Strategic Foresight: Textbook (original) (raw)

Developing and Applying Strategic Foresight

2002

Most organisations operate primarily on the basis of priorities and principles laid down in the past, within a taken-for-granted worldview. They modify their underlying past-orientation with inputs from the current environment such as market information, economic signals and government regulations. But few attempt to bring these factors from the past and present into a coherent relationship with the forward view. Since the latter remains a collective blind spot this article concentrates on the construction, maintenance and uses of the forward view.

A Graduate Reflection on Learning Strategic Foresight

This is the personal reflection of a Master of Strategic Foresight (MSF) graduate from Regent University School of Business and Leadership, who completed his degree in August 2012 and is currently pursuing a Ph.D. in Organizational Leadership. He reviews his experiences during his MA studies and shares his learning memories. By dedicating his words to some of the courses he completed, he reveals what he learned through Regent University’s online Strategic Foresight program. Reading this personal report can be inspiring for anyone seeking a Master of Arts (MA) in Strategic Foresight.

The future isn’t what it used to be: Here's how strategic foresight can help

The future isn’t what it used to be: Here's how strategic foresight can help, 2023

The future isn’t what it used to be: Here's how strategic foresight can help As Foresight becomes more and more important at an organisational and individual level, it's important to understand and learn its basic principles, concepts, tools and frameworks. This is a PDF version published in Compass, April 2023, a publication from the Association of Professional Futurists - APF. A special word to Stephen Dupont, APR, Fellow PRSA for the editing work of the article. You can also read the article in the World Economic Forum forum website: https://lnkd.in/djxh2T8K

How to do strategic foresight

NATO Defence College - Insight, 2024

Unlike some ‘philosophical’ perspectives, this guide approaches foresight as a practical tool to improve decision-making. My goal with this guide is to provide a simple tool for policy practitioners to start navigating the foresight discipline and help foster foresight thinking in policy teams and organizations. Far from presenting a set of last-generation methodologies, 'How to Do Strategic Foresight' offers a consistent, rigorous body of effective tools and techniques that can be used by non-expert personnel. Moreover, the guide provides examples of complete foresight processes, starting with driver identification and scenario-building and ending with preparing and monitoring subsequent policies. ISSN: 3006-5380 (print) ISSN: 3006-5399 (online)

The Imperative of Strategic Foresight to Strategic Thinking

Journal of Futures Studies, 2008

An apparent gap in mainstream strategy literature points to questions relating to the role and competencies of leaders in strategy making. An initial investigation reveals that turbulent change and growing environmental uncertainty demands leadership intuition and skills that are able to anticipate aspects of the future, provide enabling environments significantly different to the recent past and to provide direction for a dynamic 'living organisational strategy'. The paper explores the relation between neuroses of thinking about the future, the roles of leaders, strategic foresight and their connectedness to expanding bottom line measures of organisational performance. These are seen as indicators of leadership skills required to embrace the future and the possible foundations of an imperative for strategic foresight education in leadership development.

The Science of Foresight: How to Succeed in Strategic Forecasting and Planning

Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2023

The article proposes a conceptual approach to the formation of a scientific and methodological complex that ensures the implementation of state policy in the field of strategic planning. The place of the complex in the system of strategic planning and its structure are determined. The conditions and factors for increasing its effectiveness are investigated. An analysis of the provisions of the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation, On the Approval of the Fundamentals of State Policy in the Sphere of Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation, dated November 8, 2021, no. 633 is made. Its role in a new stage in the development of strategic planning in Russia as a targeted and long-term state policy necessary in the conditions of rapidly changing global economic and geopolitical trends is analyzed. Attention is focused on the necessity and importance of risk analysis in the system of strategic forecasting and planning. A model of knowledge mapping in the process of organizing work on the scientific and methodological support of strategic planning is given.

Corporate foresight: developing a process model

European Journal of Futures Research

Based on previous studies on corporate foresight, companies and organizations still suffer from the lack of a framework to encounter future economic conditions as well as assuring all relevant external changes and providing proper responses. This study developed capabilities of corporate foresight and the ability for companies and organizations to utilize foresight activities successfully. The research methodology of this study was mixed. The first step of this study was to extract components to devise a proposed model. The second step of this study was to validate the proposed model quantitatively. Findings indicate that the proposed framework of the study facilitated the analysis of future scenarios and developed a strategy by incorporating foresight methodologies. Part of the strategic planning included a plan for companies to recover against discontinuous changes and yield to decrease the uncertainty of companies.