On the cardinal utility equivalence of biseparable preferences (original) (raw)

Preferences Representable by a Lower Expectation: Some Characterizations

Theory and Decision, 2008

We propose two different characterizations for preference relations representable by lower (upper) expectations with the aim of removing either fair price or completeness requirements. Moreover, we give an explicit characterization for comparative degrees of belief on a finite algebra of events representable by lower probabilities.

The impossibility of compromise: some uniqueness properties of expected utility preferences

Economic Theory, 2000

We focus on the following uniqueness property of expected utility preferences: Agreement of two preferences on one interior indifference class implies their equality. We show that, besides expected utility preferences under (objective) risk, this uniqueness property holds for subjective expected utility preferences in Anscombe-Aumann's (partially subjective) and Savage's (fully subjective) settings, while it does not hold for subjective expected utility preferences in settings without rich state spaces. Indeed, when it holds the uniqueness property is even stronger than described above, as it needs only agreement on binary acts. The extension of the uniqueness property to the subjective case is possible because beliefs in the mentioned settings are shown to satisfy an analogous property: If two decision makers agree on a likelihood indifference class, they must have identical beliefs.

When coherent preferences may not preserve indifference between equivalent random variables: A price for unbounded utilities

2018

We extend de Finetti's (1974) theory of coherence to apply also to unbounded random variables. We show that for random variables with mandated infinite prevision, such as for the St. Petersburg gamble, coherence precludes indifference between equivalent random quantities. That is, we demonstrate when the prevision of the difference between two such equivalent random variables must be positive. This result conflicts with the usual approach to theories of Subjective Expected Utility, where preference is defined over lotteries. In addition, we explore similar results for unbounded variables when their previsions, though finite, exceed their expected values, as is permitted within de Finetti's theory. In such cases, the decision maker's coherent preferences over random quantities is not even a function of probability and utility. One upshot of these findings is to explain further the differences between Savage's theory (1954), which requires bounded utility for non-simpl...

Axiomatising Incomplete Preferences through Sets of Desirable Gambles

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

We establish the equivalence of two very general theories: the first is the decision-theoretic formalisation of incomplete preferences based on the mixture independence axiom; the second is the theory of coherent sets of desirable gambles (bounded variables) developed in the context of imprecise probability and extended here to vector-valued gambles. Such an equivalence allows us to analyse the theory of incomplete preferences from the point of view of desirability. Among other things, this leads us to uncover an unexpected and clarifying relation: that the notion of `state independence'---the traditional assumption that we can have separate models for beliefs (probabilities) and values (utilities)---coincides with that of `strong independence' in imprecise probability; this connection leads us also to propose much weaker, and arguably more realistic, notions of state independence. Then we simplify the treatment of complete beliefs and values by putting them on a more equal ...

The Case for Cardinal Utility

I show that the standard unobservability argument against cardi-nal utility fails for decision-making under uncertainty, if expectation values of a cardinal utility are maximized. Given an ordinal utility defined by maximiza-tion of expected cardinal utility, one can recover the cardinal utility function modulo a linear transformation. Relations between gains and losses appear observable in the same sense as ordinal utility. So the standard Austrian ar-gumentation against cardinal utility is invalid. The existence of a cardinal utility function does not have to be presupposed: It is sufficient to presuppose a few self-evident rationality principles for an otherwise arbitrary order on the space of probability distributions to prove the existence of an appropriate utility function. In other words, a decision-making algorithm not equivalent to maximization of expected cardinal utility is irrational.

Dual Representations of Cardinal Preferences

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2008

Given a set of possible vector outcomes and the set of lotteries over it, we define sets of (a) von Neumann-Morgenstern representations of preferences over the lotteries, (b) mappings that yield the certainty equivalent outcomes corresponding to a lottery, (c) mappings that yield the risk premia corresponding to a lottery, (d) mappings that yield the acceptance set of lotteries corresponding to an outcome, and (e) vector-valued functions that yield generalized Arrow-Pratt coefficients corresponding to an outcome. Our main results establish bijections between these sets of mappings for very general specifications of outcome spaces, lotteries and preferences. As corollaries of these results, we derive analogous dual representations of risk averse preferences. Some applications to financial theory illustrate the potential uses of our results. Finally, we provide criteria for comparing the risk aversion of preferences in terms of the dual representations.

