The Making of a Mobile Caliphate State in the African Sahel (original) (raw)

Islamism in West Africa: Context and Enabling Factors

In this short article, I examine the global, regional and local contours of Islamism in the Sahel-Sahara arc of West Africa. I provide contemporary, historical, geographical and socio-economic factors as the four variables that have initiated and/or sustained a tectonic transformation in the security dynamics of the sub-region making it a hotbed of militant jihadi activity of enormous geopolitical/geostrategic significance. I argue that it is these factors that should form the core of any sustainable attempt at quelling the Islamist threat in that part of Africa.

Explaining the Rise of Jihadism in Africa: The Crucial Case of the Islamic State of the Greater Sahara

Terrorism and Political Violence

While jihadism appears to be on the rise in Africa, the explanations of violent extremist groups' capacity to foment jihadi insurgencies and mobilize recruits remain poorly understood. Recent studies have challenged the assumption that the rise of jihadism in Africa is the result of poor governance in areas of limited state reach, highlighting instead the significance of the (perception of) abuses perpetrated by state authorities. Looking at collective action and its structural determinants, it is rather state action-and not the lack thereof-that best explains the capacity of mobilization of jihadi insurgencies in African borderlands. In order to test this theory in a least-likely case, the article explores the genealogy and evolution of the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (ISGS), mobilizing extensive qualitative evidence. Borrowing the analytical framework from civil war studies, it argues that the contentious political dynamics observed in Niger's borderlands amount to a case of symmetric non-conventional warfare, where abuses perpetrated by state proxies trigger an escalation of homegrown terrorism. It therefore supplies a further specification of the theories investigating the complex interplay between the processes of jihadi mobilization/rebel governance and the practices of counter-terrorism in weak states.

Salafism and Political Order in Africa

2021

Violent Islamic extremism is affecting a growing number of countries in sub-Saharan Africa. In some, jihadi Salafi organizations have established home bases and turned into permanent security challengers. However, other countries have managed to prevent the formation or curb the spread of homegrown jihadi Salafi organizations. In this book, Sebastian Elischer provides a comparative analysis of how different West and East African states have engaged with fundamentalist Muslim groups between the 1950s and today. In doing so, he establishes a causal link between state-imposed organizational gatekeepers in the Islamic sphere and the absence of homegrown jihadi Salafism. Illustrating that the contemporary manifestation of violent Islamic extremism in sub-Saharan Africa is an outcome of strategic political decisions that are deeply embedded in countries' autocratic pasts, he challenges conventional notions of statehood on the African continent, and provides new insight into the evolvi...

The Evolution of an Islamic Jihadist Group, the Jama'tul Ahlus-sunna lidda'awati wal jihad, Boko Haram: from local terrorism to an Islamic State in the West African Province (ISWAP

EJMSS Volume NO 3, 2023

The Sahelo-Sahara region, from the Atlantic Ocean to the Red Sea, became an attraction for jihadist groups since the end of Cold War in the 1990s. Most of mujahidin (jihadists) from Maghreb, who were fighting Soviets in Afghanistan, returned to their countries of origin. The Global War on Terrorism and the fall of an Islamic State in Afghanistan are among the factors that contributed to the rise of jihadist groups in the Sahel. The fall of Muhammar Ghadhafi and the spread of the Libyan arsenals across the Sahel empowered the Nigerian jihadist group, Boko Haram, militarily. Boko Haram pleaded allegiance to the Islamic State, proclaimed by al-Baghdadi, and became its Province in West Africa. A multinational force was set up to fight the Boko Haram by the Lake Chad Basin Commission (LCBC) members. Another similar force was put in place by 5 Sahel States (G5 Sahel), among which are Chad and Niger also members of LCBC. The diversion of Chadian troops from the Lake Chad Basin impacted negatively on the fight against Boko Haram. Using primary and secondary data, the paper analyzed the conditions that seemed to have facilitated the transformation of Boko Haram into a military power, its expansion and affiliation to the Islamic State. Also, exploring the theory of Collective Defense, the paper arrived at conclusions that security of a nation state requires the collaboration of its neighbors, especially when the threat does not confine itself to a same country. African states need to emulate the example of Nigeria in its efforts to fighting terrorism as it mobilized her neighbors, particularly in the North East geopolitical region, to collectively deal with the menace of Boko Haram terrorist group.

