Accident rate and degree of consistency on roads in a mountainous area of Perú (original) (raw)
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Via, hombre y vehiculo: factores de riesgo asociados con la gravedad de los accidentes de transito
Revista De Saude Publica, 2013
OBJECTIVE: To describe the main characteristics of victims, roads and vehicles involved in traffi c accidents and the risk factors involved in accidents resulting in death. METHODS: A non-concurrent cohort study of traffi c accidents in Fortaleza, CE, Northeastern Brazil, in the period from January 2004 to December 2008. Data from the Fortaleza Traffi c Accidents Information System, the Mortality Information System, the Hospital Information System and the State Traffi c Department Driving Licenses and Vehicle database. Deterministic and probabilistic relationship techniques were used to integrate the databases. First, descriptive analysis of data relating to people, roads, vehicles and weather was carried out. In the investigation of risk factors for death by traffi c accident, generalized linear models were used. The fi t of the model was verifi ed by likelihood ratio and ROC analysis. RESULTS: There were 118,830 accidents recorded in the period. The most common types of accidents were crashes/collisions (78.1%), running over pedestrians (11.9%), colliding with a fi xed obstacle (3.9%), and with motorcycles (18.1%). Deaths occurred in 1.4% of accidents. The factors that were independently associated with death by traffi c accident in the fi nal model were bicycles (OR = 21.2, 95%CI 16.1;27.8), running over pedestrians OR = 5.9 (95%CI 3.7;9.2), collision with a fi xed obstacle (OR = 5.7, 95%CI 3.1;10.5) and accidents involving motorcyclists (OR = 3.5, 95%CI 2.6;4.6). The main contributing factors were a single person being involved (OR = 6.6, 95%CI 4.1;10.73), presence of unskilled drivers (OR = 4.1, 95%CI 2.9;5.5) a single vehicle (OR = 3.9, 95%CI 2,3;6,4), male (OR = 2.5, 95%CI 1.9;3.3), traffi c on roads under federal jurisdiction (OR = 2.4, 95%CI 1.8;3.7), early morning hours (OR = 2.4, 95%CI 1.8;3.0), and Sundays (OR = 1.7, 95%CI 1.3;2.2), adjusted according to the log-binomial model. CONCLUSIONS: Activities promoting the prevention of traffi c accidents should primarily focus on accidents involving two-wheeled vehicles that most often involves a single person, unskilled, male, at nighttime, on weekends and on roads where they travel at higher speeds.
Severe accidents on Peruvian national and regional roads
International journal of data and network science, 2023
Peru is a country with a complex geography. Moreover, it lacks minimal safe roads, higher in Andean and jungle territories. Depending on the classification they might receive, the number of kilometers without pavement can reach up to 80%. Such a rate is alarming, considering that internationally the United Nations promotes actions for road security since road accidents are among the most common causes of death causes in the world. Then, employing data from Sutran, the current research has analyzed how the severity of accidents can affect road administration in Peru roads in 2021. Hence, the multinomial logistic regression was employed due to the nature of the data. It was found that regional routes had a higher risk than national roads when estimating the probability of having many dead and injured people because of a road accident.
Estudio de las Causas de Accidentes en una Carretera Peruana
Proceedings of the 17th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education, and Technology: “Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure for Sustainable Cities and Communities”, 2019
This article presents the road accidents in Peru generated by interprovincial passenger transport buses, over the years. For this, data from the last six years has been used, provided by SUTRAN and the National Police of Peru. The data analysis generates statistical values and projections for the following years. The study generates comparative studies of the consequences over time and establishes what type of companies are those that recurrently have security problems and that will generate a later study of their characteristics to establish organizational improvement proposals in them and control policies.
Factors Influencing Crash Frequency on Colombian Rural Roads
Promet - Traffic&Transportation
Traffic crashes in Colombia have become a public health problem causing about 7,000 deaths and 45,000 severe injuries per year. Around 40% of these events occur on rural roads, taking note that the vulnerable users (pedestrians, motorcyclists, cyclists) account for the largest percentage of the victims. The objective of this research is to identify the factors that influence the frequency of crashes, including the singular orography of the country. For this purpose, we estimated Negative Binomial (Poisson-gamma) regression, Zero-inflated model, and generalized the linear mixed model, thus developing a comparative analysis of results in the Colombian context. The data used in the study came from the official sources regarding records about crashes with consequences; that is, with the occurrence of fatalities or injuries on the Colombian roads. For collecting the highway characteristics, an in-field inventory was conducted, gathering information about both infrastructure and operation...
