Counterfactuals: A View from Big History (original) (raw)

Historically Speaking, 2005

Abstract

ABSTRACT Akop P. Nazaretyan is senior researcher at the Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences. His most recent book is Civilization Crises in the Context of Big History: Self-Organization, Psychology, and Forecasts, 2nd ed. (Mir Publishers, 2004). 1. In this context, some general regularities of historical selection have been observed; among them, the relation between technological potential, quality of cultural regulation, and social sustainability. See Akop Nazaretyan, "Power and Wisdom: Toward a History of Social Behaviour," Journal for the Theory of Social Behaviour 33 (2003): 405-425. 2. Eric J. Chaisson, Cosmic Evolution: The Rise of Complexity in Nature (Harvard University Press, 2001). 3. Graeme Snooks, The Dynamic Society: Exploring the Sources of Global Change (Routledge, 1996). 4. Alexander Panov, "The Singular Point of History," Social Sciences Today 1 (2005): 48-59 (in Russian). 5. Richard Ned Lebow, "Good History Needs Counterfactuals," Historically Speaking: The Bulletin of the Historical Society 5 (March 2004): 25. * The work is supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research, grant # 04-06-80072. The author wishes to thank Alexander Panov and Graeme Snooks for their comments and suggestions.

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