What Future for Nagorno-Karabakh in the Wake of the 2020 Six-Weeks War? Consequences for Conflict Settlement in the South Caucasus Region (original) (raw)
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2011 IAI ISBN 978-88-98042-35-7 The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: Current Trends and Future Scenarios
As Azerbaijan and Armenia celebrate the 20th anniversary of independence from the Soviet Union, both countries find themselves trapped in a decades-long territorial dispute over Nagorno-Karabakh, an internationally recognized territory of Azerbaijan, populated mostly by ethnic Armenians. Mediation efforts by the OSCE's Minsk Group have failed to produce a breakthrough so far. The political leadership of both countries is unwilling and unable to make painful concessions, fearing opposition from domestic public opinion and the Diaspora abroad. As the arms race in the region accelerates, there is little hope for peace in the near future. The upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections in Armenia and Azerbaijan will leave little room for political maneuvre. Meanwhile, growing frustration among both nations might lead to the outbreak of war and thus put the socio-economic development of the region and energy projects at great risk.
R&S - RESEARCH STUDIES ANATOLIA JOURNAL, 2021
Although it has an important historical background, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia, which gained its sovereignty after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, has been the most important conflict issue in the South Caucasus from 1992 until today. Despite the multiple resolutions of the UN Security Council and the international community, Armenia which occupied the Azerbaijani territories there did not take a step back from this de facto situation with the influence of the strong diaspora in the USA and the EU, and the work of the Minsk Group established within this framework could not bring a solution to this problem. It is aimed in this paper to analyze the above-mentioned conflict in 2020. In this context, in the first part, the historical background is set forth and all parties and their effects are revealed. Later on, the events of the conflict and the peace agreement are included, and the final situation after the agreement is examined. Lastly, an analysis of the conflict has been made in conclusion, and also the .new situation that emerged in the South Caucasus has been evaluated.
What Future for Nagorno-Karabakh in the wake of the 6-week 2020 War?
Virtual SGI #2, 2021
This is the Study Group Information booklet of the 2nd Virtual Workshop (Extraordinary) held 4 December 2020, in the wake of the 44-Day war over Nagorno-Karabakh. It reunites visions from Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia, as well as expert points of views from Europe and North America. This publication includes detailed policy recommendations which have been communicated to the conflicting parties, and international governmental organizations dealing with the region.
Nagorno-Karabakh after Two Decades of Conflict: Is Prolongation of the Status Quo Inevitable?
2010
The second issue of the Caucasus Institute Research Papers looks at the various aspects of the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh and its evolution over the past two decades. The main objective of the paper to analyze the conflict in its entirety and identify factors and trends affecting the approaches of the parties in conflict and the involved regional and global actors. Special attention is paid to the political, military and military-technical components of the conflict. The paper looks at the impact of the conflict on the regional policies and political discourses, the role of the time factor, and the relations between external actors and conflict parties. It is targeted at both political scientists and a general audience.
Analyzing Russia’s Interests in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh Ceasefire Agreemen
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The Nagorno-Karabakh war has been one of the most important conflicts in the South Caucasus. The two nations involved, Azerbaijan and Armenia, have been in conflict more times than in cooperation ever since their independence from the Soviet Union. The territory disputed, Nagorno-Karabakh, has been internationally recognized as Azerbaijan’s since the United Nations General Assembly Resolution in 2008. However, this did not stop the conflict, as seen with the newest escalation happening in September of 2020. In the majority of the conflict, Russia has been a constant presence, being a mediator as well as a military supplier to both countries. Russia also has been involved in peacekeeping efforts, sending peacekeeping forces to Nagorno-Karabakh. In November 2020, a ceasefire agreement was reached involving Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Russia. This paper aims to examine Russia’s interest in its involvement in the conflict, the weaknesses of the ceasefire agreement, and Russia’s gains from ...
Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: A Protracted Melted Conflict rather than a Frozen one
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This article discusses the recent re-eruption of the Karabakh war, which is about the ownership and control of the former Nagorno Karabakh Autonomous Province and seven surrounding districts in the Republic of Azerbaijan. The parties to this conflict are the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Armenian separatists from Karabakh supported by Armenia. Nagorno Karabakh is de jure part of Republic of Azerbaijan. However, it is mainly inhabited by ethnic Armenians and is de facto under the control of the self-declared Republic of Artsakh (Nagorno Karabakh). This article seeks to offer an objective discussion of this conflict which has re-erupted again into a full-scale war since September 2020; it discusses the positions taken by surrounding countries as well.
Nagorno-Karabakh: Toward Stalemate or Settlement?
Russia and Eurasia Review, The Jamestown Foundation, 2003
Since the 1994 cease-fire, the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh has been frozen. International mediators proffered a variety of peace proposals, yet no tangible results have been achieved. The peace process led by OSCE's Minsk Group has thus far failed to provide an effective mechanism to buttress a settlement, while each conflicting side insists that the other meet its primary requirement before discussion of any other issue.
The Failure of The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Resolution
Politička misao
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict began in 1988 after the regional Supreme Council declared the transfer of the region from the Azerbaijani SSR to the Armenian SSR. The full-scale war started in 1992 after the dissolution of the USSR and ended with the May 1994 armistice. In the following quarter century, a peaceful resolution of the conflict was mediated by OSCE’s Minsk Group in a form of facilitative mediation. The warring sides have never reached a final solution and a new war started in the autumn of 2020. This paper examines how facilitative mediation was conducted by the Minsk Group and why it eventually failed. The conclusion of this paper is that the combination of the weak mandate and the co-chairs’ separate and incongruous interests in the Caucasus resulted in the failure of the conflict resolution in Nagorno-Karabakh.