Prognostic Factors of Survival in Veno-Arterial ECMO Patients: A Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis (original) (raw)
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Predicting survival after veno-arterial-ECMO: first external validation of the SAVE-score
2016
Predic'ng survival a0er veno-arterial-ECMO first external valida'on of the SAVE-score Veno-arterial-extracorporeal membrane oxygena3on (ECMO) is an efficient approach in the management of refractory cardiogenic shock. The recently published SAVE-score was designed as a tool to predict in-hospital survival in pa3ents receiving ECMO for refractory cardiogenic shock [1]. Our objec3ve was to externally validate the SAVE-score in a new dataset, to support its clinical applica3on.
Critical Care, 2017
Background: Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA ECMO) is an effective rescue therapy for severe cardiorespiratory failure, but morbidity and mortality are high. We hypothesised that survival decreases with longer VA ECMO treatment. We examined the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (ELSO) registry for a relationship between VA ECMO duration and in-hospital mortality, and covariates including indication for support. Methods: All VA runs from the ELSO database from 2002 to 2012 were extracted. Multiple runs and non-VA runs were excluded. Runs were categorized into diagnostic groups. Logistic regression for analysis of the effect of duration on outcome, and multivariate regression for diagnosis and other baseline factors were performed. Non-linear models including piecewise logistic models were fitted. Results: There were 2699 runs analysed over 14,747 days. Logistic regression analysis of the effect of duration on outcome, and multivariate regression analysis of diagnosis and other baseline factors were performed. In-hospital survival was 41.4% (95% CI 39.6-43.3). 75% of patients were supported for less than 1 week and 96% for less than 3 weeks. Median duration (4 days IQR 2.0-6.8) was greater in survivors (4.1 (IQR 2.5-6.7) vs 3.8 (IQR 1.7-7.0) p = 0.002). The final multivariate model demonstrated increasing survival to day 4 (OR 1.53 (95% CI 1.37-1.71) p < 0.001), decreasing from day 4 to 12 (OR 0.86 (95% CI 0.81-0.91), p < 0.001) with no significant change thereafter (OR 0.98 (95% CI 0.94-1.02), p = 0.400). Conclusions: ECMO for 4 days or less is associated with higher mortality, likely reflecting early treatment failure. Survival is highest when patients are weaned on the fourth day of ECMO but likely decreases into the second week. While this does not suggest weaning at this point will produce better outcomes, it does reflect the likely time course of ECMO as a bridge in severe shock. Patients with some underlying conditions (like myocarditis and heart transplantation) achieve better outcomes despite longer support duration. These findings merit prospective study for the development of prognostic models and weaning strategies.
European Heart Journal, 2015
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) may provide mechanical pulmonary and circulatory support for patients with cardiogenic shock refractory to conventional medical therapy. Prediction of survival in these patients may assist in management of these patients and comparison of results from different centers. Aims To identify pre-ECMO factors which predict survival from refractory cardiogenic shock requiring ECMO and create the survival after veno-arterial-ECMO (SAVE)-score. Methods and results Patients with refractory cardiogenic shock treated with veno-arterial ECMO between January 2003 and December 2013 were extracted from the international Extracorporeal Life Support Organization registry. Multivariable logistic regression was performed using bootstrapping methodology with internal and external validation to identify factors independently associated with in-hospital survival. Of 3846 patients with cardiogenic shock treated with ECMO, 1601 (42%) patients were alive at hospital discharge. Chronic renal failure, longer duration of ventilation prior to ECMO initiation, pre-ECMO organ failures, pre-ECMO cardiac arrest, congenital heart disease, lower pulse pressure, and lower serum bicarbonate (HCO 3) were risk factors associated with mortality. Younger age, lower weight, acute myocarditis, heart transplant, refractory ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation, higher diastolic blood pressure, and lower peak inspiratory pressure were protective. The SAVE-score (area under the receiver operating characteristics [ROC] curve [AUROC] 0.68 [95%CI 0.64-0.71]) was created. External validation of the SAVE-score in an Australian population of 161 patients showed excellent discrimination with AUROC ¼ 0.90 (95%CI 0.85-0.95). Conclusions The SAVE-score may be a tool to predict survival for patients receiving ECMO for refractory cardiogenic shock (www. save-score.com).
Early Findings after Implementation of Veno-Arteriovenous ECMO: A Multicenter European Experience
2021
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is increasingly used to treat cardiopulmonary failure in critically ill patients. Peripheral cannulation may be complicated by a persistent low cardiac output in case of veno-venous cannulation (VV-ECMO) or by differential hypoxia (e.g., lower PaO2 in the upper than in the lower body) in case of veno-arterial cannulation (VA-ECMO) and severe impairment of pulmonary function associated with cardiac recovery. The treatment of such complications remains challenging. We report the early effects of the use of veno-arterial-venous (V-AV) ECMO in this setting. Methods: Retrospective analysis including patients from five different European ECMO centers (January 2013 to December 2016) who required V-AV ECMO. We collected demographic data as well as comorbidities and ECMO characteristics, hemodynamics, and arterial blood gas values before and immediately after (i.e., within 2 h) V-AV implementation. Results: A total of 32 patients (age 53 (interquart...
