Economic Activities Influence Models on the Traffic Flows in Bulgarian Seaports (original) (raw)

THE EFFECT OF MARITIME TRANSPORT ON INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

This study was carried out by using the data of the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) for the period between 1992 and 2013. The study addresses the relation of maritime transport with industrial production and its effect on industrial production. The data were analyzed through the software Statistical Package for Social Sciences 18 and the ANOVA model. It was observed that the maritime transport followed a more effective and productive course, compared to the other transport sectors and areas. The maritime transport, which had a breaking point in 2009, was influenced by the global crisis and experienced a decrease in transportation accompanied by economic decline. It was observed that there was a significant relation between annual industrial production index and GDP. Besides, it was found that road transport was more active than maritime transport especially in terms of retail production while they were parallel to each other in general terms. On the other side, airline transport is not among the options of the production sector as it has higher costs. Compared to railway transport, maritime transport appears to have a more active role at international level. It is observed that there is a positive relation among total import, total export and production index in terms of maritime transport. According to the statistical findings obtained in the study, it was concluded that maritime transport was an effective transport sector in terms of industrial production and it had an active structure in terms of economic input. Besides, one of the observed factors is that economically powerful and developed countries play an active role in terms of investment in maritime transport and fleet.

Performance and Risks in the European Economy Historical and Contemporary Aspects of the Market for the Cargo Traffic carried on the Romanian Ports

We hereby try to approach some aspects about the port traffic, analyzing this activity from the marketing point of view, on the one side, and looking at the ports as entities which represented real emblems, symbols of economic and social development, cities like Galaţi, Brăila, Tulcea, being zones which were wholly identified with the port activity, on the other side. This analysis is necessary in the context of the favorable geographical placement of Romania, which benefits both of the Danube river road, and also the Black Sea. Despite of all these historical and geographic aspects, and also of some directions of developing the commercial Romanian fleet in the past period, the Danube ports are going on a regress stage. In order to catch the now on quantitative and qualitative changes over which are on this market, we consider necessary an incursion in the inter-war period, basing both on the tradition of these maritime and river ports, and on the assertion of Joseph Schumpeter as p...

Evaluation of the Competitiveness amongst the Container Ports in the Black Sea Basin

Proceedings of 15th International Strategic Management Conference, 2019

The seaport is a location settled on the coast of a sea and other waterways, guarded by the streams and waves, and in principle, equipped with all equipment necessary for the loading and discharging of ships as well as for repair and maintenance. Ports become to be a rivalry zone cause of being most critical economic structures for transnational business and trade activities. Container transportation has increased concurrently with the rise of world trade. Therefore, modern ports exceed this classic description. In order to adapt to the global competition environment, they should make necessary regulations and infrastructure work in container ports. However, having only the necessary infrastructure facilities does not make this port usable for shipping companies. In order to have cargo density in the ports, the port should be accessible, the hinterland area should be large, and the trade in the region where it is located should be active. Black Sea container terminals are the eastern sea border of Europe, necessary gates for entry and exit of import and export commercial commodity, the eastern maritime aspect of Europe. The aim of this study is to examine the current status of container ports in the Black Sea Basin, which are of great importance both regionally and globally. This study purposes to make a contribution in this respect by (i) to be able to understand the effectiveness of container port operations, (ii) Conceptualize efforts to integrate port/ship operations; (iii) a conceptual study on the parameters used in performance measurement of ports and logistics systems.

Ranking and causes of inefficiency of container seaports in South-Eastern Europe

Purpose This paper aims at benchmarking, measuring and identifying major determinants of the technical efficiency of container seaports in the region of South-Eastern Europe, including the Italian ports which directly affect competition in the wider region of East Mediterranean Sea. Methods The study employs both non-parametric (standard and super-efficiency DEA) models and bootstrapped parametric techniques to provide a more holistic approach and useful insight into the given problem. Results and conclusions The results indicate the relatively low (below 50 %) average total technical efficiency of the container ports in the study region, which can be attributed to both the lack of managerial skills and scale effects. The findings can help to determine sources of port inefficiency by geographical location and size and adopt best practices to improve the operational performance of container ports.

