in the onset date and the temperatures are noted. In 1985 the stratosphere was colder by about 5 K and the wave activity was less. This year the final warming got delayed. In contrast in 1988 the final warming occurred earlier when compared with the mean picture and the wave activity was more. An examination of Eliassen-Palm fluxes showed the important role of planetary waves in the wavemean flow interaction. In the energetics the most spectacular change is the reduction of zonal kinetic energy. Before the warming the energy exchanges were P z ! P e ! K e ! K z P z and after the warming they were P z P e K e ! K z P z . The dramatic reduction of zonal kinetic energy seems to be due to two effects: the reduction in K e ! K z conversion and the weakening of direct meridional circulation.