System hazard identification prediction prevention (SHIPP) methodology predictive accident modeling approach (original) (raw)

2011

A process accident occurs as a result of a sequence of events initiated by deviation in the process parameters and/or failure or malfunctioning of one or more components. Many process accidents are controlled and mitigated before they escalate to major events. Unfortunately some do go on to produce catastrophic consequence s. As the size and complexity of processing facilities increase, the potential risk posed by accidents is increasing. Operational safety could be improved by giving emphasis to the prevention of incidents, rather than relying on control and mitigative measures. This method is referred to as an "inherently safer approach ". To prevent major, though infrequent, event occurrence, it is important to consider accident precursors (symptoms of hazards) such as operational deviations, mishaps, and near misses, in order to prevent abnormal events at source rather than controlling or mitigating them. -- The objective of this research is to present a novel methodol...

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