Association between clinical presentations before myocardial infarction and coronary mortality: a prospective population-based study using linked electronic records (original) (raw)
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Heart, 2006
Objective: To determine whether ischaemia grade (GI) on the presenting ECG and duration of symptoms can identify subgroups of patients who would derive more benefit than the general population of patients with ST segment elevation acute myocardium infarction (STEMI) from primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) over thrombolytic treatment (TT) in reducing mortality or reinfarction. Methods: 1319 DANAMI-2 (Danish trial in Acute Myocardial Infarction-2) patients were classified as having grade 2 ischaemia (GI2; ST segment elevation without terminal QRS distortion) or grade 3 ischaemia (GI3; ST segment elevation with terminal QRS distortion in > 2 adjacent leads), and were divided into early and late groups split by the median time (3 h) from symptom onset to treatment. Outcomes were 30-day mortality and reinfarction. Results: Mortality was significantly higher for GI3 than for GI2 (9.7% v 4.8%, p , 0.001) and doubled for patients presenting late (GI2: 6.0% v 3.3%, p = 0.01; GI3: 12.5% v 4.7%, p = 0.05). Overall mortality did not differ significantly between pPCI and TT; however, a 5.5% absolute mortality reduction was seen in GI3 treated early with pPCI (1.4% v 6.9%, p = 0.10). Reinfarction rate was particularly high among GI3 patients presenting late and treated with TT (12.2%). pPCI in such patients significantly reduced the rate of reinfarction (0%, p , 0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that age (odds ratio (OR) 1.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06 to 1.12, p , 0.001), prior angina (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.44 to 4.54, p = 0.001), heart rate (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.04, p = 0.001) and GI3 (OR 1.91, 95% CI 1.06 to 3.44, p = 0.031) were independently associated with mortality, whereas the sum of ST segment elevation was not. Conclusions: GI3 is an independent predictor of mortality among patients with STEMI. Mortality increased significantly with symptom duration in both GI2 and GI3. pPCI may be especially beneficial for patients with GI3 presenting early, whereas patients with GI3 presenting late and treated with TT are at particular risk of reinfarction.
AbsTRACT Regional myocardial ischaemia is commonly expressed as exertional angina in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). It also associates with prognosis, risk tending to increase with the severity of ischaemia. The validity of myocardial ischaemia as a surrogate for adverse clinical outcomes, however, has not been well established. Thus, in cohort studies, ischaemia testing has failed to influence rates of myocardial infarction and coronary death. Moreover, in clinical studies, pharmacological and interventional treatments that are effective in correcting ischaemia have rarely been shown to reduce cardiovascular (CV) risk. This contrasts with statins and other anti-inflammatory drugs that have no direct effect on ischaemia but improve CV outcomes by modifying the atherothrombotic disease process. Despite this, and with little evidence of patient benefit, stress testing is commonly used during the follow-up of patients with stable CAD when the demonstration of ischaemic change may be seen as a target for treatment, independently of symptomatic status. Substitution of a symptom-driven management strategy has the potential to reduce rates of non-invasive stress testing, unnecessary downstream revascularisation procedures and use of valuable resources in patients with stable CAD without adverse consequences for CV risk.
Comorbidity phenotypes and risk of mortality in patients with ischaemic heart disease in the UK
Heart, 2020
ObjectivesThe objective of this study is to use latent class analysis of up to 20 comorbidities in patients with a diagnosis of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) to identify clusters of comorbidities and to examine the associations between these clusters and mortality.MethodsLongitudinal analysis of electronic health records in the health improvement network (THIN), a UK primary care database including 92 186 men and women aged ≥18 years with IHD and a median of 2 (IQR 1–3) comorbidities.ResultsLatent class analysis revealed five clusters with half categorised as a low-burden comorbidity group. After a median follow-up of 3.2 (IQR 1.4–5.8) years, 17 645 patients died. Compared with the low-burden comorbidity group, two groups of patients with a high-burden of comorbidities had the highest adjusted HR for mortality: those with vascular and musculoskeletal conditions, HR 2.38 (95% CI 2.28 to 2.49) and those with respiratory and musculoskeletal conditions, HR 2.62 (95% CI 2.45 to 2.79). Ha...
Myocardial infarction as the first manifestation of atherosclerotic disease
2013
Aim: To examine the occurrence of cardiovascular disease risk factors, previously diagnosed atherosclerotic disease, new ischaemic events and prescriptions issued in the period prior to first myocardial infarction (MI) and their association with outcomes at the time of and after MI. Methods: This thesis describes studies using linked CALIBER data from four UK sources: the General Practice Research Database, Hospital Episode Statistics, the Myocardial Ischaemic National Audit Project and Office for National Statistics mortality data. Linkage of these sources created a large, rich longitudinal dataset, allowing reconstruction of the patient journey before and after first MI. Quality of MI recording across the four data sources was first assessed and three further studies examined atherosclerotic disease, risk factor and drug exposures in the period preceding MI. Results: Despite an increased rate of ischaemic coronary presentations in the 90 days prior to MI, over half of first MI pat...