Choice-based cardinal utility

Journal of Economic Methodology, 2016

We reexamine some of the classic problems connected with the use of cardinal utility functions in decision theory, and discuss Patrick Suppes’ contributions to this field in light of a reinterpretation we propose for these problems. We analytically decompose the doctrine of ordinalism, which only accepts ordinal utility functions, and distinguish between several doctrines of cardinalism, depending on what components of ordinalism they specifically reject. We identify Suppes’ doctrine with the major deviation from ordinalism that conceives of utility functions as representing preference differences, while being nonetheless empirically related to choices. We highlight the originality, promises and limits of this choice-based cardinalism.

From preference to utility: a problem of descriptive set theory

Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic, 1985

Some years ago J. H. Silver proved that a co-analytic equivalence relation on a Polish space has either countably many or continuum many equivalence classes. Later L. Harrington greatly simplified the complicated original proof. The present paper is a sort of footnote to Harrington's lectures on these matters. It will be shown that information developed in his proof settles a problem of (hyper-)theoretical mathematical economics first investigated by Wesley [13] and Mauldin [8]. Namely, it will be shown that any family of closed preference orders that is parametrized in a Borel fashion can be represented by a family of continuous utility functions parametrized in an absolutely measurable fashion. Though the author is greatly indebted to Mauldin's work [8], the treatment of the problem here will be self-contained. Background and motivation for problems of this kind can be found in [6], Section 2.1. Terminology and notation pertaining to descriptive set theory will be as in [9]. 2 Definitions Throughout let ψ be a topological space. A preference order on 'ψ is any transitive, connected binary relation <*. Associated are the strict preference and indifference relations given by: x <* y <-> x <* y & ~y <* x X =* y +-> x <* y & y <* χ m Note that Ξ* i s an equivalence relation, and that <* induces a linear order on its equivalence classes, [x]* will denote the equivalence class of x. <* will be *Research in part supported by USA National Science Foundation Grant MCS 8003254.

Functional Characterizations of Basic Properties of Utility Representations

Monatshefte für Mathematik, 2002

Consider uncertain alternatives for which an event has two consequences (binary gambles,``gambles'' for short) and over them an operation of joint receipt which need not be closed and may be non-commutative. The two structures are linked by a distributivity property called segregation and a preference order. Utility functions order nonnegative numbers to consequences and gambles. Utility representations describe how the utility of a gamble depends on the utilities of consequences and on the``weight'' of the event (a number in [0,1], depending on the event). Functional characterizations give necessary and suf®cient conditions, often in form of functional equations, for certain properties of representations. We ®rst give a functional characterization of the often postulated event commutativity stating that two events can be interchanged in special composite gambles where one outcome is a consequence but the other is itself a gamble. A utility representation is separable if it is multiplicative for gambles with one consequence having 0 utility. We give three more speci®c characterizations of separable representations by segregation, by homogeneity and event commutativity, and by homogeneity and segregation, and show that in the last case event commutativity follows.

An extension of a theorem on the aggregation of separable preferences

Social Choice and Welfare, 1999

An Excess-Voting Function relative to a pro®le p assigns to each pair of alternatives xY y, the number of voters who prefer x to y minus the number of voters who prefer y to x. It is shown that any non-binary separable Excess-Voting Function can be achieved from a preferences pro®le when individuals are endowed with separable preferences. This result is an extension of Hollard and Le Breton (1996). Soc Choice Welfare (1999) 16: 159±167 Many thanks are due to Jean-FrancË ois Laslier and to two referees for their valuable remarks to improve this paper. I would like to thank Basudeb Chaudhuri for his careful reading.