Annals of Cardiothoracic Surgery, 2019
Background: Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) has been shown to be a viable and effective treatment for patients suffering from refractory cardiogenic shock (rCS), which is associated with high mortality rates. Although ECMO therapy used as short-term mechanical circulatory support (MCS) has shown tremendous growth in its application over the past decade, the complication and mortality rates remain high. This retrospective study analyzes complications associated with VA-ECMO support, evaluates the use of defined protocols at a single center, and examines factors that may contribute to patient complication and mortality. Methods: This retrospective analysis included 184 patients who were supported with ECMO from September 2014 through March 2018 at Integris Baptist Medical Center (IBMC). Descriptive statistics were generated to analyze baseline characteristics, demographics, complications, and outcomes. Results: Acute myocardial infarct (AMI) was the primary etiology of this cohort (N=40; 22%). The mean age was 55±15 (median 56, range 15-84) years. All patients were inotrope and/or vasopressor dependent prior to ECMO initiation. Mean time on ECMO support was 7.8±7.9 days with median time of 6 days. Total patient days on support were 1,430. Most ECMO cannulations, 97 (52%) were performed within Integris Baptist Medical Center, with 48% done outside the hospital; 38% were performed outside of the hospital by the IBMC ECMO team, and 10.5% were performed by an outside team. Bleeding was noted to be the most common VA ECMO complication [N=41; 22.3%; 0.028 events per patient day (EPPD)]. Conclusions: A dedicated 24/7 ECMO service using a multidisciplinary team (MDT) and defined protocols in a single center is able to effectively reduce complications due to VA-ECMO support in the sickest of the sick VA-ECMO patients.
Veno-Arterial-ECMO in the Intensive Care Unit:From Technical Aspects to Clinical Practice
Anaesthesia, critical care & pain medicine, 2017
The use of Veno-Arterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (VA-ECMO) as a salvage therapy in cardiogenic shock is becoming of current practice. While VA-ECMO is potentially a life-saving technique, results are sometimes mitigated, emphasising the need for selecting the right indication in the right patient. This relies upon a clear definition of the individual therapeutic project, including the potential for recovery as well as the possible complications associated with VA-ECMO. To maximise the benefits of VA-ECMO, the basics of extracorporeal circulation should be perfectly understood since VA-ECMO can sometimes be detrimental. Hence, to be successful, VA-ECMO should be used by teams with sufficient experience and initiated after a thorough multidisciplinary discussion considering patient's medical history, pathology as well the anticipated evolution of the disease.
ECMO after cardiac surgery: a single center study on survival and optimizing outcomes
Journal of Cardiothoracic Surgery, 2021
Background The study purpose is to examine survival prognostic and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) application outcomes at our tertiary care center. Methods This is a retrospective analysis, January 2014 to September 2019. We analyzed 60 patients who underwent cardiac surgery and required peri-operative ECMO. All inpatients with demographic and intervention data was examined. 52 patients (86.6%) had refractory cardiogenic shock, 7 patients (11.6%) had pulmonary insufficiency, and 1 patient (1.6%) had hemorrhagic shock, all patients required either venous-arterial (VA) (n = 53, 88.3%), venous-venous (VV) (n = 5, 8.3%) or venous-arterial-venous (VAV) (n = 2, 3.3%) ECMO for hemodynamic support. ECMO parameters were analyzed and common postoperative complications were examined in the setting of survival with comorbidities. Results In-hospital mortality was 60.7% (n = 37). Patients who survived were younger (52 ± 3.3 vs 66 ± 1.5, p < 0.001) with longer hospital stays (35 ± ...
Microcirculatory assessment of patients under VA-ECMO
Critical Care, 2016
Background: Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) is an effective technique for providing emergency mechanical circulatory support for patients with cardiogenic shock. VA-ECMO enables a rapid restoration of global systemic organ perfusion, but it has not been found to always show a parallel improvement in the microcirculation. We hypothesized in this study that the response of the microcirculation to the initiation of VA-ECMO might identify patients with increased chances of intensive care unit (ICU) survival. Methods: Twenty-four patients were included in this study. Sublingual microcirculation measurements were performed using the CytoCam-IDF (incident dark field) imaging device. Microcirculatory measurements were performed at baseline, after VA-ECMO insertion (T1), 48-72 h after initiation of VA-ECMO (T2), 5-6 days after (T3), 9-10 days after (T4), and within 24 h of VA-ECMO removal. Results: Of the 24 patients included in the study population, 15 survived and 9 died while on VA-ECMO. There was no significant difference between the systemic global hemodynamic variables at initiation of VA-ECMO between the survivors and non-survivors. There was, however, a significant difference in the microcirculatory parameters of both small and large vessels at all time points between the survivors and non-survivors. Perfused vessel density (PVD) at baseline (survivor versus non-survivor, 19.21 versus 13.78 mm/mm 2 , p = 0.001) was able to predict ICU survival on initiation of VA-ECMO; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.908 (95 % confidence interval 0.772-1.0). Conclusion: PVD of the sublingual microcirculation at initiation of VA-ECMO can be used to predict ICU mortality in patients with cardiogenic shock.