Long-distance and daily travel demand: integration of various travel markets and modelling approaches (original) (raw)

Validation of an agent-based travel demand model with floating car data

Transportation Research Procedia, 2019

This paper compares the results of the agent-based travel demand model MITO (Microscopic Travel Demand Orchestrator) with Floating Car Data. MITO is developed using household travel survey data, and uses the traffic assignment model MATSim. The model estimates the travel demand for an average working day and is applied to the metropolitan area of Munich. In contrast to traditional approaches where travel demand models are validated using the local traffic counts, average travel speed from Floating Car Data (FCD) are used in this study. The main advantage of using FCD is that they cover extremely large parts of the network, whereas the local traffic counts are sparse and limited to a few major streets. The average link travel time and average speed between the model estimation and the FCD were compared with the goal of validating travel time calculations within an agent-based transport model.

Agent-based simulation of travel demand: Structure and

2008

The model toolkit MATSim-T provides a variety of tools and resulting approaches to model travel demand and traffic flow and their interactions. The currently preferred configuration is presented in this paper together with detailed information about its computational performance. The application is small in comparison with the abilities of the system, but as computing times scale approximately linearly for the system it gives an idea of how the system can be used for practical planning studies: a 10% sample of the travellers in the Greater Zürich Area (190'000 agents). The outlook highlights the next steps of the development.

Agent-based simulation of travel demand: Structure and computational performance of MATSim-T

2008

Dieser Aufsatz gibt eine knappe Darstellung des Modellsystems MATSim-T und einer Anwendung in Grossraum Zürich. Die Betonung liegt auf den erreichbaren Rechenzeiten und damit auf der Anwendbarkeit für Planungsstudien. Der Ausblick zeigt auf, in welchen Teilen das Modell weiter verbessert werden kann und soll. Schlagworte MATSim-T, Verkehrsnachfrage, Rechenleistung, Agenten-basiertes Model, Zitierungsvorschlag Balmer, M., K. Meister, M. Rieser, K. Nagel und K.W. Axhausen (2008) Agent-based simulation of travel demand: Structure and computational performance of MATSim-T, Vortrag, 2 nd TRB Conference on Innovations in Travel Modeling, Portland, Juni 2008. Structure and computational performance of MATSIM-T_________________________________________July 2008

Modelling Long-Term Impacts on Travel Demand

PROCEEDINGS OF THE AET EUROPEAN TRANSPORT CONFERENCE, HELD 10-12 SEPTEMBER, 2001, HOMERTON COLLEGE, CAMBRIDGE, UK - CD-ROM, 2001

"Tor Vergata" 1. INTRODUCTION That urban land use and transport are closely inter-linked is common wisdom among planners and the public. In facts, that the spatial separation of human activities creates the need for travel and goods transport is the underlying principle of transport analysis and forecasting. Following this principle, it is easily understandable that the suburbanisation of cities is connected with increasing spatial division of labour, and hence with ever increasing mobility. The analysis of the impacts of land-use on the transportation system is wellestablished as well as the modelling approaches (e.g. the traditional fourstages model); on the other hand, the reverse impact from transport to land use, is less well known. In order to evaluate long-term impacts on travel demand due to changes in transport supply, it is not possible to disregard the impacts on land-use and, indirectly, on travel demand. The problem of simulating such effects has been tackled by different modelling approaches, labelled in literature as "integrated land-use/transport models" (Wilson, 1997). In this paper the focus is on the impacts that transport supply has on the distribution of urban activity locations (e.g. residents, services, commerce, etc) and, consequentially, on travel demand (e.g. spatial distribution, modal split and so on). The analysis is carried on by means of models dealing with the complex interactions between transportation and urban activities. With respect to other models present in literature, what actually is pointed out in the proposed modelling approach, is the transport component. The latter is typically represented in terms of generalised transportation cost, while here it is explicitly represented by means of demand models and transportation networks. Individual choices of residential and activity location are simulated through Random Utility Theory. The interaction between different individuals (i.e. residents, firms, etc) is simulated through a static (or equilibrium) approach. The latter seems more suitable for practical applications since equilibrium models are easier to be calibrated and implemented, with respect to more complex dynamic modelling framework (Simmonds, 2000). In order to provide the context, a review of studies on the impact of transport on land-use is described in section 2. Section 3 and 4 deal with the adopted modelling framework and its applications to the urban area of Rome (Italy) in order to predict the land use and the travel demand long-term variations induced by changes in transport supply system. The results of such applications are discussed and compared with those carried out by means of traditional four-stages demand model calibrated on the same urban area. Conclusions and further research issue are dealt with in section 5.

