Predicting Groundwater Level Using the Soft Computing Tool: An Approach for Precision Enhancement (original) (raw)
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Neurocomputing, 2014
Accurate and reliable prediction of the groundwater level variation is significant and essential in water resources management of a basin. The situation is complicated by the fact that the variation of groundwater level is highly nonlinear in nature because of interdependencies and uncertainties in the hydro-geological process. Models such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) have proved to be effective in modeling virtually any nonlinear function with a greater degree of accuracy. In recent times, combining several techniques to form a hybrid tool to improve the accuracy of prediction has become a common practice for various applications. This integrated method increases the efficiency of the model by combining the unique features of the constituent models to capture different patterns in the data. In the present study, an attempt is made to predict monthly groundwater level fluctuations using integrated wavelet and support vector machine modeling. The discrete wavelet transform with two coefficients (db2 wavelet) is adopted for decomposing the input data into wavelet series. These series are further used as input variables in different combinations for Support Vector Regression (SVR) model to forecast groundwater level fluctuations. The monthly data of precipitation, maximum temperature, mean temperature and groundwater depth for the period 2001-2012 are used as the input variables. The proposed Wavelet-Support Vector Regression (WA-SVR) model is applied to predict the groundwater level variations for three observation wells in the city of Visakhapatnam, India. The performance of the WA-SVR model is compared with SVR, ANN and also with the traditional Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models. Results indicate that WA-SVR model gives better accuracy in predicting groundwater levels in the study area when compared to other models.
Prediction of Groundwater Level in Ardebil Plain Using Support Vector Regression and M5 Tree Model
Ground Water, 2017
The Ardebil plain, which is located in northwest Iran, has been faced with a recent and severe decline in groundwater level caused by a decrease of precipitation, successive long-term droughts, and overexploitation of groundwater for irrigating the farmlands. Predictions of groundwater levels can help planners to deal with persistent water deficiencies. In this study, the support vector regression (SVR) and M5 decision tree models were used to predict the groundwater level in Ardebil plain. The monthly groundwater level data from 24 piezometers for a 17-year period (1997 to 2013) were used for training and test of models. The model inputs included the groundwater levels of previous months, the volume of entering precipitation into every cell, and the discharge of wells. The model output was the groundwater level in the current month. In order to evaluate the performance of models, the correlation coefficient (R) and the root-mean-square error criteria were used. The results indicated that both SVR and M5 decision tree models performed well for the prediction of groundwater level in the Ardebil plain. However, the results obtained from the M5 decision tree model are more straightforward, more easily applied, and simpler to interpret than those from the SVR. The highest accuracy was obtained using the SVR model to predict the groundwater level from the Ghareh Hasanloo and Khalifeloo piezometers with R = 0.996 and R = 0.983, respectively.
Natural Hazards, 2015
Quantitative groundwater modeling is essential in water resources management. In this article, the abilities of two different data-driven methods, support vector regression (SVR) and an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), were investigated in estimating monthly groundwater level fluctuation in the Kashan plain, Isfahan province, Iran, by using the inputs of stream flow, evaporation, spring discharge, aquifer discharge and rainfall. Polynomial and radial basis function (RBF) was used as the kernel function of the SVR. Root mean squared error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (R) statistics were used for evaluation of the applied models. The results indicated that the ANFIS model, having an RMSE of 3.6 m and R of 0.985, performed better than the M. Mirzavand Downloaded from http://www.elearnica.ir optimal SVR _rbf model (RMSE = 13 m and R = 821) in the test period. Among the SVR methods, the SVR _rbf model was found to be better than the SVR _poly model.
Computers & Geosciences, 2013
The knowledge of groundwater table fluctuations is important in agricultural lands as well as in the studies related to groundwater utilization and management levels. This paper investigates the abilities of Gene Expression Programming (GEP), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) techniques for groundwater level forecasting in following day up to 7-day prediction intervals. Several input combinations comprising water table level, rainfall and evapotranspiration values from Hongcheon Well station (South Korea), covering a period of eight years (2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008) were used to develop and test the applied models. The data from the first six years were used for developing (training) the applied models and the last two years data were reserved for testing. A comparison was also made between the forecasts provided by these models and the Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) technique. Based on the comparisons, it was found that the GEP models could be employed successfully in forecasting water table level fluctuations up to 7 days beyond data records.
