RESEARCH ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE AND CARBON EMISSIONS IN JIANGSU PROVINCE (original) (raw)

Research on the relationship between industrial structure and carbon emissions is of great significance for the implementation of low-carbon green development. This paper uses the time series data of Jiangsu Province from 1998 to 2019, and analyzes the relationship between the three industrial structures and carbon emissions in Jiangsu Province through VAR model, Granger causality test, impulse response analysis, variance decomposition and other tools. The results show that there is a co-integration relationship between carbon emissions and the tertiary industries in Jiangsu Province; the primary industry and carbon emissions form a one-way Granger causality, and carbon emissions are the Granger cause of the secondary industry; the secondary industry in Jiangsu Province Development is the main factor for the growth of carbon dioxide emissions, and the control of carbon dioxide emissions in the primary industry has achieved remarkable results, and the rise of the tertiary industry has led to a downward trend in carbon dioxide emissions. To this end, we should thoroughly implement the concept of green development, accelerate the pace of industrial restructuring and upgrading, vigorously develop advanced manufacturing, and change the structure of energy consumption.

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