Fishing in Troubled Waters: Defense Stature as Explanatory Factor of Duterte's Stand in the West Philippine Sea (original) (raw)

Anthropology of Security The Case of the West Philippine Sea 2011-

2017

Based on the objectives of this ethnography, the pursuit of this study wants to contribute to a better understanding of the Philippines strategic culture in its continuing battle to protect its territorial integrity and national sovereignty in the West Philippine Sea. The research has looked at the plausible approaches in contributing to the epistemic literature of the anthropology of security by examining the country’s strategic culture in the West Philippine Sea, identifying themes on the Philippines strategic culture in its imminent external security threat, and to recommend projected Philippines responses to advance the country’s strategic culture. Based on the findings of the ethnography, China has already risen economically, militarily and politically. The pronounced power shift in the West Philippine Sea, two superpowers, one emerging (China) while the other declining (United States), are tossing coins with each other as they flex military muscles in the new-found maritime battleground at the expense of smaller nation like the Philippines, ascribing and still trying to identify and institutionalize its own strategic culture. In-depth analyses and rhetoric sandwiched in this ethnographic account identified legal remedies, diplomatic negotiations, and military alliance as part of building the capacity to foster the country’s robust strategic culture. It is obvious that although the country manifests strategic culture, it is still episodic and not well-defined or long-term, although it is not lacking as accounted in the oral traditions of Philippine strategic culture, but it only needs to be codified, defined, and institutionalized to empower its existence and robustness. This is perhaps the silverlining in the West Philippine Sea crisis that has jolted the Philippine defense establishment out of stupor.

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The Philippine perspective on the security partnership with Japan

The Philippine perspective on the security partnership with Japan

This article examines the external and domestic forces behind the increased security cooperation between the Philippines and Japan, and explores the status of this security partnership. It addresses these two corollary problems: What are the external and domestic factors that account for the increasing security cooperation between the Philippines and Japan? And what is the state of this security partnership? It also looks into these related issues: What is the origin of the Philippine-Japan security partnership? How has China’s maritime expansion in East Asia affected the security policies of these two countries? What are the components of the Philippine-Japan security cooperation? And finally, how will this security partnership evolve in over time?

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Line in the Waters: The South China Sea Dispute and its Implications for Asia

This compilation looks at emerging security dynamics in the Southeast Asian littorals and its impact on Asian geopolitics and security. It presents country perspectives of the strategic implications of recent developments in the South China Sea -- their implications for maritime security and the regional balance of power. After a Arbitral Tribunal pronounced a verdict in July 2016, invalidating China's historical claims in the South China Sea, there is fear that the dispute might turn into a flashpoint for conflict. Beyond dwelling on the strategic deadlock that characterizes the current state-of-play, contributors outline possible solutions and a way forward.

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Duterte's Pivot to China, and Prospects for Settling the South China Sea Disputes Duterte's Pivot to China, and Prospects for Settling the South China Sea Disputes

This article proposes a theoretical framework for understanding Filipino president Ro-drigo Duterte's celebrated 'pivot to China. ' It begins by discussing the model of asymmetric relations as a suitable framework for understanding relations between highly unequal states, and the concept of dual structural asymmetry as a means of theorising the triangular relations among the Philip-pines, the USA and China since the end of the Cold War. Next, it presents various economic and political indicators of the shift in Filipino foreign policy under Duterte. It goes on to propose a theoretical model for identifying the linkages between elements of political economy and international security from the perspective of Brantly Womack's theory of asymmetry. Lastly, it presents three scenarios for resolving the territorial dispute in the South China Sea (SCS) between the Philippines and China: two with maximum gains for one country only, and a third with an acceptable result for both countries as a product of mutual concessions.

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Duterte's Pivot to China, and Prospects for Settling the South China Sea Disputes Duterte's Pivot to China, and Prospects for Settling the South China Sea Disputes Cover Page

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The Political Economy of maritime interests in South China Sea and its implications on the Philippine maritime security Cover Page

Territorial and Maritime Disputes in the West Philippine Sea: Foreign Policy Choices and their Impact on Domestic Stakeholders

PUBLIC POLICY, 2016

Foreign policy decision-making typically involves an interplay between domestic and international actors and interests. Using Philippine policy in the West Philippine Sea as a case, this study looks at who the domestic stakeholders are, the effects of the maritime disputes on them, and their role in foreign policy choices made by the Aquino government. The study examines the defense and maritime law enforcement sector, the fisheries sector and energy industry, as well as those engaged in trade, investments, and tourism cooperation with China. Among certain security sector stakeholders, there were perceptions that the arbitration or legal approach was overemphasized at possible cost to short-term security goals. Fishing and energy stakeholders also felt there was not much support from government, and that interactions initiated by government were for the purpose of gathering understanding and support for policy, and to institute stopgap solutions, rather than to address problems that arose as consequences of the disputes or of foreign policy decisions. The study recommends better inter-agency harmonization of its policy priorities, improving central-local governments' understanding of their respective roles, and introducing more consultative and inclusive *