Prediction of myocardial infarction in patients with transient ischaemic attack
Acta Neurologica Scandinavica, 2014
Background-Determinants of risk of myocardial infarction (MI) after transient ischaemic attack (TIA) are not well defined. The aim of our study was to determine the risk and risk factors for MI after TIA. Methods-We prospectively recruited patients within 24 h of transient ischaemic cerebrovascular events between October 2006 and January 2013. A total of 628 TIA patients were followed for six months or more. MI and stroke recurrence (SR) were recorded. The duration and typology of clinical symptoms, vascular risk factors and aetiological work-ups were prospectively recorded and established prognostic scores (ABCD2, ABCD2I, ABCD3I, Essen Stroke Risk Score, California Risk Score and Stroke Prognosis Instrument) were calculated. Results-Twenty-eight (4.5%) MI and 68 (11.0%) recurrent strokes occurred during a median follow-up period of 31.2 months (16.1-44.9). In Cox proportional hazards multivariate analyses, we identify previous coronary heart disease (CHD) (hazard ratio [HR] 5.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.45-13.04, P < 0.001) and sex male (HR 2.72, 95% CI 1.02-7.30, P = 0.046) as independent predictors of MI. Discrimination for the prognostic scores only ranged from 0.60 to 0.71. The incidence of MI did not vary among the different aetiological subtypes. Positive diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) (7.5% vs 2.5%, P = 0.007), and ECG abnormalities (Q wave or ST-T wave changes) (13.6% vs 3.6%, P = 0.001) were associated to MI. Conclusion-According to our results, discrimination was poor for all previous risk prediction models evaluated. Variables such as previous CHD, male sex, DWI and ECG abnormalities should be considered in new prediction models.
European Heart Journal, 2004
Aim To present information on long-term prognosis and risk factors following an admission with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome. Methods A cohort of 653 patients was followed for mortality and causes of death using data from the UK Office of National Statistics (ONS). Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify the prognostic factors. Results Overall survival at a maximum follow-up of 45 months was 77.8% (95% CI 74.1-81.1%). Seventy-three per cent of the deaths were clearly due to a cardiovascular cause. Age, male gender, heart failure, ST depression or bundle branch block were all associated with higher short-and long-term risk. Taking aspirin or having a revascularization procedure, over the period of six months following initial hospitalisation were both associated with a lower long-term risk. Conclusion Non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes carry a high risk of death over a 4-year period. Conventional risk factors can predict both short-and long-term risk. More invasive management and the use of evidence-based therapies appear to be associated with a lower risk.
Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 1997
Objectives. We attempted to investigate the relation between patient characteristics and adverse outcome in patients with ischemia and clinically stable coronary artery disease (CAD). Background. Evidence suggests that cardiac ischemia, detected by exercise stress testing (ETT) and ambulatory electrocardiographic (AECG) monitoring during daily living, identifies a subgroup of patients at increased risk for adverse outcome, but the relation between these ischemia findings and clinical and angiographic characteristics is largely unknown. Methods. We examined the relation between clinical, angiographic and ischemia characteristics at entry with adverse outcome observed at 1 year in the 558 patients enrolled in the Asymptomatic Cardiac Ischemia Pilot (ACIP) study. Results. By the 12-month visit 13.1% of patients had an ischemia-related adverse clinical outcome that included death, nonfatal myocardial infarction or an ischemia-related hospital admission. Multivariate analysis identified only the number of AECG ischemic episodes at entry (odds ratio [OR] 1.06, 99% confidence interval [CI] 1.01 to 1.12, p ؍ 0.002) as an independent predictor of outcome. Assignment to revascularization (as opposed to an initial medical treatment strategy) showed a trend (OR 0.56, 99% CI 0.26 to 1.2, p ؍ 0.05). None of the other baseline clinical, exercise or angiographic variables examined provided additional information relative to adverse outcome. Conclusions. Determinants of adverse outcome, among clinically stable patients with CAD and ischemia induced by stress and daily life were magnitude of AECG ischemia before treatment and, possibly, initial treatment assignment. Among the many other characteristics examined, including age, symptom status and angiographic and exercise variables, none contributed additional independent prognostic information. These two simple variables, which may be modifiable, need further study in a larger trial.