Quantum Probabilities vs Event Frequencies (original) (raw)

On the relation between quantum mechanical probabilities and event frequencies

2004

The probability 'measure' for measurements at two consecutive moments of time is non-additive. These probabilities, on the other hand, may be determined by the limit of relative frequency of measured events, which are by nature additive. We demonstrate that there are only two ways to resolve this problem. The first solution places emphasis on the precise use of the concept of conditional probability for successive measurements. The physically correct conditional probabilities define additive probabilities for two-time measurements. These probabilities depend explicitly on the resolution of the physical device and do not, therefore, correspond to a function of the associated projection operators. It follows that quantum theory distinguishes between physical events and propositions about events, the latter are not represented by projection operators and that the outcomes of two-time experiments cannot be described by quantum logic.

Classical Vs Quantum Probability in Sequential Measurements

2005

We demonstrate in this paper that the probabilities for sequential measurements have features very different from those of single-time measurements. First, they cannot be modeled by a classical stochastic process. Second, they are contextual, namely they depend strongly on the specific measurement scheme through which they are determined. We construct Positive-Operator-Valued measures (POVM) that provide such probabilities. For observables with continuous spectrum, the constructed POVMs depend strongly on the resolution of the measurement device, a conclusion that persists even if we consider a quantum mechanical measurement device or the presence of an environment. We then examine the same issues in alternative interpretations of quantum theory. We first show that multi-time probabilities cannot be naturally defined in terms of a frequency operator. We next prove that local hidden variable theories cannot reproduce the predictions of quantum theory for sequential measurements, even when the degrees of freedom of the measuring apparatus are taken into account. Bohmian mechanics, however, does not fall in this category. We finally examine an alternative proposal that sequential measurements can be modeled by a process that does not satisfy the Kolmogorov axioms of probability. This removes contextuality without introducing non-locality, but implies that the empirical probabilities cannot be always defined (the event frequencies do not converge). We argue that the predictions of this hypothesis are not ruled out by existing experimental results (examining in particular the "which way" experiments); they are, however, distinguishable in principle. *

An Intensional Probability Theory: Investigating the Link between Classical and Quantum Probabilities

Mathematics

The link between classical and quantum theories is discussed in terms of extensional and intensional viewpoints. The paper aims to bring evidence that classical and quantum probabilities are related by intensionalization, which means that by abandoning sets from classical probability one should obtain quantum theory. Unlike the extensional concept of a set, the intensional probability is attributed to the quantum ensemble, which is contextually dependent. The contextuality offers a consistent realization of the measurement problem, which should require the existence of the time operator. The time continuum by Brouwer has satisfied such a requirement, which makes it fundamental to mathematical physics. The statistical model it provides has been proven tremendously useful in a variety of applications.

Quantum Probability from Temporal Structure

Quantum Reports, 2023

The Born probability measure describes the statistics of measurements in which observers self-locate themselves in some region of reality. In 𝜓 -ontic quantum theories, reality is directly represented by the wavefunction. We show that quantum probabilities may be identified using fractions of a universal multiple-time wavefunction containing both causal and retrocausal temporal parts. This wavefunction is defined in an appropriately generalized history space on the Keldysh time contour. Our deterministic formulation of quantum mechanics replaces the initial condition of standard Schrödinger dynamics, with a network of ‘fixed points’ defining quantum histories on the contour. The Born measure is derived by summing up the wavefunction along these histories. We then apply the same technique to the derivation of the statistics of measurements with pre- and postselection.

A detailed interpretation of probability, and its link with quantum mechanics

Eprint Arxiv 1011 6331, 2010

In the following we revisit the frequency interpretation of probability of Richard von Mises, in order to bring the essential implicit notions in focus. Following von Mises, we argue that probability can only be defined for events that can be repeated in similar conditions, and that exhibit 'frequency stabilization'. The central idea of the present article is that the mentioned 'conditions' should be well-defined and 'partitioned'. More precisely, we will divide probabilistic systems into object, environment, and probing subsystem, and show that such partitioning allows to solve a wide variety of classic paradoxes of probability theory. As a corollary, we arrive at the surprising conclusion that at least one central idea of the orthodox interpretation of quantum mechanics is a direct consequence of the meaning of probability. More precisely, the idea that the "observer influences the quantum system" is obvious if one realizes that quantum systems are probabilistic systems; it holds for all probabilistic systems, whether quantum or classical.

Time, Quantum Mechanics, and Probability

Synthese, 1998

A variety of ideas arising in decoherence theory, and in the ongoing debate over Everett's relative-state theory, can be linked to issues in relativity theory and the philosophy of time, specifically the relational theory of tense and of identity over time. These have been systematically presented in companion papers (Saunders 1995; 1996a); in what follows we shall consider the same circle of ideas, but specifically in relation to the interpretation of probability, and its identification with relations in the Hilbert Space norm. The familiar objection that Everett's approach yields probabilities different from quantum mechanics is easily dealt with. The more fundamental question is how to interpret these probabilities consistent with the relational theory of change, and the relational theory of identity over time. I shall show that the relational theory needs nothing more than the physical, minimal criterion of identity as defined by Everett's theory, and that this ca...

From quantum probabilities to classical facts

Arxiv preprint hep-th/9311090, 1993

Abstract: Model interactions between classical and quantum systems are briefly reviewed. These include: general measurement-like couplings, Stern-Gerlach experiment, model of a counter, quantum Zeno effect, piecewise deterministic Markov processes and meaning of ...

Quantum mechanics as a statistical theory: a short history and a worked example

arXiv: Quantum Physics, 2018

A major question in our understanding of the fabric of the world is where the randomness of some quantum phenomena comes from and how to represent it in a rational theory. The statistical interpretation of quantum mechanics made its way progressively since the early days of the theory. We summarize the main historical steps and then we outline how the randomness gains to be depicted by using tools adapted to Markov processes. We consider a model system corresponding to experimental situations, namely a single two-level atom submitted to a monochromatic light triggering transitions from the ground to the excited state. After a short summary of present quantum approaches, we explain how a general "kinetic-like" Kolmogorov equation yields the statistical properties of the fluorescent light radiated by the atom which makes at once Rabi oscillations between the two states, and random quantum jumps with photo-emission. As an exemple we give the probability distribution of the ti...

Quantum probability: New perspectives for the laws of chance

The main philosophical successes of quantum probability is the discovery that all the so-called quantum paradoxes have the same conceptual root and that such root is of probabilistic nature. This discovery marks the birth of quantum probability not as a purely mathematical (noncommutative) generalization of a classical theory, but as a conceptual turning point on the laws of chance, made necessary by experimental results.