Estimation of Groundwater Level Fluctuations Using Neuro-Fuzzy and Support Vector Regression Models
Estimation of Ground Water Level (GWL) is important in the determination of the sustainable use of water resources and Ground Water resources. Groundwater level fluctuations were investigated using the variable of groundwater level, precipitation, temperature. In the present study, GWL estimation studies were conducted via Neuro-Fuzzy (NF), Support Vector Regression with radial basis functions (SVR-RBF) and Support Vector Regression with poly kernel (SVR-PK) models. The daily data of the precipitation, temperature and groundwater level are used which is taken from Minnesota, United States of America. The results were compared with NF and SVR methods. According to this comparison, it was observed that the NF and SVR models gave similar results for observation.
Water Supply, 2020
Accurate and reliable groundwater level prediction is an important issue in groundwater resource management. The objective of this research is to compare groundwater level prediction of several data-driven models for different prediction periods. Five different data-driven methods are compared to evaluate their performances to predict groundwater levels with 1-, 2- and 3-month lead times. The four quantitative standard statistical performance evaluation measures showed that while all models could provide acceptable predictions of groundwater level, the least square support vector machine (LSSVM) model was the most accurate. We developed a set of input combinations based on different levels of groundwater, total precipitation, average temperature and total evapotranspiration at monthly intervals. For each model, the antecedent inputs that included Ht-1, Ht-2, Ht-3, Tt, ETt, Pt, Pt-1 produced the best-fit model for 1-month lead time. The coefficient of determination (R2) and the root ...
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Space–time forecasting of groundwater level using a hybrid soft computing model
Hydrological Sciences Journal, 2016
Forecasting of space-time groundwater level is important for sparsely monitored regions. Time series analysis using soft computing tools is powerful in temporal data analysis. Classical geostatistical methods provide the best estimates of spatial data. In the present work a hybrid framework for space-time groundwater level forecasting is proposed by combining a soft computing tool and a geostatistical model. Three time series forecasting models: artificial neural network, least square support vector machine and genetic programming (GP), are individually combined with the geostatistical ordinary kriging model. The experimental variogram thus obtained fits a linear combination of a nugget effect model and a power model. The efficacy of the space-time models was decided on both visual interpretation (spatial maps) and calculated error statistics. It was found that the GP-kriging space-time model gave the most satisfactory results in terms of average absolute relative error, root mean square error, normalized mean bias error and normalized root mean square error.
Modeling groundwater quality using three novel hybrid support vector regression models
Advances in Environmental Technology, 2020
During recent decades, the excessive use of water has led to the scarcity of the available surface and groundwater resources. Quantitative and qualitative surveys of groundwater resources indicate that accurate and efficient optimization methods can help to overcome the numerous challenges in assessment of groundwater quality. For this purpose, three optimization meta-heuristic algorithms, including imperialist competitive (ICA), election (EA), and grey wolf (GWO), as well as the support vector regression method (SVR), were used to simulate the groundwater quality of the Salmas Plain. To achieve this goal, the data of the groundwater quality for the Salmas plain were utilized in a statistical period of 10 years (2002-2011). The results were evaluated according to Wilcox, Schuler, and Piper standards. The results indicated higher accuracy of the GWO-SVR method compared to the other two methods with values of R 2 =0.981, RMSE=0.020 and NSE=0.975. In general, a comparison of the results obtained from the hybrid methods and different diagrams showed that the samples had low hardness and corrosion. Also, the results indicated the high capability and accuracy of the GWO-SVR method in estimating and simulating the groundwater quality.
Application of Several Data-Driven Techniques for Predicting Groundwater Level
In this study, several data-driven techniques including system identification , time series, and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models were applied to predict groundwater level for different forecasting period. The results showed that ANFIS models out-perform both time series and system identification models. ANFIS model in which preprocessed data using fuzzy interface system is used as input for artificial neural network (ANN) can cope with non-linear nature of time series so it can perform better than others. It was also demonstrated that all above mentioned approaches could model groundwater level for 1 and 2 months ahead appropriately but for 3 months ahead the performance of the models was not satisfactory.