A Real Option Analysis of the “Flats for Land” System - an Idiosyncratic Equity Financing Mechanism on Real Estate Investments (original) (raw)
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This thesis introduces a streamlined model that incorporates the value of the real options that exist in real estate development projects. 1 Real options add value to a project by providing developers with flexibility to minimize downside risk or take advantage of upside potential as conditions change from deterministic expectations. Though developers currently incorporate this value into their decision making using intuition and judgment, the model presented here provides a tool with which developers can value options in a rigorous and quantitative fashion. Though the model should not be used as a comprehensive land residual model, it serves as a powerful proof of concept for real options analysis in the field of real estate. Further, it can be used to measure the relative value and risk of projects with and without real options.
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