Flooding the Vote: Hurricane Katrina and Voter Participation in New Orleans (original) (raw)

2011, American Politics Research

New Orleans before and after Hurricane Katrina. We apply a variety of statistical techniques, including propensity score matching methods, to compare the mayoral turnout of registered voters across flood depths. We find that registered voters who experienced more than six feet of flooding were more likely to participate in the mayoral election than registered voters who experienced less flooding. We attribute this to their increased motivation to participate in municipal politics in conjunction with voter mobilization efforts in the wake of Katrina. Our finding about the characteristics of the voters who participated in the mayoral election given the flooding provides us insights into the scope of change for the political landscape of New Orleans after the hurricane.

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