Improvement and validation of dynamical malaria models in Africa (original) (raw)

2016

Abstract

Overcoming the serious public health burden of malaria in Africa especially the sub-Saharan Africa requires a detailed understanding of malaria epidemiology in the region. To contribute to this effect, this work embarked on several research steps. The first part of this study investigated the impact of climatic and environmental factors on seasonal malaria transmission in Africa. Monthly Entomological Inoculation Rate (EIRm) data initially gathered from different malaria locations across the region via a literature review was utilized for this purpose. The results revealed that rainfall was the primary climatic determinant of malaria seasonality at markedly seasonal rainfall areas such as Sahel and Eritrea. But its impact at bimodal rainfall distributed and more humid zones was more complex. Temperature was not a limiting factor of malaria seasonality in Africa except for East Africa where it can delay the impact of rainfall. The seasonal peaking characteristics of malaria were most...

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