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Philippines-China Security Relations: Current Issues and Emerging Concerns Cover Page

Challenging Chinese Hegemony: A Study of Philippine-Japan Strategic Partnership Towards Alliance Formation

This study aimed to examine the possible strategic partnership of the Philippines and Japan in managing the assertive Chinese hegemony in the East Asia. It also delved into the circumstances and the instances that will possibly give to the establishment of Manila–Tokyo alliance in order to form a shared interests that will counter China‘s dominance. The paper focused on regional partnership tackling political, economic, security and defense issues in the Maritime Asia. It included circumstances of a Manila-Tokyo alliance, on how it could be formed by peering through the historical records of the already pre-existing diplomacy among the two nations with their corresponding implications. The researchers utilized the descriptive-historical approach, qualitative method, and interviews in gathering data. The study found that there is a historical basis of strategic partnership between Japan and the Philippines. Numerous treaties and agreements have given way to establish the so called strategic partnership through economic cooperation, delivery of Official Development Assistance, and trade. The strategic partnership does not only revolve around military but also emphasized the economic, social, diplomatic, and political aspects to solidify it in countering Chinese hegemony in the region effectively. The researchers concluded that the strategic partnership countered Chinese hegemony in terms of economic, defense and security and diplomacy and politics. More notably, the researchers were able to justify the formation of an alliances with Japan. The paper recommends that the situation in South China Sea must not be taken for granted.

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The Duterte Administration’s Foreign Policy: Unravelling the Aquino Administration’s Balancing Agenda on an Emergent China

Abstract: From 2010 to 2016, then-President Benigno Aquino balanced China’s expansive maritime claim in the South China Sea. President Aquino challenged China by shifting the AFP’s focus from domestic security to territorial defence, bolstering closer Philippine–US security relations, acquiring American military equipment, seeking from Washington an explicit security guarantee under the 1951 Mutual Defence Treaty (MDT), and promoting a strategic partnership with Japan. However, the Duterte administration is unravelling its predecessor’s balancing agenda by distancing itself from the United States and gravitating closer to China, despite the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) July 12 2016 award to the Philippines. President Duterte’s foreign policy is directed at reviving the equi-balancing policy on China, in contrast to then-President Aquino’s balancing strategy. This is best exemplified by his efforts to harness China for several major infrastructure and investments projects in the Philippines and to resort to bilateral negotiations with Beijing. The present article argues that instead of relying on the US, President Duterte is fostering closer security partnership with Japan to equi-balance an emergent China.  Manuscript received 7 October2016; accepted 2 January 2017

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Philippine Political Science Journal The Duterte Administration's appeasement policy on China and the crisis in the Philippine–US alliance

This article examines the shifts in Philippine foreign policy under the Duterte Administration, and how these changes impact 21st century Philippine–US alliance. Unlike the Aquino Administration that challenged China’s expansionism in the South China Sea, the Duterte Administration keeps silent on this maritime dispute in exchange for Chinese trade concessions, aid, and investments. President Duterte fosters closer economic and diplomatic relations with China and distances the Philippines from the US Specifically, he seeks China’s assistance for the building of drug-rehabilitation centers for Filipino drug dependents, soft loans for the construction of railways in Mindanao, and even the acquisition of Chinese-made weapons for the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP). In consideration of this largess, President Duterte has degraded the country’s strategic security ties with the US by terminating the joint Philippine–US naval patrols in the South China Sea, and limiting the scope and number of US military interactions with the AFP. These moves, which are a dramatic departure from the Philippines’ long-standing policy of maintaining close security ties with the US, have strained the Philippine–US alliance. This article addresses this central question: How do the foreign policy changes under the Duterte Administration adversely impact the Philippine–US alliance? It also raises the following questions: (1) What are the foreign policy goals of the Duterte Administration? (2) How does the Duterte Administration pursue these goals? (3) In what ways does the pursuit of these goals affect Philippine–US alliance? (4) What is the future of Philippine–US alliance in the light of the Duterte Administration’s shifting foreign policy goals? I would have alliances on trade and commerce with China. Russia has

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Philippine Political Science Journal The Duterte Administration's appeasement policy on China and the crisis in the Philippine–US alliance Cover Page