Design and Construction of a Rainfall Simulator (original) (raw)
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مقارنة لبعض نماذج الانحدار المكاني باستخدام المحاكاة
Journal of Techniques
يعّد مرض سرطان الثدي من أكثر الامراض السرطانية شيوعا التي تصيب النساء على مستوى العالم ككل وتختلف معدلات الاصابة بين منطقة واخرى، يمكن دراسة هذه الظاهرة اعتمادا على تأثير المكان بدل السنوات وتتأثر البيانات المكانية بصورة مباشـرة بمجموعـة مـن العوامـل المـؤثرة (العمر، الموقع الجغرافي، الحالة الاجتماعية والاقتصادية والإنجابية، تناول الهرمونات، عوامل الخطر المتعلقة بنمط الحياة (التدخين، النظام الغذائي، السمنة والنشاط البدني)، والتاريخ العائلي التي تساهم بإظهار هذ المرض. في هذا البحث استخدم نماذج الانحدار المكاني ( spatial regressive model ) لتحليـل البيانـات المكانية لمرض سرطان الثدي ومن خـلال المقارنة التقدير بين نماذج الانحدار المكاني بواسطة محاكاة مونت كارلو لاختيار افصل مقدر بين النموذجي الانحدار المكاني الاول نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المكاني (spatial autoregressive mode ) والثاني نموذج الخطأ المكاني( spatial error model) وتطبيق طريقتي التقدير طريقة المربعات الصغرى الاعتيادية وطريقة الامكان الاعظم على نماذج الانحدار ولغرض المقارنة استخدام معيار المقارنة متوسط مربع الخطأ (Mean S...