The economic power of the Golden Rice opposition (original) (raw)

Benefit-cost analysis of iron fortification of rice in India: modelling potential economic gains from improving haemoglobin and averting anaemia

Journal of Development Effectiveness, 2023

This paper presents an ex-ante Benefit-Cost analysis of proposed fortification of extruder rice with iron under the social safety net in India. The benefits of iron fortification are estimated in terms of economic gains from increases in current work productivity among adults and future productivity from improvements in learning among school-going children. The base case scenario indicates a benefit cost ratio of 8.2, with 69 percent coming from improved learning in school and the remainder through enhanced work productivity. Benefit-cost ratios are also presented for a range of alternative assumptions, all of these resulting in ratios greater than 1. Nevertheless, despite decades of fortification at scale, a principal conclusion of this study is that future benefit cost models would gain confidence if more evidence is generated on the relationship of improved biomarkers for iron and changes in measures of cognition and labour productivity.

Analysis Of U.S. Rice Policy In A Global Stochastic Framework

2011

U.S. rice policy is evaluated in this paper with a global modeling framework to examine the potential impacts of domestic policy reforms using stochastic analysis. Results of this study show that without government payments, the international rice price and U.S. farm price and their volatility will increase. For the U.S., rice area harvested, production, net exports, and the country’s share in global net exports will decrease under a no-government-payment scenario. Analysis of trade of major exporting and importing countries indicates that volatility of international trade also increases under the same scenario. While unilateral elimination of government support for U.S. rice results in a decline in world net rice trade as a result of decreased purchases by major rice importers, the major rice net exporter competitors increase their share at the expense of the U.S. The stochastic analysis provides market insights as it shows how outcomes are empirically-distributed as opposed to the...

Potential impacts of Golden Rice on public health in India

2006 Annual Meeting, August 12 …, 2006

Abstract: Vitamin A deficiency (VAD) affects millions of people world-wide, causing serious health problems. Golden Rice (GR), which has been genetically engineered to produce beta-carotene, is being proposed as a remedy. While this new technology has aroused controversial debates, its nutritional impact and cost-effectiveness remain unclear. We determine the current burden of VAD in India from a public health perspective, and simulate the potential alleviating impact of GR using representative household food consumption ...