Choice or Circumstance? Adjusting Measures of Foreign Policy Similarity for Chance Agreement (original) (raw)

The paper explores the measurement of foreign policy similarity among states, emphasizing the significance of addressing chance agreement in these assessments. It critiques existing measures of foreign policy similarity, particularly the S measure proposed by Signorino and Ritter, highlighting its limitations in capturing the nature of state ties. The author aims to propose an improved methodology that adjusts for chance, thereby enhancing the accuracy and applicability of foreign policy similarity metrics in the analysis of international relations.