CLIMATE CHANGES, UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTRADICTIONS: TOWARD THE RESPONSIBLE ATTITUDE BEFORE ENVIRONMENT (original) (raw)
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Natural phenomena, such as volcanic eruptions, comet and/or large meteor impacts, may cause such changes. The Earth's surface has a direct influence on the heat and moisture of the climate. Paleoclhatic changes have been attributed to changes in the position, size The author is Head, Energy Section, in the Energy Studies Department at the OPEC Secretariat in Vienna, Austria. The original manuscript was received on 23 April 1993; a shorter version of the paper was published in the April I993 issue of the OPEC Bulletin. 1. The geological record on climate Geological time is divided into four major units (eras): the Re-Cambrian; the Palaeozoic; the Mesozoic; and the Cenozoic. These four eras are subdivided into *nods, and the periods in turn are subdivided into epochs. Using the geological concept that "the present is the key to the past", and by studying present-day sediments and their related environments, one can, in a similar manner, analyze past sedimentary records and try to infer the ancient environments which led to the deposition of particular types of sediment. Therefore, deductions can be made about the climatic significance of certain classes of sedimentary rock, such as: Calcareous rock (limestones, marbles and marls). These are currently deposited in warm, temperate or tropical seas. Coral reefs which belong to this category of rocks are currently confined to subtropical shorelines, typically in the 20-25OC sea temperature range, and to waters with a salinity of 2.74.0 per cent. 306 OPEC Review Arenaceous rocks (sands, sandstones, quartzites and conglomerates). 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Sea and lake ice may raft boulders and other coarse material, like till or ground moraine (unsorted assemblages of pebbles and boulders that are typically 'unrounded' by water transport and are embedded in a clay or silt matrix), away from their original place, finally depositing them in the new location where the ice melts. Glacial deposits indicate cold climates in the regions in which they are found. Other deposits, like red beds (assemblages of red and yellow sandstones, marls, clays, pebble and boulder beds). Their presence implies, as from their colour (abundant iron oxide), warm desert conditions or, sometimes, warm, humid conditions with an abundance of oxygen. 2. 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Facts and trend of Climate Change - with reference to Geological time frame.
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Towards a History of Ideas on Anthropogenic Climate Change
In this essay we show that the notion of anthropogenic climate change is not novel. Concerns over transformations of the Earth's climate by human activities have been expressed since the 18 th century Enlightenment and earlier. It Is reasonable, therefore, to speak of a "history of anthropogenic climate changes". Most of the instances were not "real". But all cases were associated with the perception of significant discontinuities and in most instances the perceived change was seen as a threat to society. We briefly discuss the possible implications of this "history" for the functioning of the scientific community in the present debate.