The Potential of Islamist Terrorism in Sub-Saharan Africa

International Journal of Politics, Culture and Society, 2004

This paper is about the potential of terrorism in African Islamic movements. In order to lessen ambiguities related to the plethora of definitions given to the Islamist phenomenon, the various definitions related to the phenomenon of Islamism are examined as introductory information indispensable to the understanding of the topic. While it describes the encounter of sub-Saharan Africa with Islam, it also covers a number of movements in different countries in the African continent: Nigeria, Tanzania, Senegal, Kenya, South Africa, Somalia, Ethiopia, Niger, Mali, Chad, and Sudan. In all of these countries, the emergence of Islamic movements, their socio-political status, their present position in relation to the ongoing debate on their perceived radicalization or their supposed threat of violence or terrorism are comparatively analyzed.

Jihadist Groups in North Africa and the Sahel: Between Disintegration, Reconfiguration and Resilience

Rome, IAI, October 2018, 18 p. (MENARA Working Papers ; 16), 2018

This paper, based on extensive interviews and fieldwork conducted in North Africa and the Sahel, considers the recent evolution of jihadi organizations in this region, and offers analysis of patterns of competition and violence among different jihadi groups. We argue that while there is a clear division between Al-Qaeda-affiliated groups and those linked with the Islamic State (IS), this has never turned into a civil war among them, in contrast to the jihadi groups in the Middle East, who have competed violently, especially Al-Nusra Front and IS. More dangerous, and in the context of the collapse of the Islamic State in the Middle East, we have observed patterns of rapprochement of its North African-Sahelian affiliates with Al-Qaeda-linked groups. This paper also examines the fragmentation of the North African-Sahelian regional states system into two categories: a core of strong states controlling their borders and territories and thus able to contain jihadi groups (Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco), versus the weak and collapsed ones (Libya and the Sahel) which are unable to check the expansion of those groups. To this extent, the paper shows that the resilience of these organizations is influenced both by their own strength and by the weakness of their opponents.

Jihadism in Sub-Saharan Africa: Specific features and threat assessment

Politička revija, 2022

This paper analyzes the activities of jihadists in the region commonly referred to as the "Black Continent". The authors provide an analysis of the development of jihadist ideology across the world, followed by a closer examination of its specific manifestations in sub-Saharan Africa. This research study utilized a model originally developed by Geoffrey Predmore in 2011 to analyze the insurgency in the North Caucasus. It includes three key aspects that theorists have identified as necessary for the success of the insurgency: the level of will of the actors involved in achieving the envisioned goals; choosing the strategy of the actors involved; and the extent of external support to the actors involved. The research was based on a content analysis methodology, utilizing a diverse range of reliable data sources, including official reports from international organizations, scientific publications, and newspaper articles. The authors concluded that holy warriors in sub-Saharan Africa possess a strong determination to achieve their goals at the local level. However, this willpower tends to decrease when it comes to global ambitions. When examining their strategy, it becomes *

ISIS' Reach and Impact: Case Studies from Southern Africa's Muslim Communities

As a region, the Middle East (ME) has remained and continues to be a central location in world affairs; and as a consequence of whatever took and is taking place in that region, nation-states around the globe have been and are continuously affected by the issues there. When we consider the 1990/1991 Gulf War its impact was noted in Africa and elsewhere, and when thinking about the post 9/11 era the world was drawn into the Bush administration's misdirected 'War on Terror' campaign; as a consequence of these events, African communities and states were readily coopted to join Africom serving USA interest and targeting Muslim extremists across Africa. Bearing these events in mind, this essay's purpose is to investigate the effects of ME affairs on Africa's diverse communities. Whilst it is not possible to deal with all of these communities on the continent, it confines itself to Southern Africa where minority Muslim communities reside. It does so with the intention of looking at how the ME trends have influenced these communities. Since the ISIS phenomenon has extented its tentacles into Africa, the essay essentially evaluates its reach and impact. ISIS' contrived extremist agenda has undoubtedly affected these Muslim communities and these communities, which have generally enjoyed their religious freedom regionally, have worked out ways of countering its influence through various means. This being the case, this essay frames the discussion by reflecting on Fiqh Al-'Aqalliyat and religious freedom as two theoretical tools .