Can Sudan achieve food security during the next decade?: some forecasts of self-sufficiency in cereals (original) (raw)

Food Security and Food Productivity in Sudan, 1970–95

African Development Review, 2000

Against the backdrop of a persistent food insecurity problem in Sudan which has prevailed since the mid 1970s, this paper makes use of the ordinary least squares (OLS) method of analysis to assess the performance of the national development strategies encapsulated in various medium‐term plans and programs between 1970/71 and 1992/93 with respect to achieving their objective of national self sufficiency in food production through both vertical and horizontal expansion in food production. An exponential function is used to estimate the trends in area, production, and productivity for three major staple crops, namely sorghum, wheat, and millet using annual time series data covering the period 1970–95. The results provide clear evidence that vertical expansion alone does not pay off in terms of output. Instead, policies should focus more on improving agricultural productivity via the introduction of new varieties and the application of technological packages. These policies must then be...

2006: Brief Overview of Sudan Economy and Future Prospects for Agricultural Development. Food Aid Forum, Khartoum

Workshop presentation

The World Food Programme (WFP) has organized a Food Aid Forum from 6-8 June 2006 in Khartoum, as part of an ongoing process to develop the longer-term strategy of WFP in Sudan. In support of the Forum, a series of Expert Opinion papers have been prepared by a wide range of partners on various aspects on food security strategies and their implications for WFP programmes in Sudan. In line with the objectives of the Forum, it is hoped that these papers will help inform a strategic framework offering direction to WFP Sudan through 2011 consistent with national priorities, and improve the understanding of the role and impact of WFP programmes in Sudan.

Farming System and Food Security in Western Sudan: Are the Things Improving?

OALib, 2015

This paper seeks to describe the farming system and food security as well as the activities against food insecurity in western Sudan. The secondary data on farming system and food security were collected from ministry of agriculture, ministry of health, WFP and FAO, as well as other relevant sources. Descriptive statistics analysis was used to analyze the data. The finding shows that the cultivated areas under cash crops are increased over the time compared with food crops. This is mainly resulted from some policy transformation and structure changes that seek to expand the area under cash crops. Alternatively, food security is influenced by low productivity and unclear marketing price policies for agricultural products as well as inequality and lack of income. Moreover, two programs were implemented to alleviate the food insecurity problems, namely, school feeding program (SFP) and food for work (FFW). However, the lack of food diversification and poor transportation are the negative factors affecting the stability of SFP. Consequently, adopting the improved technologies through strong and powerful research institutions and extension services will enhance the farming system and food security as well. Additionally, the SFP and FFW should provide diversified foods that are nutritional based rather than caloric based for the vulnerable people.

Vertical versus horizontal expansion of food security crops in Sudan: A causality analysis of 1961-2017

African Journal of Agricultural Research, 2020

This research used FAO statistical data to test the causality between production, area and yield for Sudan's three major food crops; sorghum, wheat and millet. Results indicated a sizable gap in yield between Sudan and some selected top producing countries for the selected crops. Two-way causality was observed from production to area and vice versa for sorghum crops, accentuating horizontal expansion, while the lack of causality observed from yield to output omitted the impact of vertical expansion. The non existence of any causality for wheat crops indicates the exclusion of both vertical and horizontal expansion, a result that could be explained by the unsuitability of the Sudanese climate for wheat growth. Causality results for the millet crop suggest the absence of causality between production, area and yield in all directions, which can be attributed to low yield, which is itself due to the lack of recommended technical packages required for enhanced production. The research recommends emphasis on vertical expansion to develop plans for sustainable agriculture in Sudan. Further recommendations focus on upgrading the efficiency of current agricultural production systems through the application of appropriate technological packages. Regarding the wheat crop, the study recommends in-depth integrated research on comparative advantage, developing heat-tolerant varieties and the economic feasibility of growing wheat in Sudan.

Food Security in Rural Sudan

Cuadernos de Desarrollo Rural, 2022

The purpose of this paper is to examine the factors affecting food security for rural Sudanese households and to estimate price and income elasticities for Sudanese households based on their food security status. The results show that households living in northern and western rural regions are less likely to be food secure as compared to households living in eastern rural regions. Also, rural households are more likely to be food secure in the fall and winter seasons as compared to summer season. The results of price and income elasticities for secure and insecure households were almost similar. Income elasticities for both secure and insecure households show that cereals, milk & eggs, vegetables, staples, tea and coffee are necessities for rural households.

2009: Inconsistency of food security information in Sudan

Agriculture is the backbone of economic and social development in Sudan, with 80% of the population depending on agriculture and all other sectors being largely dependent on it. Food security information is the key to food security and its timely availability, reliability and usability not only averts disaster, but also leads to developments that improve people's livelihoods . Food security information in Sudan is generated by many governmental institutions, UN agencies (WFP, FAO, IFAD, UNDP, etc.) and NGOs. This paper aims to assess the strength and weaknesses of information and data collection on food security and the existing market information system, identify gaps in the early warning system of impending food security disasters, and analyse the capacity to forecast yield and crop production and identify the gaps. Finally, the paper concludes with a discussion of strategic and policy implications of these findings for achieving food security in Africa.

Determinants of Food Security in Gezira Scheme of Sudan

2016

In spite of the vast efforts that have been made by government and NGOs to sustain food security in Sudan, still 4.5 million people of Sudanese are food insecure. Many factors are accountable for this, including: limited access to food, due to low productivity of crops and severely increase of food prices. This tough situation forced farm households to adopt different strategies to cope with their food gaps which is reported between (51-91%) of the total requirements. This paper aims at determining the factors that influence food security among farm households in rural Sudan taking Gizera and Managil localities as case in point. It tries to discuss the guidelines, tools and frameworks for evaluating and measuring of household food security in the area. The data used in this study were collected in 2015, using a structured questionnaire. It surveyed 200 farm households in 12 villages distributed in targeted localities. For accuracy and precision scheme area was divided into 2 geograp...