A Decision Support System for Assessing Trade-Offs between Ecosystem Management Goals: An Application in Portugal (original) (raw)

Interactive decision support and trade-off analysis for sustainable forest landscape planning under deep uncertainty

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Sustainable environmental management often involves long-term time horizons and multiple conflicting objectives and, by nature, is affected by different sources of uncertainty. Many sources of uncertainty, such as climate change or government policies, cannot be addressed using probabilistic models, and, therefore, they can be seen to contain deep uncertainty. In this setting, the variety of possible future states is represented as a set of scenarios lacking any information about the likelihood of occurring. Integrating deep uncertainty into multiobjective decision support increases complexity, calling for the elaboration of appropriate methods and tools. This paper proposes a novel interactive multi-scenario multiobjective approach to support decision-making and trade-off analysis in sustainable forest landscape planning under multiple sources of uncertainty. It includes new preference simulation models aimed at reducing the decision-maker’s cognitive load and supporting the prefer...

A Multi-criteria1 Decision Support System for Forest Management

2000

We describe a research project that has as its goal development of a full-featured decision support system for managing forested land to satisfy multiple criteria represented as timber, wildlife, water, ecological, and wildlife objectives. The decision process proposed for what was originally conceived of as a Northeast Decision Model (NED) includes data acquisition, goal selection,, goal satisfaction analysis, goal conflict

Bi-Level Participatory Forest Management Planning Supported by Pareto Frontier Visualization

Forest Science, 2019

This research addresses the problem of forested landscape management planning in contexts characterized by multiple ecosystem services and multiple stakeholders. A new methodology for participatory landscape-level forest management is proposed. Specifically, a bilevel representation is used, whereas models of subsystems are used for constructing an integrated model of the master problem. Participatory workshops and interactive visualization of the Pareto frontier are used to support the solution of the multi-objective optimization upper- and lower-level problems. The visualization is implemented by a technique—Interactive Decision Maps—that displays interactively the Pareto frontier in the form of decision maps, that is, collections of the objectives’ tradeoff curves. Since the upper-level problem may be characterized by a large number of decision variables, we compare the Pareto frontier generated by the Interactive Decision Maps technique with the Pareto frontier generated by a de...