World's Agricultural Production and Trade: Food Security at Stake (original) (raw)

The extraordinary events of the last couple of years, like the surge and the topsy-turvy movement in oil, raw material and food prices, or the development of a so far unprecedented global financial and economic crisis, have been heavily testing the endurance of those earning their living from agriculture and related activities. All these troubles have not been beneficial to the ongoing trade liberalization process within the framework of WTO. Answers to the challenges at national level and the continuing proliferation of inter-and intraregional free trade agreements make the early global liberalization even less probable. The situation is further complicated by those really divergent changes of agricultural policy that are about to develop on the opposite sides of the Atlantic. In this paper, we describe the recent development of world's agricultural production and trade; offer an insight into the evaluation problems of worldwide food insecurity; and briefly compare the upcoming agricultural policy reforms in Europe and the US.

Agricultural trade negotiations and the challenges of food security

Multilateral trade negotiations during the Doha Round have faced great difficulties to reach a conclusion, giving room for scepticism that an acceptable deal is possible. The slow pace of reforms in agricultural policies in the developed countries has reinforced this assessment. The debate about the prospects of the Doha Round has focused on the impacts of liberalization to all trading partners. The argument of this paper contains a critical review of liberalization as a guideline to the international market and to domestic food systems. The prevailing view of free trade is criticised with emphasis on the weakness and flaws of the multilateral arrangements, despite the results of the Bali conference. Also, the need for change in the directions of national policies away from the sole liberal promises is taken into full account with particular attention to the recent food crisis and the challenges for a global food security agenda.

World Trade Issues and Food Security

While economic growth has lifted more people from poverty than in any prior period, world market shocks of the 1970s and 1980s have caused a massive realignment in country policies, and future growth in population and income are expected to place heavy burdens on world resources. Recently, it has been suggested that a food crisis may be forthcoming as food production per capita has stagnated, risking a reversal of the long-term decline in the real price of food. This paper focuses on food security in this context, and concludes that a rise in the real price of food is likely, but not of a magnitude to create a food crisis. Nevertheless, those already in poverty may be placed at additional risk of nutritional deprivation. Policies for alleviating this possibility are available, but they entail more than just increasing food production.

Globalized World Economy and Agriculture in Developing Countries

2009

The rise and fall and increased volatility of commodity prices, and especially food prices, have captured headlines and stimulated a wide range of analytical activity and policy discourse. It has caused and continues to cause hardship in many developing countries, has lead to social unrest in scores of these countries and, according to FAO, has added 75 million people to the number of undernourished and reversed progress toward the MDG hunger target. It is therefore important to have a comprehensive understanding of the factors leading to the food price surge in order to better analyze the market and policy implications for the near-term and long-term. Added to the food price crisis of 2008 was the financial crisis of 2009, which also impacts food and agricultural markets. All of these shocks are more severe for low income populations, especially in food deficit areas.

WTO’s Agreement on Agriculture: Implications for Trade, Sustained Agricultural Growth And Poverty Alleviation /доклад на 10 конгрессе ЕААЕ, Exploring Diversity in the European Agri-Food System, Zaragoza, Spain, 28-31 August 2002

2002

A theory-based graphical analysis of WTO's trade liberalization policies (opening of close-economy to international trade and cuts in price-supports, import-tariffs and exportsubsidies) suggests that most of such policies would yield net social gains to the society, as a whole. The adverse effects and losses in producer surpluses of some of the policies would be balanced out by greater gains in consumer surpluses and vice versa. Losses in producer surpluses due to cuts in price supports and import tariffs are also expected to be partially subsided by reductions in export subsidies mainly granted by the USA and EU; hence, policies need to be enforced, not in isolation, but in a simultaneous fashion.

Loading...

Loading Preview

Sorry, preview is currently unavailable. You can download the paper by clicking the button above.