Foreign Trade and Economic Growth a Panel Regression Analysis (original) (raw)

Revisiting the Link between Trade Openness and Economic Growth Using Panel Methods

2020

The link between trade openness and economic growth remains an open question due to the inconclusive findings provided by empirical studies. We argue that the primary reasons for such inconclusive findings are the differences between previous studies regarding their methodologies, samples of countries, measures of trade openness, and duration of analyses. Based on this argument, we reinvestigate the trade-growth nexus through newly developed methodologies for five different subsamples from 1960 to 2017. This study also integrates a robust sample of 82 countries and employs different measures of trade openness. The econometric results support the idea that trade openness induces economic growth. These findings emerge after applying a variety of panel data specifications to the data, including a common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) estimator and a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, which allows for endogeneity between trade and growth. The findings of the study cha...

Does Trade Openness Influence Economic Growth

2015

The aim of this study is to determine the effects of trade openness on economic growth. We use panel cointegration tests and panel error-correction models (ECM) to explore the causal relationship between trade openness and economic growth for 120 countries over the period 2000-2013. The results of pedroni cointegration test demonstrate that trade openness and economic growth is cointegrated; on the other hand, a long run relationship can be fine among these two variables. We segment the data set into four subpanels according to per capita income classification that distinguishes between low-income, lower-middleincome, upper-middle income and high-income economies. The results suggest that the long-run causality between trade openness and growth runs in four panel groups. The result indicates that bidirectional causalities in the study were observed from real GDP growth to trade openness in all panels except low income groups. Second, unidirectional causation from trade openness to e...

Trade Openness and Economic Growth: A Panel Causality Analysis

This paper examines the short-term and long-run dynamics between per capita GDP growth and openness for 158 countries over the period 1970-2009. We use panel cointegration tests and panel error-correction models (ECM) in combination with GMM estimation to explore the causal relationship between these two variables. We approach the problem of a potential endogeneity be-tween openness and growth by including only growth rates and lagged values of the independent variable. Additionally, we apply Di¤erence GMM and System GMM estimation. These estimators also address the issue of a possible corre-lation between the lagged endogenous variable and the error term. The results suggest a long-run relationship between openness and economic growth with a short-run adjustment to the deviation from the equilibrium for both directions of dependency. The long-run coe¢ cients indicate a positive signi…cant causality from openness to growth and vice versa, indicating that international integration is...

International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management TRADE OPENNESS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH A STUDY FROM DEVELOPED STATES

The paper aims to study the realistic relationship between trade openness and economic growth of different countries. The year we are dealing from 1980 to 2010.For this paper we have worked and maintain secondary data. The methodologies that have been used are related to panel data. Specific test has been taken to diagnose result about the dependency of variable. In the study our results proved that trade openness and economic are significant. The proxies that we used for our variable were as follows. Trade openness is a multi-dimensional concept and hence measures of both trade barriers and trade volumes have been used as proxies for openness and some other proxies of trade openness, we were used such as Import Penetration ratio (IPR): This is a measure of trade intensity calculated as total imports as percentage of GDP. Data is founded from World Development Indicators (WDI). Trade share (TS) % GDP: International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management, United Kingdom Licens...

Panel Data Analysis of Relationship Between Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Exchange Rate and Trade Openness in Newly Industrialized Countries

Yönetim ve ekonomi araştırmaları dergisi, 2021

This study examines the effects of foreign direct investment, gross fixed capital formation, real exchange rate, and trade openness on economic growth in newly industrialized countries from 1982 to 2019 by using the panel ARDL method. Before estimating panel ARDL, we tested the existence of cross-sectional dependence among the countries, determining the degree of the integrations of variables by using second-generation panel unit root tests and examining the cointegration among the variables. Finally, we carry out the Dumitreuscu Hurlin causality test to determine the direction of the causal relationship between variables. The study results indicate a positive long-run relationship between economic growth and FDI, gross capital formation and real exchange rate, and a negative long-run relationship with trade openness. The study's findings have significant implications for the industrial policies that these countries should adopt to reach developed countries.

The Nexus Between Trade Openness and GDP Growth: Analyzing the Role of Human Capital Accumulation

SAGE Open, 2020

The objective of this study is to explore the empirical impact of trade openness on gross domestic product (GDP) growth. Researchers have not given the externalities of trade openness the deserved scholarly attention. In this work, we propose to account for human capital accumulation (HCA) as an additional dimension of economic trade integration. To address the potential endogeneity issue, we use the system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator developed for dynamic panel data models. The results outline an intriguing indirect relationship between trade openness and GDP growth. If HCA is taken into account as an intervening variable, trade may have a negative impact on GDP growth when countries exhibit a low level of HCA. Thus, the indirect relationship between trade openness and HCA was studied in depth, and to the best of our knowledge, this research is the first to examine this relationship in both developed and developing countries over a 34-year period (1980-2014). The established GMM-centric thresholds are robust to alternative estimation techniques and measurements of trade openness. Policy implications are discussed.

Growth and Foreign Trade Relationship in the EU-15: Panel Data Analysis

https://www.journals.vu.lt/ekonomika/article/view/986/507, 2010

Abstract. Conventional wisdom suggests that openness of an economy promotes economic growth. There is still argument among economists concerning how a country’s macroeconomic variables and its economic growth interact in numerous econometric studies by using panel data. This paper examines the impact of openness on economic growth for the EU-15 area in 1996–2003. In our empirical work, we have used the panel data technique which is also called longitudinal data or cross-sectional time series data. Panel data is generally concerned with choosing among three alternative regressions that are named fixed effects, random effects and pooled model estimation. The variables used are growth, openness, price level, investment and government share of RGDP. We find that openness has had a weak but negative impact on economic growth in this region over this period. Also, we have found that an increase in investment and a decrease in government expenditure have supported economic growth in the EU-15 countries. Key words: panel data, economic growth , openness, EU-15 countries

Causal Relationship Between Trade Openness and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis of Asian Countries

International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2020

This paper examines the causal relationship between economic growth and trade openness for 15 Asian countries over period 1990-2017. We have applied panel cointegration and causality approaches to examine the long-run and causal relationship between variables. Empirical results confirm the presence of cointegration between variables. The impact of trade openness on economic growth is found to be positive. The panel vector error correction model Granger causality analysis reveals the bidirectional causality between economic growth and trade openness.

Relationship of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Eurasian Economy: Panel Data Analysis

International Journal of Economics and Finance

In this study, relationship between foreign trade and economic growth had been examined for the countries of Eurasia Economic Union by using data in era of 1992-2015 with the help of panel data analysis. First of all, cross-sectional dependency and homogeneity test had been done in the study and it had been concluded that there is cross-sectional dependency in between the series. For this purpose, unit root and causality test considering the cross-sectional dependency had been applied. Relationship between the variables had been analyzed with the panel causality test developed by Konya (2006). It had been determined that there is bi-directional causality from growth to export and unidirectional causality from growth to import.