Students Flow in Private Universities in Nigeria: A Markov Chain Modelling Approach (original) (raw)

The emergence of Private Universities in Nigeria is expected to help the flow and progression of students. Hence, this paper applies Markov Chain modelling to flows of students. The population of the study includes all students undertaking four-year programmes at a private University. The Faculty of Social and Management Sciences is chosen as a convenience sample. This Faculty has six departments for which secondary data are available for 2004/2005 to 2013/2014 sessions. Available data were analysed using the Matlab software. The results revealed that the probability of a student repeating a grade year influences the expected length of time of stay in the programme. Also, the study found that the average time a student spent at each level of the programme ranged from 1.14 to 1.43 sessions; the expected time it took a student to reach the wastage or graduation absorbing states ranged from a minimum of 1.4714 sessions (in 400 level) to a maximum of 4.7463 sessions (in 100 level). Fu...

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