Towards a Bayesian Approach in Criminology: A Case Study of Risk Assessment in Youth Justice (original) (raw)
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The Encyclopedia of Research Methods and Statistical Techniques in Criminology and Criminal Justice, 2019
A bettor is often looking for new tools to refine the process to accurately specify the probability of an uncertain event occurring. Once new information is introduced, a bettor uses the new information to update his prior information. This repetitive refining process is the key to understand the Bayesian analysis. This article introduces how Bayesian analysis, a theory devised by 18th-century English Presbyterian pastor Thomas Bayes, can help measure the outcome of events in a crime.
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