Climatic predictability, hydrology and water resources over Nordeste Brazil (original) (raw)

IAHS-AISH publication, 2005

Abstract

Seasonal climate forecasting can be produced with relatively high accuracy for the Northeast region of Brazil. During the past decade, relevant achievements were obtained in the management of water in the region, particularly for coping with drought, using climate forecasting information. This paper presents the state of the art in climate forecasting for this region, as well as results of the application of a high resolution atmospheric nested model into hydrological models for daily runoff prediction and their use for simulating future water storage in reservoirs. The results show that the information produced by this forecasting process can be useful for decision making in reservoir operation, despite the associated uncertainties.

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