The Analysis of Exports Performance in Algeria for the Period 1992-2016 (original) (raw)
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Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 2019
Export diversification was highlighted by the works of Hesse, 2008 and strauss-khan, 2011 by stating the importance of it. And they stated that an increase in export diversification will lead to increase in the gross domestic product of countries. Though, previous studies have shown that less developed nations likes those in Africa concentrate more on the export of single product which in most instances does not favour them. This is further understood by the report from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) which reflects that the level of export concentration by the less developed nation leads to unstable/ lopsided way of growth. Sources of major revenue for some developing nations are derived from the production, sales and export of primary products. This makes them experience distortions in economic plans because of the irregularities in the world demand for goods and services.This work brings to light the importance and need for export diversification and some countries like; Angola, Cameroon, Mauritius, Namibia, Nigeria and South-Africa were studied between 1995-2015 using indices like exchange rate, labour force, export of goods and services and gross capital formation which were studied and analyzed to determine the impact of export diversification on GDP per-capita growth in these selected countries on one part and to determine the impact of export diversification on the terms of trade of these countries selected. Results from the SUR regression that was run revealed that there exists a linear relationship between the dependent and independent variables of the cross-sectional entities/ units. The result of the Johansen normalization test also revealed/indicated that the independent variables (exchange rate, export of goods and services and gross capital formation) are all positively related to the dependent variable (gross domestic product). From the outcome, export diversification seems to best suit developing nations especially those that are focused in this study.
Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 2015
Export is the main determinant of economic growth as well as achieving sustainable development in developing countries like Ethiopia. Countries with good export performance can achieve economic growth by importing capital goods. To identify whether Ethiopia's export was well diversified or not both in market destination and product diversification in this study Gini Hirschman Index was used. The result shows Ethiopia's export had increasing when we compare export as a percentage of GDP before and after regime change of 1992. But still it is not good due to its volatility both international price and export volume over time and even decreasing for the year 2011/12, 2012/13 and 2013/14. The Gini Hirschman Index result shows that there was export destination countries diversification and still it shows improvement. There was moderate concentration on commodity export between 2005/06 and 2007/08 but no concentration between the interval 2008/09 and 2013/14. But service export was undiversified most of it was concentrated to transportation service export. Even if export destination countries diversified it was undiversified on the continent level due to our export is still concentrated to Europe and Asia even if there is development on export to Africa.
Journal of economics and sustainable development, 2015
Export is the main determinant of economic growth as well as achieving sustainable development in developing countries like Ethiopia. Countries with good export performance can achieve economic growth by importing capital goods. To identify whether Ethiopia's export was well diversified or not both in market destination and product diversification in this study Gini Hirschman Index was used. The result shows Ethiopia's export had increasing when we compare export as a percentage of GDP before and after regime change of 1992. But still it is not good due to its volatility both international price and export volume over time and even decreasing for the year 2011/12, 2012/13 and 2013/14. The Gini Hirschman Index result shows that there was export destination countries diversification and still it shows improvement. There was moderate concentration on commodity export between 2005/06 and 2007/08 but no concentration between the interval 2008/09 and 2013/14. But service export was undiversified most of it was concentrated to transportation service export. Even if export destination countries diversified it was undiversified on the continent level due to our export is still concentrated to Europe and Asia even if there is development on export to Africa.
Canadian Journal of Development Studies / Revue canadienne d'études du développement
The North African countries (NACs) production and export structure is suffering from double constraints: insufficient diversification along with excessively weak sophistication. This study establish a deeper link between diversification/sophistication on and growth in the NACs. The study assesses the impact of these variables on the growth of these countries so as to verify whether the current export structure is indeed a constraint to the economic development. The approach used consists in estimating a growth model as a Barro's regression (conditional-convergence model) using panel data. The paper identify the factors determining diversification and sophistication of exports so as to find the various levers and actions which would firstly allow NACs to diversify their exports to higher added value products and secondly to take the existing products to a higher level of sophistication. The last part of this study proposes recommendations in terms of economic policies based on obtained results, highlighting the role of various stakeholders, and different policies.