A Strategic Analysis of the Kabul Peace Process II (original) (raw)

The paper explores the strategic implications of President Ashraf Ghani's unconditional offer to the Taliban for peace talks in February 2018. It discusses the potential responses of the Taliban and other political actors, emphasizing the use of historical strategic maneuvers and the need for careful calculations by the Taliban in their decision-making process. The analysis suggests that while the peace process could be framed as a diplomatic effort, it may not lead to significant political changes within Afghanistan, positioning Ghani as a unifying leader amid approaching elections.