Data analysis project Coursera (original) (raw)

Lending Club is an online financial community that brings together creditworthy borrowers and savvy investors so that both can benefit financially [1]. It allows its members to directly invest in and borrow from each other and so avoid the cost and complexity of the banking system. On the Lending Club site there are several files that contain complete loan data, including the current loan status and latest payment information. [2] The data used in this analysis represents a sample of 2,500 peer-to-peer loans issued by the Lending Club explained through 14 variables such as: monthly income, amount requested, FICO range (a range indicating the applicants FICO score) [3], inquiries in the last six months etc. The goal of this analysis is to establish if there is any correlation between the outcome variable – the interest rate of the loans – and the other variables especially considering the FICO score, which is a measure of the creditworthiness of the applicant. In this project we performed an analysis to determine if there was a significant association between the interest rate and the FICO score. Using exploratory analysis and standard multiple regression techniques we show that there is a significant negative relationship between the interest rate and the FICO score, even after adjusting for important confounders such as the length of the loan, the amount funded by the investors and the amount requested by the borrowers. Our analysis suggests that there is a significant, negative association between Interest Rate and FICO score. Our analysis estimates the relationship using a linear model relating one percent of interest rate to one unit of FICO score. There appears to be a strong inverse relationship between the two variables. Our results suggest that there are other variables such as loan length, amount requested by the borrower and amount funded by the investors which are associated with both interest rate and FICO score. Including these variables in the regression model relating interest rate to FICO score improves the model fit, but does not remove the significant positive relationship between the variables.

Innovative servicing technology: Smart enough to keep people in their houses?

2005

Abstract Technological innovations in the mortgage industry have had profound impacts on every step in the homeownership process. Much of the literature has focused on the front end of the process, particularly the impacts of automated underwriting systems. Literature on loan servicing has focused on the borrower option to default with little attention paid to degrees of default or loss mitigation efforts used by lenders.

Securitization and moral hazard: Evidence from credit score cutoff rules

A growing literature exploits credit score cutoff rules as a natural experiment to estimate the moral hazard effect of securitization on lender screening. However, these cutoff rules can be traced to underwriting guidelines for originators, not for securitizers. Moreover, loan-level data reveal that lenders change their screening at credit score cutoffs in the absence of changes in the probability of securitization. Credit score cutoff rules thus cannot be used to learn about the moral hazard effect of securitization on underwriting. By showing that this evidence has been misinterpreted, our analysis should move beliefs away from the conclusion that securitization led to lax screening.

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