Destination and mode choice in an agent-based simulation of long-distance travel demand

2017

Analysis of long-distance travel demand has become more relevant in recent times. The reason is the growing share of traffic induced by journeys related to remote activities, which are not part of daily life. In today’s mobile world, these journeys are responsible for almost 50 percent of the overall traffic. Consequently, there is a need of reliable long-distance travel forecasting tools. A potential tool is agent-based simulation. Due to the complex task of destination choice modelling, there are just few agent-based simulations available. This paper presents a continuous target-based simulation that simulates long-distance travel behavior for a long period of time. It is shown how destination choice and mode choice is modelled in this agent-based simulation. Destination and mode are chosen simultaneously along with activity type and activity duration. The presented approach uses a heuristic to reduce the choice set since the underlying multi-dimensional optimization problem is to...

mobiTopp – A Modular Agent-based Travel Demand Modelling Framework

Procedia Computer Science, 2013

mobiTopp is an agent-based travel demand modelling framework designed in a modular fashion, so that exchange of individual modules is easy. This offers the possibility to start with quite simple models and implement the system in practice while at the same time providing the opportunity to develop more sophisticated models for research that can eventually be transferred into practice. Also, practical experience with the system can drive the need for further research. So the system helps bridging the gap between research and practice.

A Semi-Deterministic Approach for Modelling of Urban Travel Demand

Proceedings of the International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure, 2014

This paper presents a methodology to construct travel related activity schedules for individuals in a synthetic population. The resulting list of activity schedules are designed as an input into a micro-simulator for urban transport dynamics analysis. The methodology involves two main steps. The first step generates a synthetic population based on census data sourced from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The second step assigns individuals in the synthetic population activity schedules using Household Travel Survey (HTS) data related to the geographical area of interest (in this case, the Sydney Greater Metropolitan area). Each individual is assigned an ordered set of trips, travel purpose, travel mode, departure time and estimated trip time. The significance of the methodology is twofold in that it generates a synthetic population aligned with area demographics, as well as generating activity schedules that realistically represent how the population uses existing transport infrastructure. The methodology also preserves the inter-dependencies (in terms of the sequence, travel times and purpose of trips) of individual's daily trips, in contrast to many trip generators for transport micro-simulation purposes. A case study of Randwick area in southern Sydney is presented where the proposed methodology is applied. Case study data is validated against real world results and the scalability and applicability to other urban areas are discussed.

Foundational Knowledge to Support a Long-Distance Passenger Travel Demand Modeling Framework: Implementation Report

2015

The goal of this research was to develop a framework for a long-distance passenger travel demand model that can be used to build a national model for the United States, one based on exploring new ways to simulate behavior of long-distance passenger movements. This framework includes model specifications based on statistical analysis of available data, recommendations for data collection that facilitate the development of the national model, and a demonstration that the framework can be reasonably implemented. The objectives of the implementation phase were: (1) To produce a working model for the 2010 base year, including a national highway network and zone system, with multimodal travel times for rail, bus, and air modes, and a highway assignment; (2) To calibrate and validate this model against available national data sources; (3) To test this model and provide assurances that the calibrated and validated models produce reasonable results under a select set of policy scenarios; and...

Disaggregated Car Fleets in Microscopic Travel Demand Modelling

Procedia Computer Science, 2016

Microscopic travel demand models take the characteristics of every individual person of the modeled population into account for computing the travel demand for the modeled region. The real world mobility of individuals strongly depends on the specific available car, if any. However, mode choice models usually take a standard average car as reference. This paper shows an integrated approach to model the travel demand with respect to car specific attributes. The proposed work uses a synthetic population for the German capital of Berlin and simulates the travel demand for different examples that replicate car specific changes in fuel price, fleet distribution and entrance restriction. Some of these car-specific measures influence the travel behavior on a level that cannot be modeled when using an average car at all. Furthermore, the results show significant changes in usage of specific car segments, which would be difficult to model using an averaged car.