Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time (original) (raw)

A Markov switching factor-augmented VAR model for analyzing US business cycles and monetary policy

Manfred M Fischer

View PDFchevron_right

Nowcasting Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models

Antonello D'Agostino

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2015

View PDFchevron_right

Using the Dynamic Bi-Factor Model with Markov Switching to Predict the Cyclical Turns in the Large European Economies

Konstantin Kholodilin

2007

View PDFchevron_right

Forecasting the Turns of German Business Cycle: Dynamic Bi-factor Model with Markov Switching

Konstantin Kholodilin

2005

View PDFchevron_right

Efficient estimation and forecasting in dynamic factor models with structural instability PRELIMINARY AND INCOMPLETE-COMMENTS WELCOME

Dimitris Korobilis

2014

View PDFchevron_right

Finance and the Business Cycle: a Kalman Filter Approach with Markov Switching

Ryan Compton

Working Papers Series, 2005

View PDFchevron_right

Business cycle analysis with multivariate Markov switching models

Laurent Ferrara

2004

View PDFchevron_right

Duration Dependent Markov-Switching Vector Autoregression: Properties, Bayesian Inference and Application to the Analysis of the US Business Cycle

Matteo Pelagatti

Business Fluctuations and Cycles, 2007

View PDFchevron_right

Dynamic Factor Models with Time-Varying Parameters: Measuring Changes in International Business Cycles

Christopher Otrok

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

View PDFchevron_right

Dynamic factor models

Eric Renault

Journal of Econometrics, 2004

View PDFchevron_right

Measuring U.S. Business Cycle Using Markov-Switching Model: A Comparison Between Empirical Likelihood Estimation and Parametric Estimations

Paravee Maneejuk

2019

View PDFchevron_right

Revisiting the transitional dynamics of business-cycle phases with mixed frequency data

Marie Bessec

View PDFchevron_right

Bayesian Estimation of Stochastic-Transition Markov-Switching Models for Business Cycle Analysis

Monica Billio

2010

View PDFchevron_right

Dynamic Factor Models with Time-Varying Parameters

Christopher Otrok

2000

View PDFchevron_right

Gibbs sampling for a duration dependent Markov switching model with an application to the US business cycle

Matteo Pelagatti

Quaderno di Dipartimento QD2001/2, Dipartimento …, 2001

View PDFchevron_right

More is not always better: Kalman filtering in dynamic factor models

Pilar Poncela

Oxford University Press eBooks, 2015

View PDFchevron_right

Duration-dependent Markov-switching VAR models with applications to the business cycle analysis

Matteo Pelagatti

Proceedings of the XLI Scientific Meeting of the …, 2002

View PDFchevron_right

Modeling of Economic and Financial Conditions for Nowcasting and Forecasting Recessions: A Unified Approach

Hamza Demircan

Econometric Modeling: Forecasting eJournal, 2018

View PDFchevron_right

Green Shoots and Double Dips in the Euro Area. A Real Time Measure

Pilar Poncela

2012

View PDFchevron_right

Identifying business cycle turning points with sequential Monte Carlo methods: an online and real-time application to the Euro area

Monica Billio

Journal of Forecasting, 2010

View PDFchevron_right

More is not always better : back to the Kalman filter in dynamic factor models

Pilar Poncela

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 2012

View PDFchevron_right

An econometric characterization of business cycle dynamics with factor structure and regime switching

Marcelle Chauvet

1998

View PDFchevron_right

Bayesian Inference on Dynamic Models with Latent Factors

Monica Billio

2007

View PDFchevron_right

A Markov Switching Regime Model of the Brazilian Business Cycle

Otavio de Medeiros

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

View PDFchevron_right

Analyzing Business and Financial Cycles Using Multi-Level Factor Models

Sandra Eickmeier

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2014

View PDFchevron_right

Nowcasting the Maltese economy with a dynamic factor model ∗

Reuben Ellul

2022

View PDFchevron_right

Forecasting GDP over the business cycle in a multi-frequency and data-rich environment

Marie Bessec, Othman Bouabdallah

View PDFchevron_right

A three-regime real-time indicator for the US economy

Laurent Ferrara

Economics Letters, 2003

View PDFchevron_right

Dynamic factor models: does the specification matter?

Pilar Poncela

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 2021

View PDFchevron_right

A Dynamic Factor Model for Current-Quarter Estimates of Economic Activity in Hong Kong

Matthew Yiu

View PDFchevron_right

Extracting Non-Linear Signals from Several Economic Indicators

Pilar Poncela

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

View PDFchevron_right