Not the next Yugoslavia: prospects for the disintegration of Indonesia (original) (raw)

The paper examines the speculation surrounding Indonesia's potential disintegration, arguing against the notion that its unity is fragile. It discusses various factors, including geographical determinism and historical context, that contribute to the idea that Indonesia is a candidate for disintegration. While acknowledging the unique case of East Timor, the paper ultimately concludes that Indonesia's diverse ethnic composition and socio-political structure indicate resilience rather than inevitable fragmentation.