Time-Varying Nexus between Investor Sentiment and Cryptocurrency Market: New Insights from a Wavelet Coherence Framework (original) (raw)

Gold and Bitcoin Price Dynamics as a Reflection of Investor Sentiment

Journal La Bisecoman

The modern pandemic affects all areas of human activity. In this regard, various aspects of the preservation of economic activity become fundamental. One of these issues is the choice of an investment strategy, the choice of investment instruments. To do this, we examined the mutual dynamics of gold and bitcoin prices during the pandemic. For the analysis, we use the wavelet coherence methodology. This made it possible to substantiate some strategies and the choice of investment instruments.

Co-movement in crypto-currency markets: evidences from wavelet analysis

Financial Innovation, 2019

We study the time varying co-movement patterns of the crypto-currency prices with the help of wavelet-based methods; employing daily bilateral exchange rate of four major crypto-currencies namely Bitcoin, Ethereum, Lite and Dashcoin. First, we identify Bitcoin as potential market leader using Wavelet multiple correlation and Cross correlation. Further, Wavelet Local Multiple Correlation for the given cryptocurrency prices are estimated across different timescales. From the results, it is found that that the correlation follows an aperiodic cyclical nature, and the crypto-currency prices are driven by Bitcoin price movements. Based on the results obtained, we suggest that constructing a portfolio based on crypto-currencies may be risky at this point of time as the other crypto-currency prices are mainly driven by Bitcoin prices, and any shocks in the latter is immediately transformed to the former.

Crypto-currency: Empirical evidence from GSADF and wavelet coherence techniques

Accounting , 2019

This study is targeted towards the explosive behavior of crypto-currencies, namely Bitcoin, Etherium, Litecoin and Ripple by investigating the crypto-currencies bubbles and the causal link between Bitcoin and other three crypto-currencies prices, using GSADF and wavelet coherence tests. The study aims to answer the following questions which have not been investigated in the literature to our best knowledge (i) Was there any bubble in the prices of Bitcoin, Etherium, Litecoin and Ripple and between 01.09.2016 and 01.04.2019? If yes, why (ii) was there any linkage between Bitcoin and Etherium, Litecoin and Ripple? Our findings reveal that (a) there were some bubbles in the crypto-currencies for the periods investigated; (b) there was a positive correlation between Bitcoin and Etherium, Litecoin and Ripple in the short-run; (c) changes in Bitcoin prices lead changes Etherium, Litecoin and Ripple prices in the long run at different periods.

Diversification evidence of bitcoin and gold from wavelet analysis

Financial Innovation

To measure the diversification capability of Bitcoin, this study employs wavelet analysis to investigate the coherence of Bitcoin price with the equity markets of both the emerging and developed economies, considering the COVID-19 pandemic and the recent Russia-Ukraine war. The results based on the data from January 9, 2014 to May 31, 2022 reveal that compared with gold, Bitcoin consistently provides diversification opportunities with all six representative market indices examined, specifically under the normal market condition. In particular, for short-term horizons, Bitcoin shows favorably low correlation with each index for all years, whereas exception is observed for gold. In addition, diversification between Bitcoin and gold is demonstrated as well, mainly for short-term investments. However, the diversification benefit is conditional for both Bitcoin and gold under the recent pandemic and war crises. The findings remind investors and portfolio managers planning to incorporate ...

Impact of COVID-19 on Cryptocurrencies: Evidence on Information Transmission Through Economic and Financial Market Sentiments

Applied Finance Letters, 2021

This paper investigates the relationship between the COVID-19 crisis and the two leading cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, from 31 December 2019 to 18 August 2020. We also use an economic news sentiment index and financial market sentiment index to explore the possible mechanisms through which COVID-19 impacts cryptocurrency. We employ a VAR Granger Causality framework and Wavelet Coherence Analysis and find the cryptocurrency market was impacted in the early phase of the sample period through economic news and financial market sentiments, but this effect diminished after June 2020.

Covid-19 impact on cryptocurrencies: Evidence from a wavelet-based Hurst exponent

Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2022

Cryptocurrency history begins in 2008 as a means of payment proposal. However, cryptocurrencies evolved into complex, high yield speculative assets. Contrary to traditional financial instruments, they are not (mostly) traded in organized, law-abiding venues, but on online platforms, where anonymity reigns. This paper examines the long term memory in return and volatility, using high frequency time series of eleven important coins. Our study covers the pre-Covid-19 and the subsequent pandemia period. We use a recently developed method, based on the wavelet transform, which provides more robust estimators of the Hurst exponent. We detect that, during the peak of Covid-19 pandemic (around March 2020), the long memory of returns was only mildly affected. However, volatility suffered a temporary impact in its long range correlation structure. Our results could be of interest for both academics and practitioners.

Dynamic interdependence of cryptocurrency markets: An analysis across time and frequency

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2020

The extreme price swings and complexity in cryptocurrency markets drives multifarious research into co-movements, in both time and frequency, among cryptocurrencies. In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of multiscale interdependencies among five leading and liquid cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin, and Bitcoin Cash) using wavelet-based analyses that account for the heterogeneous behaviour of crypto-traders and crypto-investors. The results provide evidence of high levels of dependency from 2016 to 2018 at daily frequency scales. The cross wavelet transforms demonstrate Ripple and Ethereum to be trivial origins of market contagion. The results of wavelet coherence confirm the short-run and long-run market integration among some cryptocurrency pairs. However, the coherence is found to fluctuate at higher frequencies and be significantly stable at lower frequencies. Furthermore, the switch in the lead and lag relations of cryptocurrency returns suggests alternating time and frequency interdependencies. Our findings are useful to scale-conscious traders and multi-prospect (various investment horizon) investors and portfolio managers.

The directional spillover effects and time-frequency nexus between stock markets, cryptocurrency, and investor sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic

European Journal of Management and Business Economics

PurposeThis paper aims to analyze the connectedness between Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock market index and cryptocurrencies. It investigates the relevant impact of RavenPack COVID sentiment on the dynamic of stock market indices and conventional cryptocurrencies as well as their Islamic counterparts during the onset of the COVID-19 crisis.Design/methodology/approachThe authors rely on the methodology of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 2014) to construct network-associated measures. Then, the wavelet coherence model was applied to explore co-movements between GCC stock markets, cryptocurrencies and RavenPack COVID sentiment. As a robustness check, the authors used the time-frequency connectedness developed by Barunik and Krehlik (2018) to verify the direction and scale connectedness among these markets.FindingsThe results illustrate the effect of COVID-19 on all cryptocurrency markets. The time variations of stock returns display stylized fact tails and volatility clustering for all...

Mutual Dynamics of Certain Types of Bitcoin: Data from Wavelet Coherence

Journal of Engineering, Technology, and Applied Science, 2021

Unconventional methods of analysis are a good tool for studying new trends and phenomena. One of these objects of research is the cryptocurrency market. The paper shows the possibility and feasibility of applying the ideology of wavelets to analyze the dynamics of prices for cryptocurrencies. For this, the methodology of wavelet coherence is used. This methodology has been applied to various cryptocurrency pairs. The calculation results for real data are presented. It is shown that the results obtained agree with the theoretical conclusions and research results of other authors.

News sentiment in the cryptocurrency market: An empirical comparison with Forex

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2020

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