DOES OUTPUT OF TURKISH PORTS EFFECT THE FREIGHT LEVELS IN THE ISTFIX REGION

International Congress of Management, Economy and Policy, 2019

While the freight rate in the market is an income item for ship owners, it is a cost item for shippers. In this respect, freight rates have a dynamic structure since they are both influenced by demand and affect demand. Freight rates are also affected by some factors such as oil price, ship supply and amount of ship set to the demolition. This situation makes it difficult to examine them with linear methods. In this study, it is aimed to determine whether changes in the amount of export and import cargo handled in Turkish ports have an impact on freight rates in the ISTFIX region which consists of vessels mainly operated around Turkey. The dataset used in this study covers the periods between January 2008 and July 2018 and consists of 127 monthly observations. According to the results obtained using nonlinear causality analysis which allows to examine the lagged causality relationships between the variables, the bidirectional causality relations between the variables are determined. While there are continuous causalities from the export and import tonnages to ISTFIX index in all the lags, the causality relationship from ISTFIX index to tonnages occurs only in some lags.

Estimating the ship traffic in the Istanbul Strait through economic growth of region countries

Business & Management Studies: An International Journal (BMIJ), 2022

The current study predicts the future course of ships passing through the İstanbul Strait. In this direction, considering that the world economy is the biggest factor in the demand for maritime transport, the relationship between the GDPs and trade volumes of the Black S ea s tates, a nd s hip traffic is analyzed using regression estimation in two separate models. The included countries are Bulgaria, Georgia, Romania, Russia, Turkey and Ukraine. Then, considering the growth forecasts published by the IMF for the relevant states, it was estimated how much an increase in traffic would be in 2026 compared to 2020. Considering the coefficients obtained from the two models, in 2026, the GDP model proposes a 20.02% increase, and the trade volume model proposes a 28.8% increase in ship tonnage passing the strait. These results reveal the importance and necessity of strategies and projects developed to regulate the rise in strait traffic.

Demand for port traffic by type of good in Spain: 1995.I-2007.IV

Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2013

This research analyses the demand functions for imports and exports of Spanish ports by type of good for the period 1995.I-2007.IV. From a conventional theoretical model, basic hypotheses are formulated regarding the behaviour of traded goods prices, transport prices and the different levels of income. The use of cointegration econometric techniques for estimating short-and long-term maritime demand functions of imports and exports give us the possibility to obtain the price elasticities of traded goods, the price elasticity of the shipping service and also the income elasticity. In general terms, all elasticities conform to the hypotheses (positive for income and negative for traded product prices and transport prices). The results can be used to assess the effects of price fluctuations on the volume of imports and exports and, hence, to carry out forecasts on international trade and maritime transport.

A dynamic view of the socioeconomic significance of ports

Maritime economics and logistics, 2017

This paper presents a methodology for the provision of a dynamic view on the economic role of ports by means of input-output analysis. The focus is on assessing the role of ports as a source of market expansion for firms located in the hinterland, particularly for export-oriented firms. Structural change in the economy is accounted for by incorporating a bi-proportional matrix adjustment technique in the general input-output framework. By assessing yearly impact changes encompassing a number of years, the outcome of the proposed methodology can serve as a decision support tool for transport policy decision makers, namely by incorporating results in predictive models making use of econometric techniques. Additionally, it allows ex-ante evaluations of port-related investments. By relying on data regularly collected by regional or national statistical offices, the proposed methodology provides a generally applicable and transparent framework for assessing the economic role of ports in their respective hinterland, while also allowing for comparisons between ports and across time. An application of the proposed methodology is illustrated by evaluating the economic significance of exports moving through the Portuguese port system. Keywords Input-output analysis Á Port socioeconomic impact studies Á Maritime exports economic impacts Á Port development Á Economic growth Á Dynamic analysis of port impacts & C. Guedes Soares