Road Safety as a Public Health Problem: Case of Ecuador in the Period 2000–2019
2021
Background: Road safety is a significant public health problem because it causes negative consequences on victims and families. The objective was to analyze the most significant changes in traffic crashes in Ecuador during the period from 2000 to 2019. With data obtained from the National Institute of Statistics and Census, we performed the analysis to identify: the number of traffic crashes, the number of victims, and other study variables. Methods: Descriptive and analytical statistics and the contrast of proportions were used to analyze data from 2000 to 2019. Results: According to the ideal joinpoint analysis model, there was a significant decrease in the number of recorded traffic accidents from 2015 to 2019 of −8.54 per year, while the tendency to die increased in females (2.05 per year) and males (3.29 per year). The most common crash was a collision, and the automobile appeared as the most involved vehicle from 2015 to 2019. The hypothesis test contrast is used to determine ...
Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2014
The Colombia Ministry of Transport, by Resolution 001282 of March 30, 2012, adopted the National Road Safety Plan 2011–2016, which consists of five lines of action, including institutional aspects, strategies on human behavior, strategies on motor vehicles, strategies on road infrastructure, and the attention and rehabilitation system of victims of traffic accidents, for achieving national objectives. In late 2012, the national government (through the Ministry of Transport) subscribed agreements with 10 medium-size Colombian cities to advance their local road safety plans. These 10 cities are among the 25 cities with the highest crash fatality rates per 100,000 inhabitants. The paper presents an overview of the safety conditions in the study cities, which included valuable input provided by the Municipal Road Safety Committee, coupled with data collected in field inspections, spatial analysis, and a review of secondary data sources. This analysis shows that motorcyclists are the mos...
Revista Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Antioquia, 2023
Transit crashes are a serious social problem for any country, with a significant loss of human lives and economic consequences that are difficult to quantify. This article proposes a characterization of the transit crash rate for urban road safety using time series. A quantitative descriptive study was conducted, characterizing the variables of each crash extracted from the National Traffic Agency of Ecuador (NTA); the data were processed at a descriptive and predictive level for the city of Guayaquil. The first step was an exploration of the scientific interest of the topic with the processing of bibliographic data taken from Scopus and Web of Science articles. Among the results obtained, there is a growing trend of research related to the evaluation of traffic crash through applied statistics. Every day, approximately 155 people die as a result of a traffic crash. In addition, traffic crashes are analyzed based on three indicators: number of crashes, injuries and onsite fatalities. Finally, an adequate performance is found, with very few differences in the forecast of incidents using three times series models, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). It is expected that this study will be valuable for data analysts and decision makers at the security level to reduce human losses related to these events in urban cities with similar characteristics to the analyzed cases.
The High Rate of Traffic Accidents on BR 364 in the Section from Vilhena to Pimenta Bueno
The objective of this research was to seek to identify what makes the stretch of Highway BR-364, between the municipalities of Vilhena-RO and Pimenta Bueno-RO, with approximately 174 km, theoretically small in relation to others, have a high rate of road accidents. traffic, where almost half, about 46%, leave people injured. The data presented here were collected from the Federal Highway Police website, the body responsible for attending to and recording incidents on the country's federal highways. With statistical records of the last 10 years (2010-2020), it was found that almost half of the claims were caused by human error, mainly due to the lack of attention of drivers, as soon as they can be avoided, these numbers would be even greater if we consider defects mechanics, among others, as human error in the lack of preventive maintenance on vehicles. An interesting piece of data found in the surveys is that, contrary to popular belief, more than 75% of traffic accidents occurred in a straight line, theoretically in places with better visibility, added to this, lane departures were the most common causes among the 21 listed by the police. With this study, we seek to help authorities with jurisdiction over the road to make decisions in their public prevention policies, which can reduce accident rates and save lives in the near future. lane departures were the most common cause of the 21 listed by the police. With this study, we seek to help authorities with jurisdiction over the road to make decisions in their public prevention policies, which can reduce accident rates and save lives in the near future. lane departures were the most common cause of the 21 listed by the police. With this study, we seek to help authorities with jurisdiction over the road to make decisions in their public prevention policies, which can reduce accident rates and save lives in the near future.