Proposing a new methodology for prioritising the investment strategies in the private sector of Iran (original) (raw)

Fuzzy multi-attribute evaluation of investments

Most companies have a large number of projects that they would like to do for various reasons. However, usually there is never enough time and money available to complete all of them. Selecting a portfolio from available project proposals is crucial for the success of each company. This paper proposes a practical framework for modelling projects portfolio selection problem with fuzzy parameters resulting from uncertainty associated with decision makers' judgment. A fuzzy multi-attribute decision-making approach is adopted. A two-step evaluation model that combines fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and fuzzy TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity Ideal Solution) methods is used to rank potential projects. The proposed approach is illustrated by an empirical study of a real case from steel industry involving five criteria and ten projects.

A Multiple-Attributes Decision Making in Hesitant Fuzzy Environment: Application to Evaluation of Investment Projects

2014

The work proposes an approach for solving a multiple-attributes decision making (MADM) problems in hesitant fuzzy environment based on TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) method. The case when the information on the attributes weights is completely unknown is considered. The attributes weights identification based on De Luca-Termini information entropy is offered in context of hesitant fuzzy sets. In the TOPSIS method the ranking of alternatives is made in accordance with the proximity of their distance to the positive and negative ideal solutions. The developed approach is applied to evaluation of Investment Projects with the aim of their ranking and identification of high-quality projects for investment.

Application and Development of a Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process within a Capital Investment Study

2005

Capital budgeting as a decision process is among the most important of all management decisions. The importance (consequents) of the subsequent outcome may bring a level of uncertainty to the judgement-making process by the decision maker(s) in the form of doubt, hesitancy, and procrastination. This study considers one such problem, namely the selection of the type of fleet car to be adopted by a small car rental company, a selection that accounts for a large proportion of the company¡¦s working capital. With a number of criteria to consider, a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) analysis is undertaken to accommodate the inherent uncertainty. Developments are made to the FAHP method utilised to consider the preference results with differing levels of precision in the pairwise judgements made.

Evaluation of Investment Opportunities With Interval-Valued Fuzzy Topsis Method

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 2020

The purpose of this study is extended the TOPSIS method based on interval-valued fuzzy set in decision analysis. After the introduction of TOPSIS method by Hwang and Yoon in 1981, this method has been extensively used in decision-making, rankings also in optimal choice. Due to this fact that uncertainty in decision-making and linguistic variables has been caused to develop some new approaches based on fuzzy-logic theory. Indeed, it is difficult to achieve the numerical measures of the relative importance of attributes and the effects of alternatives on the attributes in some cases. In this paper to reduce the estimation error due to any uncertainty, a method has been developed based on interval-valued fuzzy set. In the suggested TOPSIS method, we use Shannon entropy for weighting the criteria and apply the Euclid distance to calculate the separation measures of each alternative from the positive and negative ideal solutions to determine the relative closeness coefficients. According...

Hesitant Fuzzy TOPSIS based Investment Projects Selection Problem

WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS archive, 2019

The present study develops a decision support methodology for investment projects selection problem. The proposed methodology applies the TOPSIS (Technique for Order Performance by Similarity to Ideal Solution) approach under hesitant fuzzy environment. Selection of investment projects is made considering a set of weighted attributes. To evaluate attributes our approach implies using of experts' assessments. In the proposed methodology the values of the attributes are given by group of experts in the form of lingual assessments - linguistic terms. Then, these lingual assessments are expressed in trapezoidal fuzzy numbers. Consequently, proposed approach is based on hesitant trapezoidal fuzzy TOPSIS decision-making model. The case when the information on the attributes weights is completely unknown is considered. The attributes weights identification based on De Luca-Termini information entropy is offered in context of hesitant fuzzy sets. Following the TOPSIS algorithm, first th...

A Novel Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Technique Considering Various Essential Characteristics

2021

This paper has proposed a novel Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) technique that considers relationships among the criteria, relationships among the alternatives, relationships among the criteria and the alternatives, the uncertainty or dilemma that the decision makers face in their decision making, the entropy among the criteria. The dilemma of the decision makers has been captured through the use of Hesitant Fuzzy Elements; the information content among the criteria has been captured by applying the concept of entropy through the application of a technique called IDOCRIW. A kind of sensitivity analysis has been performed to verify the effectiveness of the proposed technique. The proposed method has also been compared with four different types of already existing MCDA techniques, AHP, MAUT, MACBETH and MOORA. Both the sensitivity analysis and the comparison with other methods establish the effectiveness of the proposed technique.