Project Management of Romanias Transition to Euro: Insights, Solutions, Cost-Benefit Analysis (original) (raw)

The State of Nominal Convergence in Romania in the Context of Joining the Euro Area

International conference KNOWLEDGE-BASED ORGANIZATION, 2019

The repeated postponement of the deadlines set for Romania’s accession to the Eurozone as well as the challenges facing the nominal convergence criteria raised many questions among the European community regarding the competitiveness of the Romanian economy in relation to the economies of the European countries adopting the single currency. The present paper aims to present the current state of nominal convergence our country manages to achieve and to import compliance with these criteria by exemplifying the concept of optimal monetary areas. The adoption of the single currency must be achieved in the context of sustainable convergence that guarantees the minimization of costs caused by the renunciation of national monetary policy. To achieve this goal, the present paper presents the optimal context that Romania’s shift to the single currency should take into account in order to maximize its benefits from the beginning of this irreversible process.

Romania on the Way to Eurozone: The Accession Deadline

The Young Economists Journal, 2015

The fact that Romania has met in June 2014 for the first time all nominal criteria laid down in the Maastricht Treaty for the adoption of the euro, including inflation and is presenting quite well at the real convergence criteria does not mean that there are no long term risks that can damage this situation. Setting by the authorities of a date, January the 1st, 2019, for euro adoption is an ambitious objective and therefore structural problems and competitiveness must be the top priority of any government. From these brief considerations this article proposes, based on analyses and calculations to evaluate Romania's chances to meet the target and at the same time, to suggest some directions in order to avoid the mistakes done by other countries that have entered less prepared in the euro area. The article tries to set a proper timing for euro adoption in Romania, with minimum risk and maximum benefit given the need for sustainable nominal convergence criteria besides ensuring i...

Research on the Nominal Convergence of Romania to the Euro Area

Analele Universităţii "Eftimie Murgu" Reşiţa: Fascicola I, Inginerie, 2008

All the European Union (EU) member states engaged to adopt, sooner or later, the euro. In order to do so, they must accomplish the convergence criteria concerning the inflation rate, the exchange rate, the interest rate, the public deficit and the public debt. The paper analyses the situation of Romania, based on the convergence criteria. Romania accomplishes only the criteria referring to public finances, while inflation still seems to be the worst problem.

Main Economic Policies in order to Manage an Optimum Accession of Romania to the Euro Zone

Abstract. The present paper aims at analysing several options concerning the economic policies Romania should adopt in the following years, in order to attenuate the long term vulnerabilities within the process of joining to the Euro zone, with the observation that, the economic policies proposed in the current work were selected mainly based on the decisive factors for the real equilibrium exchange rate in Romania. Fulfilling the nominal criteria for adhesion can prove itself to be more facile but not able to ensure, on a long term and in a sustainable manner, reaching an optimum for the economy that adheres irreversibly to the Euro zone. It is important to analyze how the competitiveness of other economies evolved prior and after joining the Euro zone, from the perspective of identifying some economic policies meant to ensure) the accomplishment of the real convergence criteria to the Euro zone for Romania’s case, on a long term. The economic policies proposed by the authors try to help covering the greatest delays for Romania in comparison with other states in the Euro zone and which, unsolved, can create in time significant vulnerabilities on a long term, having a negative impact for many generations of Romanians from now on..

The Importance of the Sustainability of the Romanian Convergence Process to the Euro Zone

Studies in Business and Economics, 2018

Since 2007, Romania has been under the under the glance of experts in the European Union, but also under the strict monitoring of the NBR and also under the pressure of citizens and investors' expectations about the moment of euro adoption. My research concerns have also been channeled to this point of maximum interest, impact and timeliness, which is why I have proposed through this paper to highlight a synthetic situation regarding the fulfillment of the convergence criteria from the moment of accession to the European Union, to the present. The objective of this paper is to reflect, in dynamics and correlation, the degree of fulfillment of the nominal and real convergence criteria, the sustainability of the levels achieved for certain indicators, so necessary for joining the single currency, without shocks. Romania is a country subject to frequent fluctuations at all levels: economic, political, legislative, also reflected in the fluctuations in meeting the convergence criter...

The sustainability of Romania's accession to the Euro Area - A political project anchored in economic reality

2018

The current paper offers an analysis of the speeches about Romania's accession to the Eurozone of the main personalities from the political and economic field in Romania. Adherence to the European single currency represents a political decision that should be closely linked to an objective analysis of the economy. In Romania, there are two factions that display a diametrically opposed discourse regarding the accession to Eurozone. The paper’s added value to the literature is brought about by the correlation between the political discourse and the one coming from the economy, thus testing the veracity of the presented ideas. Finally, we have determined whether the speeches coming from Romanian politics are anchored in the economic reality of the country and in that of the European Union.

Romania and the Euro’s Adoption. Between Real and Nominal Convergence

The Romanian Economic Journal, 2008

Romania is one of the least developed countries of the EU, with a level of GDP/capita three times lower than the EU average (1:2,9 GDP/head and 1:6,8 GDP/person employed), with a relatively low contribution of services to the PIB achievement, having an excessive labor force in agriculture, a reduced potential of the educational and research infrastructure and the lowest convergence level compared to the EU. According to the Convergence Programme, published at the beginning of 2007, Romania will not accede to the EMU-2 sooner than 2012, which means that 2014 becomes for Romania the most appropriate period for the adoption of euro (The Romanian Government, Convergence Programme, 2007). According to the Government, this period appears to be necessary for the continuation of the structural reform process, necessary for the economy to support euro.

Romania’s Euro Area Accession: The Question Is Under What Terms!

Comparative Political Economy: Comparative Capitalism eJournal, 2017

Euro area (EA) accession should mainly depend on the achievement of a critical mass of real and structural convergence, which should diminish the risks to operate in an incomplete monetary union. Accession would also be enhanced by reforms in the functioning of euro area institutions and policies which should deal with asymmetric shocks. We argue that the true stake of euro adoption in Romania should be neither “if” nor “when”, but “under what terms” and “how it will be done”. The essential prerequisite for real convergence is raising competitiveness. Our analysis shows common problems regarding competitiveness in new member states in terms of infrastructure, institutional development, business sophistication, innovation; it points out the scale of risks attached to a premature euro area accession. This accession does not require the achievement of the euro area average level of GDP/capita (in PPP terms). As we argue, one can imagine Romania’s accession after having achieved a minim...

Romania and the Euro: The State of the Debate

IJASOS- International E-journal of Advances in Social Sciences, 2017

As a member of the European Union (EU), Romania is required to adopt the European single currency once it fulfils all the convergence criteria. As of June 2017, the national currency has not yet joined the preparatory two-year phase (the Exchange Rate Mechanism-ERM) necessary for the adoption of the euro and a certain target date has not been established. Over the years, different target dates have been officially set and communicated to the public, only to be later deemed unrealistic and postponed. The aim of this study is to present the state of the debate regarding the adoption of the euro and to describe how the main arguments have developed in recent years. To this end, academic studies both by Romanian and foreign specialists that treat the issue of euro adoption by Romania are reviewed and analyzed. Also, a number of recent typical popular press articles on this subject are presented and investigated. In addition, public positions recently taken by important political players and appointed officials such as the ones in the Central Bank are discussed and the core arguments found in these discourses are highlighted. Insights from the political discourse analysis body of literature are used to decipher the policy-related meaning of the text and context that accompany public declarations of some key political actors. The main storylines that can be found in this literature are identified and analyzed in terms of economic and political reasoning as well as rhetoric.